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First LeagueMatchweek 22THE MATCH CENTRE

Lokomotiv Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia match centre

Lokomotiv Sofia badgeLokomotiv SofiaHome · 11 in league
DLWLD
Momentum↘ Falling33/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
3:0
UK time · Europe/London
Septemvri Sofia badgeSeptemvri SofiaAway · 14 in league
DWLLL
Momentum↘ Falling20/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
K. Stanoev36′ (pen)
D. Yankov45′
R. Bidounga49′
Stadion Lokomotiv · SofiaSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Market chance —See match research Draw—Market chance —See match research Away win—Market chance —See match research No stored odds · open the match for form and team context Chances are estimates for 90 minutes. Stored prices can change; likelihood alone does not establish value.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate100.0%Lokomotiv Sofia
Draw0.0%at full time
Current result estimate0.0%Septemvri Sofia
Another goal5.7%before full time

Next goal: Lokomotiv Sofia 3.5% · no further goal 94.3% · Septemvri Sofia 2.3%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
Lokomotiv SofiaSeptemvri Sofia
7Corner Kicks1
10Fouls5
2Yellow Cards1
1Red Cards1
2Goalkeeper Saves4
489Total passes303
421Passes accurate232

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

A PFG: Regular season

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1Levski Sofia30+4270—
2Ludogorets30+3760—
3CSKA 194830+1959—
4CSKA Sofia30+2056—
5Lokomotiv Plovdiv30-346—
6Cherno More Varna30+744—
7Arda Kardzhali30+644—
8Lokomotiv Sofia31+440↑ 3
9Botev Plovdiv30+340↓ 1
10Slavia Sofia30+339↓ 1
11Botev Vratsa30-238↓ 1
12Spartak Varna30-2527—
13Dobrudzha30-2026—
14Septemvri Sofia31-3626—
15Beroe30-2523—
16Montana30-3017—
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Lokomotiv Sofia 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Septemvri Sofia 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Septemvri Sofia

3/10Wins
0.5Goals / game
1.7Conceded / game

Keep in view: 7 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 6 available matches.

Inspect Septemvri Sofia’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Lokomotiv Sofia at home with Septemvri Sofia away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 6 Oct, 17:49 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

First League · 2025/26 · all league matches

Lokomotiv SofiaSeptemvri Sofia
25Matches played25
31Points earned21
7Wins6
1.2Goals scored / match0.9
1.2Goals conceded / match2.0
6Clean sheets5
8Failed to score10

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Lokomotiv Sofia at home with Septemvri Sofia away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Lokomotiv Sofia

Confirmed formation4-3-3Stanislav Genchev
  1. 99M. VelichkovG
  2. 22R. DaskalovD
  3. 91R. BidoungaD
  4. 42N. NeychevD
  5. 14A. LyaskovD
  6. 5E. DostM
  7. 31K. StanoevM
  8. 64D. YankovM
  9. 77Caue Caruzo
  10. 29A. AralicaF
  11. 7S. DelevF
Substitutes (9)

24 · A. Lyubenov

10 · G. Minchev

27 · I. Lagundzic

6 · S. Slavchev

28 · D. Acka

2 · D. Ali

33 · J. Ibe

8 · Luann

4 · S. Dembele

Septemvri Sofia

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Hristo Arangelov
  1. 12N. Krastev
  2. 4M. HristovD
  3. 15D. IvkicD
  4. 26V. OzornwaforD
  5. 3S. WadeD
  6. 13K. OnasciM
  7. 5Y. BaurenskiM
  8. 10S. StojanovicM
  9. 33G. IvanovM
  10. 17N. FontaineM
  11. 9B. FourrierF
Substitutes (9)

21 · Y. Georgiev

18 · A. Abou

27 · G. Varbanov

7 · E. Ribeiro

8 · K. Kolev

23 · R. Schouten

28 · S. Stoichkov

24 · F. Mattoir

29 · F. Herard

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Lokomotiv Sofia

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Martin Velichkov907.000—190
Reyan Daskalov907.700—760
Ryan Bidounga617.7101680
Nikola Neychev906.900—710
Angel Lyaskov707.000—350
Erol Dost797.3001190
Krasimir Stanoev908.9113611
Dominik Yankov907.9101331
Caue Caruzo Alves907.0011210
Ante Aralica706.7002150
Spas Delev617.7001290
Ivan Lagundžić356.700—150
Jordon Ibe246.200—60
Dzhuneyt Ali266.900—160
Georgi Minchev266.200120
Simeon Slavchev176.500—31

Septemvri Sofia

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Vladimir Ivanov906.900—230
Martin Hristov906.600—411
Dominik Ivkić906.200—380
Valentine Ozornwafor355.600—130
Sebas Wade906.9001291
Kubrat Onashchi906.200—320
Yoan Baurenski746.600—282
Stefan Stojanović475.900—90
Galin Ivanov476.500—190
Nicolas Fontaine566.200—90
Bertrand Fourrier746.700—160
Ayoub Abou Oulam496.700—180
Faiz Mattoir496.300—110
Gerard Franzetti406.600—40
Krasian Kolev226.600—90
Edney Ribeiro226.600130
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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