Aris
3/10Wins
1.8Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At home, 1 wins from 5 available matches.
Inspect Aris’s results
1. DivisionMatchweek 26THE MATCH CENTREAris vs Apoel Nicosia match centre
90′ · Live
1:2
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
L. Balogun79′
D. Mancini41′
M. Tomas72′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate0.1%Aris
Draw3.2%at full time
Current result estimate96.8%Apoel Nicosia
Another goal5.8%before full time
Next goal: Aris 3.3% · no further goal 94.2% · Apoel Nicosia 2.6%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.ArisApoel Nicosia
1.920Expected goals · API-Football1.020
7Shots on target6
21Total Shots13
53%Ball Possession47%
9Corner Kicks5
15Fouls10
3Yellow Cards3
1Red Cards1
4Goalkeeper Saves6
417Total passes312
346Passes accurate247
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
1-division: Regular seasonProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Omonia Nicosia | 26 | +46 | 61 | — |
| 2 |  AEK Larnaca | 26 | +27 | 53 | — |
| 3 |  Apollon Limassol | 26 | +14 | 53 | — |
| 4 |  Pafos | 26 | +29 | 51 | — |
| 5 |  Apoel Nicosia | 27 | +19 | 48 | — |
| 6 | Aris | 27 | +21 | 43 | — |
| 7 |  Omonia Aradippou | 26 | -8 | 34 | — |
| 8 |  AEL | 26 | -7 | 33 | — |
| 9 |  Anorthosis | 26 | -10 | 32 | — |
| 10 |  Krasava Ypsonas | 26 | -10 | 28 | — |
| 11 |  Olympiakos | 26 | -15 | 28 | — |
| 12 |  Akritas | 26 | -25 | 26 | — |
| 13 |  Ethnikos Achna | 26 | -19 | 23 | — |
| 14 |  Enosis | 26 | -62 | 1 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Aris 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Apoel Nicosia 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Apoel Nicosia
4/10Wins
1.4Goals / game
1.6Conceded / game
Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 5 available matches.
Inspect Apoel Nicosia’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Aris
10 matchesResults3 wins · 3 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game1.8
Goals conceded per game1.3
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Apoel Nicosia
10 matchesResults4 wins · 1 draws · 5 losses
Goals scored per game1.4
Goals conceded per game1.6
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
AnorthosisHome · 1. Division0–2AELAway · 1. Division3–2Omonia NicosiaHome · 1. Division1–0Ethnikos AchnaAway · 1. Division2–3EnosisHome · Cup3–2AEK LarnacaHome · 1. Division1–2PafosAway · 1. Division0–2OlympiakosAway · 1. Division2–0Omonia AradippouHome · 1. Division1–1Apollon LimassolAway · 1. Division1–2
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Aris at home with Apoel Nicosia away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:55 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
1. Division · 2025/26 · all league matches
ArisApoel Nicosia
25Matches played25
43Points earned42
12Wins12
1.9Goals scored / match1.7
0.9Goals conceded / match1.0
12Clean sheets9
4Failed to score4
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Aris at home with Apoel Nicosia away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
5 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Aris
3wins5MEETINGS
Apoel Nicosia
2winsDec 2024 – Dec 2025 · Past results, not a forecast.
Scores shown with Aris first; venues vary.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Aris
Confirmed formation3-4-1-2Liasos Louka
- 1
Vana AlvesG - 20
S. YagoD - 6
C. GoldsonD - 27
L. BalogunD - 19
M. SaneM - 18
Y. BourhaneM - 76
C. CharalampousM - 7
Anderson CorreiaM - 28
G. KastanosM - 80
A. KakoullisF - 9
A. KokorinF
Substitutes (10)
25 · W. Foderingham
90 · E. Sofroniou
4 · D. Lelle
14 · Y. Gomis
29 · D. Gaustad
45 · R. McCausland
66 · J. Montnor
70 · E. Semedo
75 · M. Theodosiou
88 · C. Fi Akamba
Apoel Nicosia
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Pablo Garcia
- 27
V. BelecG - 14
NanuD - 31
F. BrorssonD - 2
E. AntoniouD - 6
Vitor MeerD - 29
Diego RosaM - 20
DalcioM - 77
D. ManciniM - 15
M. TomasM - 10
MarquinhosM - 99
P. OlayinkaF
Substitutes (9)
1 · Gabriel Pereira
22 · A. Christodoulou
5 · M. Degenek
7 · M. Meyer
9 · S. Drazic
11 · Gabriel Maioli
21 · C. Poursaitidis
36 · C. Appiah
45 · K. Yiannacou
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Aris
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vaná | 90 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | — | 16 | 0 |
| Steeve Yago | 90 | 7.3 | 0 | 0 | — | 59 | 0 |
| Connor Goldson | 90 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 51 | 0 |
| Leon Balogun | 90 | 7.2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 47 | 2 |
| Mamadou Sane | 51 | 5.7 | 0 | 0 | — | 17 | 0 |
| Yacine Bourhane | 90 | 7.0 | 0 | 0 | — | 68 | 0 |
| Charalampos Charalampous | 71 | 7.9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 35 | 1 |
| Anderson Correia | 90 | 7.3 | 0 | 1 | — | 32 | 0 |
| Grigoris Kastanos | 80 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 36 | 0 |
| Andronikos Kakoullis | 80 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 0 |
| Aleksandr Kokorin | 71 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | — | 13 | 0 |
| Dennis Bakke Gaustad | 28 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 0 |
| Jaden Montnor | 28 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | — | 8 | 0 |
| Yannick Gomis | 18 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | — | 8 | 0 |
| Michail Theodosiou | 18 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | — | 0 | 0 |
Apoel Nicosia
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vid Belec | 90 | 7.6 | 0 | 0 | — | 11 | 0 |
| Nanú | 90 | 7.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 41 | 0 |
| Franz Brorsson | 90 | 7.3 | 0 | 0 | — | 38 | 0 |
| Evagoras Antoniou | 90 | 7.2 | 0 | 0 | — | 37 | 0 |
| Vitor Meer | 59 | 5.3 | 0 | 0 | — | 23 | 0 |
| Diego Rosa | 47 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | — | 21 | 0 |
| Dálcio | 90 | 7.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 37 | 0 |
| Daniel Mancini | 77 | 7.2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 0 |
| Mathías Tomás | 77 | 8.6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 30 | 0 |
| Marquinhos | 63 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | — | 19 | 0 |
| Peter Olayinka | 70 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 |
| Max Meyer | 51 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | — | 12 | 0 |
| Constantinos Poursaitides | 35 | 7.0 | 0 | 0 | — | 8 | 0 |
| Stefan Dražić | 28 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Miloš Degenek | 21 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | — | 2 | 0 |
| Gabriel Maioli | 21 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | — | 3 | 0 |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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