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First LeagueMatchweek 26THE MATCH CENTRE

Cherno More Varna vs Montana match centre

Cherno More Varna badgeCherno More VarnaHome · 6 in league
DDLDW
Momentum↗ Rising44/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
1:0
UK time · Europe/London
Montana badgeMontanaAway · 16 in league
LLDLL
Momentum↓ Low7/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
B. Beyhan65′
Ticha · VarnaSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate95.8%Cherno More Varna
Draw4.1%at full time
Current result estimate0.1%Montana
Another goal8.1%before full time

Next goal: Cherno More Varna 3.9% · no further goal 91.9% · Montana 4.3%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
Cherno More VarnaMontana
3Corner Kicks1
13Fouls14
2Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards0
2Goalkeeper Saves1
566Total passes275
481Passes accurate194

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

A PFG: Regular season

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1Levski Sofia30+4270—
2Ludogorets30+3760—
3CSKA 194830+1959—
4CSKA Sofia30+2056—
5Cherno More Varna31+847↑ 1
6Lokomotiv Plovdiv30-346↓ 1
7Arda Kardzhali30+644—
8Botev Plovdiv30+340—
9Slavia Sofia30+339—
10Botev Vratsa30-238—
11Lokomotiv Sofia30+137—
12Spartak Varna30-2527—
13Dobrudzha30-2026—
14Septemvri Sofia30-3326—
15Beroe30-2523—
16Montana31-3117—
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Cherno More Varna 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Montana 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Montana

1/10Wins
0.3Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game

Keep in view: 6 losses in that sample. At away venues, 0 wins from 4 available matches.

Inspect Montana’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Cherno More Varna at home with Montana away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 02:36 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

First League · 2025/26 · all league matches

Cherno More VarnaMontana
25Matches played25
40Points earned16
10Wins3
1.2Goals scored / match0.6
0.7Goals conceded / match1.6
12Clean sheets7
8Failed to score12

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Cherno More Varna at home with Montana away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Cherno More Varna

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Ilian Iliev
  1. 81K. TomovG
  2. 50E. TombakD
  3. 3Z. AtanasovD
  4. 28V. DrobarovD
  5. 2T. PanovD
  6. 29B. BeyhanM
  7. 71V. PanayotovM
  8. 39N. ZlatevM
  9. 23D. TonevM
  10. 9J. PadillaM
  11. 77C. SidneyF
Substitutes (9)

33 · P. Iliev

16 · A. Calcan

8 · A. Donchev

19 · G. Lazarov

24 · D. Teles

26 · Joao Bandaro

22 · N. Kostadinov

34 · K. Mihaylov

4 · R. Stefanov

Montana

Confirmed formation5-3-2Akis Vavalis
  1. 30V. SimeonovG
  2. 23A. TungarovD
  3. 13J. SoaresD
  4. 5I. Markov
  5. 18K. Iliev
  6. 14D. BurovD
  7. 24A. TsingarasM
  8. 6V. SakorM
  9. 10A. TodorovM
  10. 7B. DimitrovF
  11. 9P. EjikeF
Substitutes (9)

1 · M. Rosa

3 · A. Linner

22 · Beji

17 · I. Kokonov

15 · C. Acheampong

8 · P. Atanasov

21 · P. Andreev

27 · T. Azevedo

26 · R. Slavchev

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Cherno More Varna

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Kristian Tomov907.200—160
Ertan Tombak907.500—841
Zhivko Atanasov907.700—590
Vlatko Drobarov907.500—641
Tsvetomir Panov637.500—490
Berk Beyhan867.3102732
Vasil Panayotov907.0001541
Nikolay Zlatev477.200—230
Dimitar Tonev906.3001340
Jorge Padilla636.700—330
Celso Sidney906.500—250
Georgi Lazarov486.700—70
João Bandaro326.500—280
Andreias Calcan326.300—90
David Teles96.200—50
Asen Donchev6—00—30

Montana

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Vasil Simeonov906.300—220
Anton Tungarov906.200—342
Jorginho Soares906.600—330
Ivaylo Markov906.900—280
Kostadin Iliev906.000—250
Dimitar Burov787.0001131
Angelos Tsingaras907.000—361
Vajebah Sakor686.500—160
Aleksandar Todorov786.500—190
Boris Dimitrov906.9001170
Philip Ejike866.7002101
Tomás Azevedo286.600—111
Ivan Kokonov176.300150
Ibrahim Beji Muhammad176.300—40
Petar Andreev96.300—20
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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