Montana
1/9Wins
0.3Goals / game
0.8Conceded / game
Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At home, 1 wins from 5 available matches.
Inspect Montana’s results
First LeagueMatchweek 25THE MATCH CENTREMontana vs Ludogorets match centre
90′ · Live
0:3
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
O. Verdon18′
K. Duah43′
I. Chochev45+2′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate0.0%Montana
Draw0.0%at full time
Current result estimate100.0%Ludogorets
Another goal8.0%before full time
Next goal: Montana 2.8% · no further goal 92.0% · Ludogorets 5.2%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.MontanaLudogorets
0.470Expected goals · API-Football2.410
0Shots on target8
2Total Shots18
22%Ball Possession78%
0Corner Kicks9
7Fouls9
0Yellow Cards0
0Red Cards0
5Goalkeeper Saves0
210Total passes827
144Passes accurate742
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
A PFG: Regular seasonProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Levski Sofia | 30 | +42 | 70 | — |
| 2 |  Ludogorets | 31 | +40 | 63 | — |
| 3 |  CSKA 1948 | 30 | +19 | 59 | — |
| 4 |  CSKA Sofia | 30 | +20 | 56 | — |
| 5 |  Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 30 | -3 | 46 | — |
| 6 |  Cherno More Varna | 30 | +7 | 44 | — |
| 7 |  Arda Kardzhali | 30 | +6 | 44 | — |
| 8 |  Botev Plovdiv | 30 | +3 | 40 | — |
| 9 |  Slavia Sofia | 30 | +3 | 39 | — |
| 10 |  Botev Vratsa | 30 | -2 | 38 | — |
| 11 |  Lokomotiv Sofia | 30 | +1 | 37 | — |
| 12 |  Spartak Varna | 30 | -25 | 27 | — |
| 13 |  Dobrudzha | 30 | -20 | 26 | — |
| 14 |  Septemvri Sofia | 30 | -33 | 26 | — |
| 15 |  Beroe | 30 | -25 | 23 | — |
| 16 | Montana | 31 | -33 | 17 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Montana 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Ludogorets 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Ludogorets
6/10Wins
1.2Goals / game
0.9Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 6 available matches.
Inspect Ludogorets’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Montana
9 matchesResults1 wins · 3 draws · 5 losses
Goals scored per game0.3
Goals conceded per game0.8
Games with 3+ goals1 of 9
Both teams scored1 of 9
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Spartak VarnaAway · First League0–1Botev PlovdivHome · First League0–0DobrudzhaAway · First League0–1Septemvri SofiaAway · First League0–1CSKA 1948Home · First League0–1LeningradetsHome · Friendlies Clubs0–1Sepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheHome · Friendlies Clubs1–0LlapiHome · Friendlies Clubs2–2Botev Plovdiv IIAway · Second League0–0
Ludogorets
10 matchesResults6 wins · 1 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.2
Goals conceded per game0.9
Games with 3+ goals4 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Levski SofiaHome · First League1–0Lokomotiv PlovdivHome · First League1–1Ferencvarosi TCAway · UEFA Europa League0–2Botev PlovdivAway · First League1–2Ferencvarosi TCHome · UEFA Europa League2–1BeroeHome · First League2–1Levski SofiaHome · Cup1–0Lokomotiv SofiaAway · First League3–1Levski SofiaHome · Super Cup0–1NiceHome · UEFA Europa League1–0
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Montana at home with Ludogorets away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:36 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
First League · 2025/26 · all league matches
MontanaLudogorets
24Matches played24
16Points earned47
3Wins13
0.6Goals scored / match1.8
1.6Goals conceded / match0.8
7Clean sheets13
11Failed to score4
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Montana at home with Ludogorets away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Montana
Confirmed formation3-5-2Atanas Atanasov
- 1
M. RosaG - 3
A. LinnerD - 13
J. SoaresD - 18
K. Iliev - 15
C. AcheampongM - 23
A. TungarovM - 24
A. TsingarasM - 10
A. TodorovM - 14
D. BurovM - 9
P. EjikeF - 27
T. AzevedoF
Substitutes (9)
30 · V. Simeonov
6 · V. Sakor
11 · Vitinho
16 · D. Carmona Sierra
5 · I. Markov
17 · I. Kokonov
8 · P. Atanasov
21 · P. Andreev
20 · U. Balde
Ludogorets
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Per-Mathias Hogmo
- 39
H. BonmannG - 17
SonD - 24
O. VerdonD - 4
D. AlmeidaD - 27
Vinicius NogueiraD - 26
F. KalocM - 23
D. DuarteM - 77
Erick MarcusM - 14
P. StanicM - 18
I. ChochevM - 9
K. DuahF
Substitutes (9)
1 · S. Padt
2 · J. Andersson
7 · A. Salido Tajero
12 · Rwan Cruz
15 · E. Kurtulus
29 · E. Bile
37 · B. Tekpetey
55 · I. Nachmias
82 · I. Yordanov
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Montana
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Márcio Rosa | 90 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | — | 13 | 0 |
| Albin Linnér | 90 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 2 |
| Jorginho Soares | 90 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 | — | 23 | 0 |
| Kostadin Iliev | 90 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | — | 28 | 0 |
| Christopher Acheampong | 48 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | — | 5 | 0 |
| Anton Tungarov | 90 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | — | 20 | 0 |
| Angelos Tsingaras | 69 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | — | 15 | 0 |
| Aleksandar Todorov | 75 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | — | 10 | 0 |
| Dimitar Burov | 90 | 5.9 | 0 | 0 | — | 17 | 1 |
| Philip Ejike | 48 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | — | 4 | 0 |
| Tomás Azevedo | 60 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | — | 5 | 0 |
| David Carmona | 47 | 7.0 | 0 | 0 | — | 22 | 1 |
| Vitinho | 47 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | — | 9 | 0 |
| Petar Atanasov | 35 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | — | 3 | 1 |
| Vajebah Sakor | 26 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | — | 9 | 0 |
| Umaro Baldé | 20 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | — | 4 | 0 |
Ludogorets
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hendrik Bonmann | 90 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | — | 33 | 0 |
| Son | 61 | 7.3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 74 | 0 |
| Olivier Verdon | 90 | 8.6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 120 | 0 |
| Dinis Almeida | 73 | 7.6 | 0 | 1 | — | 63 | 0 |
| Vinicius Nogueira | 90 | 7.5 | 0 | 0 | — | 87 | 0 |
| Filip Kaloč | 90 | 7.7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 104 | 0 |
| Deroy Duarte | 61 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | — | 64 | 0 |
| Erick Marcus | 90 | 9.2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 63 | 0 |
| Petar Stanić | 90 | 7.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 57 | 0 |
| Ivajlo Chochev | 83 | 7.7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 0 |
| Kwadwo Duah | 73 | 8.0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 0 |
| Joel Andersson | 34 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | — | 43 | 0 |
| Ivan Yordanov | 34 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | — | 23 | 0 |
| Edvin Kurtulus | 22 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | — | 32 | 0 |
| Rwan Cruz | 22 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | — | 9 | 0 |
| Alberto Salido | 12 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | — | 7 | 0 |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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