AEK Larnaca
5/7Wins
2.0Goals / game
0.9Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 4 available matches.
Inspect AEK Larnaca’s results
1. DivisionMatchweek 24THE MATCH CENTREAEK Larnaca vs Olympiakos match centre
90′ · Live
1:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
E. Saborit49′
J. Tavares45′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate4.0%AEK Larnaca
Draw92.5%at full time
Current result estimate3.5%Olympiakos
Another goal7.7%before full time
Next goal: AEK Larnaca 4.1% · no further goal 92.3% · Olympiakos 3.6%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.AEK LarnacaOlympiakos
1.380Expected goals · API-Football1.010
6Shots on target4
8Total Shots8
52%Ball Possession48%
6Corner Kicks4
11Fouls19
1Yellow Cards4
0Red Cards0
3Goalkeeper Saves5
351Total passes381
277Passes accurate307
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
1-division: Regular seasonProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Omonia Nicosia | 26 | +46 | 61 | — |
| 2 | AEK Larnaca | 27 | +27 | 54 | — |
| 3 |  Apollon Limassol | 26 | +14 | 53 | — |
| 4 |  Pafos | 26 | +29 | 51 | — |
| 5 |  Apoel Nicosia | 26 | +18 | 45 | — |
| 6 |  Aris | 26 | +22 | 43 | — |
| 7 |  Omonia Aradippou | 26 | -8 | 34 | — |
| 8 |  AEL | 26 | -7 | 33 | — |
| 9 |  Anorthosis | 26 | -10 | 32 | — |
| 10 |  Olympiakos | 27 | -15 | 29 | ↑ 1 |
| 11 |  Krasava Ypsonas | 26 | -10 | 28 | ↓ 1 |
| 12 |  Akritas | 26 | -25 | 26 | — |
| 13 |  Ethnikos Achna | 26 | -19 | 23 | — |
| 14 |  Enosis | 26 | -62 | 1 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
AEK Larnaca 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Olympiakos 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Olympiakos
1/5Wins
0.8Goals / game
1.6Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 0 wins from 1 available matches.
Inspect Olympiakos’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
AEK Larnaca
7 matchesResults5 wins · 0 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game2.0
Goals conceded per game0.9
Games with 3+ goals5 of 7
Both teams scored4 of 7
Past results, not predictions.
Olympiakos
5 matchesResults1 wins · 1 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game0.8
Goals conceded per game1.6
Games with 3+ goals2 of 5
Both teams scored2 of 5
Past results, not predictions.
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare AEK Larnaca at home with Olympiakos away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:42 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
1. Division · 2025/26 · all league matches
AEK LarnacaOlympiakos
23Matches played23
46Points earned24
14Wins5
1.9Goals scored / match0.8
0.9Goals conceded / match1.3
7Clean sheets8
3Failed to score9
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares AEK Larnaca at home with Olympiakos away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
AEK Larnaca
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Imanol Idiakez
- 1
Z. AlomerovicG - 22
G. EkpoloD - 15
H. MilicevicD - 4
E. SaboritD - 14
A. GarciaD - 25
C. KyriakouM - 17
P. PonsM - 21
MiramonM - 8
M. RohdenM - 9
D. IvanovicM - 11
R. BajicF
Substitutes (9)
51 · A. Paraskevas
99 · D. Demetriou
2 · P. Ioannou
10 · W. Rubio
27 · V. Roberge
32 · R. Mudrazija
36 · C. Loukaidis
41 · Mathias Gonzalez
86 · A. Cardero
Olympiakos
Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Georgios Kostis
- 1
C. TalichmanidisG - 37
L. KonomisD - 94
MauricioD - 6
O. DzeparD - 12
Jean FelipeM - 20
J. TavaresM - 21
V. KovalenkoM - 55
H. GomesM - 88
S. Charalampous - 17
VieirinhaM - 34
Joao MarioF
Substitutes (12)
9 · I. Pikis
10 · A. Bajrovic
11 · G. Tocka
18 · F. Eftychidis
22 · P. Angeli
25 · T. Prokopiou
31 · R. Injgia
40 · M. Charalampous
70 · E. Stefanou
93 · R. Omorowa
99 · V. Bradonjic
32 · M. Kyriakou
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
AEK Larnaca
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zlatan Alomerović | 90 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | — | 20 | 0 |
| Godswill Ekpolo | 90 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | — | 44 | 0 |
| Hrvoje Miličević | 90 | 7.7 | 0 | 0 | — | 57 | 0 |
| Enric Saborit | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 34 | 0 |
| Ángel García | 90 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | — | 38 | 1 |
| Charalampos Kyriakou | 90 | 7.9 | 0 | 1 | — | 35 | 0 |
| Pere Pons | 90 | 7.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 1 |
| Jorge Miramón | 73 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 0 |
| Marcus Rohdén | 83 | 7.2 | 0 | 0 | — | 26 | 0 |
| Đorđe Ivanović | 83 | 5.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 0 |
| Riad Bajić | 90 | 7.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 0 |
| Álex Cardero | 25 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 0 |
| Waldo Rubio Marín | 15 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | — | 5 | 0 |
| Robert Mudražija | 15 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | — | 2 | 0 |
Olympiakos
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christos Talichmanidis | 90 | 7.7 | 0 | 0 | — | 24 | 0 |
| Leonidas Konomis | 90 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | — | 37 | 1 |
| Mauricio | 90 | 7.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 0 |
| Orhan Dzepar | 90 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | — | 47 | 0 |
| Jean Felipe | 90 | 7.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 37 | 0 |
| João Tavares | 90 | 7.3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 46 | 1 |
| Viktor Kovalenko | 61 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | — | 16 | 0 |
| Henrique Gomes | 90 | 7.3 | 0 | 0 | — | 48 | 0 |
| Stefanos Charalampous | 69 | 7.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1 |
| Vieirinha | 90 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | — | 39 | 0 |
| João Mário | 46 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 |
| Iasonas Pikis | 52 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | — | 8 | 0 |
| Vladimir Bradonjić | 37 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | — | 11 | 0 |
| Marcos Charalambous | 29 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | — | 19 | 0 |
| Ektoras Stefanou | 1 | — | 0 | 0 | — | 0 | 0 |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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