AEL
4/10Wins
1.2Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game
Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At home, 1 wins from 3 available matches.
Inspect AEL’s results
1. DivisionMatchweek 26THE MATCH CENTREAEL vs Omonia Aradippou match centre
90′ · Live
1:2
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
F. Forestieri85′
G. Pontikos23′
S. Georgiou88′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate0.1%AEL
Draw4.3%at full time
Current result estimate95.6%Omonia Aradippou
Another goal8.1%before full time
Next goal: AEL 4.5% · no further goal 91.9% · Omonia Aradippou 3.7%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.AELOmonia Aradippou
1.720Expected goals · API-Football1.220
4Shots on target4
16Total Shots10
67%Ball Possession33%
4Corner Kicks4
14Fouls20
3Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards0
2Goalkeeper Saves3
486Total passes262
402Passes accurate200
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
1-division: Regular seasonProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Omonia Nicosia | 26 | +46 | 61 | — |
| 2 |  AEK Larnaca | 26 | +27 | 53 | — |
| 3 |  Apollon Limassol | 26 | +14 | 53 | — |
| 4 |  Pafos | 26 | +29 | 51 | — |
| 5 |  Apoel Nicosia | 26 | +18 | 45 | — |
| 6 |  Aris | 26 | +22 | 43 | — |
| 7 |  Omonia Aradippou | 27 | -7 | 37 | — |
| 8 | AEL | 27 | -8 | 33 | — |
| 9 |  Anorthosis | 26 | -10 | 32 | — |
| 10 |  Krasava Ypsonas | 26 | -10 | 28 | — |
| 11 |  Olympiakos | 26 | -15 | 28 | — |
| 12 |  Akritas | 26 | -25 | 26 | — |
| 13 |  Ethnikos Achna | 26 | -19 | 23 | — |
| 14 |  Enosis | 26 | -62 | 1 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
AEL 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Omonia Aradippou 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Omonia Aradippou
4/9Wins
1.3Goals / game
0.9Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 4 available matches.
Inspect Omonia Aradippou’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
AEL
10 matchesResults4 wins · 1 draws · 5 losses
Goals scored per game1.2
Goals conceded per game1.3
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Omonia Aradippou
9 matchesResults4 wins · 3 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.3
Goals conceded per game0.9
Games with 3+ goals3 of 9
Both teams scored4 of 9
Past results, not predictions.
See results
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare AEL at home with Omonia Aradippou away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 03:07 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
1. Division · 2025/26 · all league matches
AELOmonia Aradippou
25Matches played25
33Points earned31
10Wins9
1.2Goals scored / match0.9
1.5Goals conceded / match1.2
7Clean sheets8
10Failed to score12
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares AEL at home with Omonia Aradippou away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
AEL
Confirmed formation4-4-2Hugo Martins
- 13
G. OchoaG - 35
Sergio ConceicaoD - 2
C. FrantzisD - 15
D. StevanovicD - 19
I. MilosavljevicD - 11
L. SinghM - 6
D. ZdravkovskiM - 37
J. SzokeM - 23
Leo NatelM - 40
T. MasekoF - 27
Z. SawoF
Substitutes (12)
98 · P. Kyriakou
99 · A. Keravnos
8 · V. Papafotis
14 · S. Christofi
22 · K. Neofytou
24 · E. Imanishimwe
25 · A. Panagiotou Filiotis
29 · D. Paroutis
33 · A. Makris
45 · F. Forestieri
63 · F. R. Mughe
90 · P. Panagi
Omonia Aradippou
Confirmed formation4-4-2Marinos Satsias
- 12
I. KosticG - 22
M. Antoniou - 5
R. ThelanderD - 34
Danny HenriquesD - 24
L. CanoD - 78
J. AssehnounM - 14
J. van MullemM - 6
R. EdwardsM - 70
S. GeorgiouM - 9
G. PontikosF - 35
P. PolykarpouF
Substitutes (12)
99 · G. Sakka
91 · K. Panteli
3 · S. Ring
4 · C. Kallis
7 · Jorginho
8 · N. Havelka
10 · J. Mouaddib
17 · E. Efthymiou
28 · A. Ortega
31 · S. Lomonaco
32 · G. Lampros
44 · K. Evripidou
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
AEL
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guillermo Ochoa | 90 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | — | 26 | 0 |
| Sérgio Conceição | 90 | 7.9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 55 | 0 |
| Christoforos Frantzis | 90 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | — | 89 | 0 |
| Dušan Stevanović | 90 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 72 | 0 |
| Ivan Milosavljević | 90 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 43 | 1 |
| Luther Singh | 66 | 7.3 | 0 | 0 | — | 30 | 0 |
| Davor Zdravkovski | 66 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | — | 49 | 0 |
| Július Szőke | 90 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 1 |
| Léo Natel | 85 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 30 | 0 |
| Thapelo Maseko | 83 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | — | 21 | 0 |
| Zakaria Sawo | 90 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | — | 13 | 0 |
| Vasilios Papafotis | 33 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | — | 21 | 0 |
| Andreas Makris | 33 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 0 |
| Danil Paroutis | 17 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | — | 3 | 0 |
| Fernando Forestieri | 14 | 7.2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Omonia Aradippou
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ivan Kostić | 90 | 7.0 | 0 | 0 | — | 12 | 0 |
| Minas Antoniou | 90 | 7.3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 0 |
| Rasmus Thelander | 90 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 0 |
| Danny | 90 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | — | 28 | 0 |
| Lautaro Cano | 76 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | — | 18 | 0 |
| Jasin Assehnoun | 76 | 7.2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 0 |
| Jeremy van Mullem | 90 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | — | 24 | 0 |
| Ryan Edwards | 87 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | — | 17 | 0 |
| Stavros Georgiou | 90 | 6.6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 0 |
| Giorgos Pontikos | 87 | 6.9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 1 |
| Paris Polikarpou | 16 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | — | 6 | 0 |
| Jaly Mouaddib | 83 | 8.3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 29 | 1 |
| Sebastian Ring | 24 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | — | 9 | 0 |
| Niko Havelka | 24 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | — | 11 | 0 |
| Christos Kallis | 12 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | — | 3 | 0 |
| Jorginho | 12 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 | — | 5 | 0 |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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