Casa Pia
3/9Wins
1.6Goals / game
1.8Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 2 wins from 5 available matches.
Inspect Casa Pia’s results
Primeira LigaMatchweek 24THE MATCH CENTRECasa Pia vs Moreirense match centre
90′ · Live
1:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
Cassiano40′
Alanzinho62′ (pen)
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate3.1%Casa Pia
Draw92.5%at full time
Current result estimate4.4%Moreirense
Another goal7.7%before full time
Next goal: Casa Pia 3.2% · no further goal 92.3% · Moreirense 4.5%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.Casa PiaMoreirense
1.170Expected goals · API-Football1.510
2Shots on target6
7Total Shots12
37%Ball Possession63%
1Corner Kicks7
22Fouls12
2Yellow Cards3
—Red Cards—
4Goalkeeper Saves1
286Total passes504
212Passes accurate438
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Primeira LigaProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 34 | +48 | 88 | — |
| 2 |  Sporting CP | 34 | +65 | 82 | — |
| 3 |  Benfica | 34 | +49 | 80 | — |
| 4 |  SC Braga | 34 | +28 | 59 | — |
| 5 |  Famalicao | 34 | +13 | 56 | — |
| 6 |  GIL Vicente | 34 | +9 | 50 | — |
| 7 |  Moreirense | 35 | -12 | 44 | — |
| 8 |  Guimaraes | 34 | -12 | 42 | ↑ 1 |
| 9 |  Arouca | 34 | -17 | 42 | ↓ 1 |
| 10 |  Estoril | 34 | -3 | 39 | — |
| 11 |  Alverca | 34 | -17 | 39 | — |
| 12 |  Santa Clara | 34 | -9 | 36 | ↑ 1 |
| 13 |  Rio Ave | 34 | -22 | 36 | ↓ 1 |
| 14 |  Nacional | 34 | -8 | 34 | — |
| 15 | Casa Pia | 35 | -26 | 31 | ↑ 1 |
| 16 |  Estrela | 34 | -18 | 30 | ↓ 1 |
| 17 |  Tondela | 34 | -28 | 28 | — |
| 18 |  AVS | 34 | -40 | 21 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Casa Pia 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Moreirense 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Moreirense
3/8Wins
1.1Goals / game
1.4Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 3 available matches.
Inspect Moreirense’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Casa Pia
9 matchesResults3 wins · 3 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.6
Goals conceded per game1.8
Games with 3+ goals7 of 9
Both teams scored5 of 9
Past results, not predictions.
Moreirense
8 matchesResults3 wins · 1 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game1.1
Goals conceded per game1.4
Games with 3+ goals5 of 8
Both teams scored4 of 8
Past results, not predictions.
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Casa Pia at home with Moreirense away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 04:20 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Primeira Liga · 2025/26 · all league matches
Casa PiaMoreirense
23Matches played23
22Points earned33
5Wins10
1.1Goals scored / match1.3
1.8Goals conceded / match1.4
4Clean sheets7
10Failed to score6
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Casa Pia at home with Moreirense away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Casa Pia
Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Alvaro Pacheco
- 1
P. SequeiraG - 4
J. GoulartD - 3
KalyD - 43
D. SousaD - 72
G. LarrazabalM - 42
S. PerezM - 8
R. BritoM - 5
A. ConteM - 29
J. LivolantF - 13
K. OsundinaF - 90
CassianoF
Substitutes (9)
95 · I. Mandic
10 · D. Livramento
11 · J. Marques
19 · K. Prieto
21 · T. Morais
24 · I. Mohamed
27 · Kaique Rocha
75 · P. Rosas
99 · C. Mendes
Moreirense
Confirmed formation4-3-3Vasco Costa
- 13
A. FerreiraG - 76
D. PintoD - 66
G. BatistaD - 26
MaracasD - 17
A. MartinezD - 11
AlanzinhoM - 8
M. StjepanovicM - 21
RodriM - 2
TravassosF - 9
L. SemedoF - 10
Kiko BondosoF
Substitutes (9)
4 · Kevyn Monteiro
7 · C. Teguia
23 · N. John
25 · A. Assis
27 · Kiko
30 · J. Gower
71 · L. Santos
78 · Landerson
16 · Mika
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Casa Pia
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Sequeira | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 23 | — |
| João Goulart | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 28 | 1 |
| Domingos Jose Gabriel Bandeira | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 32 | — |
| David Sousa | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 53 | 3 |
| Gaizka Larrazabal | 90 | 7.2 | — | 1 | — | 18 | 2 |
| Sebastián Pérez | 66 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 19 | — |
| Rafael Brito | 83 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 2 | 19 | 1 |
| Abdu Conté | 83 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 22 | 3 |
| Jérémy Livolant | 89 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 26 | — |
| Oluwakorede Osundina | 66 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 11 | 2 |
| Cassiano | 90 | 7.3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | — |
| Iyad Mohamed | 24 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 9 | 1 |
| Dailon Rocha Livramento | 24 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 7 | — |
| Pedro Rosas | 13 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 2 | — |
| Joao Marques | 13 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 7 | 1 |
| Tiago Morais | 1 | — | — | 0 | — | 2 | — |
| Ivan Mandić | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kaique Rocha | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kevin Prieto | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Claudio Mendes | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Moreirense
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| André Ferreira | 90 | 7.7 | — | 0 | — | 29 | — |
| Dinis Pinto | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 2 | 40 | 1 |
| Gilberto Batista | 90 | 7.5 | — | 0 | — | 86 | 2 |
| Maracás | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 83 | 4 |
| Álvaro Martínez | 87 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 51 | 1 |
| Alan | 90 | 7.6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 49 | — |
| Mateja Stjepanović | 45 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 41 | — |
| Rodrigo Alonso | 70 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 30 | 1 |
| Diogo Travassos | 70 | 7.3 | — | 0 | 3 | 25 | 2 |
| Luís Semedo | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 14 | 1 |
| Kiko Bondoso | 70 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 16 | — |
| Afonso Assis | 45 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 31 | — |
| Leandro Santos | 20 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 5 | 2 |
| Nile John | 20 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 6 | — |
| Landerson | 20 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 7 | 1 |
| Kiko | 9 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 2 | — |
| Mika | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kevyn Monteiro | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jimi Gower | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cedric Teguia | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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