AEL
4/9Wins
1.0Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At home, 1 wins from 2 available matches.
Inspect AEL’s results
1. DivisionMatchweek 24THE MATCH CENTREAEL vs Apoel Nicosia match centre
90′ · Live
1:3
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
Leo Natel58′
D. Mancini41′
D. Abagna59′
S. Drazic81′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate0.0%AEL
Draw0.1%at full time
Current result estimate99.9%Apoel Nicosia
Another goal8.1%before full time
Next goal: AEL 4.4% · no further goal 91.9% · Apoel Nicosia 3.8%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.AELApoel Nicosia
1.730Expected goals · API-Football1.210
5Shots on target6
15Total Shots11
52%Ball Possession48%
8Corner Kicks2
12Fouls16
1Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards0
3Goalkeeper Saves3
400Total passes350
316Passes accurate288
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
1-division: Regular seasonProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Omonia Nicosia | 26 | +46 | 61 | — |
| 2 |  AEK Larnaca | 26 | +27 | 53 | — |
| 3 |  Apollon Limassol | 26 | +14 | 53 | — |
| 4 |  Pafos | 26 | +29 | 51 | — |
| 5 |  Apoel Nicosia | 27 | +20 | 48 | — |
| 6 |  Aris | 26 | +22 | 43 | — |
| 7 |  Omonia Aradippou | 26 | -8 | 34 | — |
| 8 | AEL | 27 | -9 | 33 | — |
| 9 |  Anorthosis | 26 | -10 | 32 | — |
| 10 |  Krasava Ypsonas | 26 | -10 | 28 | — |
| 11 |  Olympiakos | 26 | -15 | 28 | — |
| 12 |  Akritas | 26 | -25 | 26 | — |
| 13 |  Ethnikos Achna | 26 | -19 | 23 | — |
| 14 |  Enosis | 26 | -62 | 1 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
AEL 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Apoel Nicosia 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Apoel Nicosia
3/8Wins
1.4Goals / game
1.5Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 4 available matches.
Inspect Apoel Nicosia’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
AEL
9 matchesResults4 wins · 1 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game1.0
Goals conceded per game1.0
Games with 3+ goals3 of 9
Both teams scored3 of 9
Past results, not predictions.
Apoel Nicosia
8 matchesResults3 wins · 1 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game1.4
Goals conceded per game1.5
Games with 3+ goals4 of 8
Both teams scored5 of 8
Past results, not predictions.
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare AEL at home with Apoel Nicosia away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 03:08 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
1. Division · 2025/26 · all league matches
AELApoel Nicosia
23Matches played23
33Points earned39
10Wins11
1.2Goals scored / match1.7
1.4Goals conceded / match0.9
7Clean sheets9
10Failed to score3
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares AEL at home with Apoel Nicosia away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
AEL
Confirmed formation3-4-3Hugo Martins
- 13
G. OchoaG - 21
L. BogdanD - 15
D. StevanovicD - 24
E. ImanishimweD - 35
Sergio ConceicaoM - 26
N. GlavcicM - 6
D. ZdravkovskiM - 19
I. MilosavljevicM - 40
T. MasekoF - 27
Z. SawoF - 23
Leo NatelF
Substitutes (12)
98 · P. Kyriakou
99 · A. Keravnos
2 · C. Frantzis
8 · V. Papafotis
10 · B. Z. Jradi
11 · L. Singh
25 · A. Panagiotou Filiotis
29 · D. Paroutis
33 · A. Makris
37 · J. Szoke
45 · F. Forestieri
63 · F. R. Mughe
Apoel Nicosia
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Pablo Garcia
- 27
V. BelecG - 14
NanuD - 31
F. BrorssonD - 34
K. LaifisD - 6
Vitor MeerD - 29
Diego RosaM - 20
DalcioM - 77
D. ManciniM - 15
M. TomasM - 89
N. KoutsakosM - 9
S. DrazicF
Substitutes (12)
1 · Gabriel Pereira
22 · A. Christodoulou
2 · E. Antoniou
5 · M. Degenek
7 · M. Meyer
10 · Marquinhos
17 · D. Abagna
21 · C. Poursaitidis
36 · C. Appiah
38 · Geovane Meurer
45 · K. Yiannacou
99 · P. Olayinka
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
AEL
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guillermo Ochoa | 90 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | — | 31 | 0 |
| Luka Bogdan | 90 | 7.2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 45 | 1 |
| Dušan Stevanović | 90 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | — | 50 | 0 |
| Emmanuel Imanishimwe | 85 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | — | 54 | 2 |
| Sérgio Conceição | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 39 | 0 |
| Nemanja Glavčić | 85 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | — | 44 | 1 |
| Davor Zdravkovski | 58 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | — | 23 | 0 |
| Ivan Milosavljević | 90 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 0 |
| Thapelo Maseko | 74 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | — | 10 | 0 |
| Zakaria Sawo | 90 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 0 |
| Léo Natel | 85 | 7.5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 0 |
| Luther Singh | 39 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | — | 10 | 0 |
| Danil Paroutis | 23 | 7.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
| Bassel Jradi | 13 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | — | 4 | 0 |
| Andreas Makris | 13 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | — | 0 | 0 |
| François Régis Mughe | 13 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
Apoel Nicosia
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vid Belec | 90 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | — | 11 | 0 |
| Nanú | 90 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | — | 33 | 0 |
| Franz Brorsson | 90 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | — | 40 | 0 |
| Konstantinos Laifis | 87 | 7.2 | 0 | 0 | — | 35 | 0 |
| Vitor Meer | 90 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | — | 32 | 0 |
| Diego Rosa | 90 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | — | 42 | 0 |
| Dálcio | 87 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | — | 44 | 0 |
| Daniel Mancini | 87 | 8.2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 37 | 0 |
| Mathías Tomás | 77 | 7.3 | 0 | 1 | — | 29 | 0 |
| Nikolas Koutsakos | 58 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | — | 16 | 0 |
| Stefan Dražić | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 0 |
| David Abagna | 40 | 7.5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| Peter Olayinka | 21 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Miloš Degenek | 11 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | — | 1 | 0 |
| Max Meyer | 11 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | — | 5 | 0 |
| Marquinhos | 11 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | — | 2 | 0 |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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