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First LeagueMatchweek 28THE MATCH CENTRE

Beroe vs CSKA Sofia match centre

Beroe badgeBeroeHome · 15 in league
DLLLW
Momentum↗ Rising30/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
0:3
UK time · Europe/London
CSKA Sofia badgeCSKA SofiaAway · 4 in league
LWWLW
Momentum→ Steady63/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
A. Lapena4′
M. Brahimi81′
I. Pittas90+1′ (pen)
Stadion Beroe · Stara ZagoraSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate0.0%Beroe
Draw0.0%at full time
Current result estimate100.0%CSKA Sofia
Another goal8.1%before full time

Next goal: Beroe 4.2% · no further goal 91.9% · CSKA Sofia 3.9%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
BeroeCSKA Sofia
5Corner Kicks7
11Fouls14
3Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards0
3Goalkeeper Saves5
267Total passes377
216Passes accurate316

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

A PFG: Regular season

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1Levski Sofia30+4270—
2Ludogorets30+3760—
3CSKA Sofia31+2359↑ 1
4CSKA 194830+1959↓ 1
5Lokomotiv Plovdiv30-346—
6Cherno More Varna30+744—
7Arda Kardzhali30+644—
8Botev Plovdiv30+340—
9Slavia Sofia30+339—
10Botev Vratsa30-238—
11Lokomotiv Sofia30+137—
12Spartak Varna30-2527—
13Dobrudzha30-2026—
14Septemvri Sofia30-3326—
15Beroe31-2823—
16Montana30-3017—
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Beroe 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

CSKA Sofia 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Beroe

1/10Wins
0.3Goals / game
0.9Conceded / game

Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At home, 0 wins from 5 available matches.

Inspect Beroe’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

CSKA Sofia

8/10Wins
1.6Goals / game
0.7Conceded / game

Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 5 available matches.

Inspect CSKA Sofia’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Beroe at home with CSKA Sofia away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 04:52 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

First League · 2025/26 · all league matches

BeroeCSKA Sofia
27Matches played27
22Points earned49
4Wins14
0.7Goals scored / match1.4
1.5Goals conceded / match0.8
10Clean sheets10
13Failed to score8

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Beroe at home with CSKA Sofia away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Beroe

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Josu Uribe
  1. 1ArthurG
  2. 12D. ValverdeD
  3. 3J. SalomoniD
  4. 4F. CostantiniD
  5. 23T. SonhaD
  6. 11I. FerrerM
  7. 32F. VarelaM
  8. 25JohnyM
  9. 8M. BorgninoM
  10. 7J. PinedaM
  11. 15F. AlarconF
Substitutes (9)

22 · M. Georgiev

5 · Caio Lopes

24 · S. Gavrilov

9 · Y. Valbuena

18 · S. Rusenov

16 · S. Yovkov

27 · A. Dabo

99 · V. Quintero

17 · W. Dual

CSKA Sofia

Confirmed formation4-1-4-1Hristo Yanev
  1. 21F. Lapoukhov
  2. 2PastorD
  3. 4A. LapenaD
  4. 32F. RodriguezD
  5. 17A. MartinoD
  6. 6B. JordaoM
  7. 77A. PiedrahitaM
  8. 99J. Eto'o
  9. 10M. EbongM
  10. 38Leo PereiraM
  11. 9L. GodoyF
Substitutes (9)

14 · T. Ivanov

3 · A. Yordanov

19 · I. Turitsov

73 · I. Iliev

94 · I. Solet

25 · D. Evtimov

30 · P. Panayotov

11 · M. Brahimi

28 · I. Pittas

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Beroe

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Arthur Garcia da Motta906.300—140
David Valverde Juan905.700—261
Juan Pablo Salomoni906.300—331
Facundo Constantini906.500—320
Tijan Sohna906.500—230
Ismael Ferrer905.9001334
Francisco Varela906.3001360
João Sérgio Milheirão886.3001102
Marco Borgnino887.2001200
Juanca Pineda906.6002250
Facundo Alarcon626.500—50
Yesid Valbuena366.700170
Miroslav Georgiev106.500—00
Wesley Dual106.500—20

CSKA Sofia

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Fedor Lapoukhov907.900—330
Pastor907.300—400
Adrián Lapeña907.9101530
Facundo Rodríguez907.2001401
Ángelo Martino907.300—390
Bruno Jordão576.9002280
Alejandro Piedrahita906.900—230
James Eto'o908.0011461
Max Ebong906.9001300
Léo Pereira576.700—150
Leandro Godoy736.900180
Isaac Solet416.9011100
Mohamed Brahimi417.310270
Ioannis Pittas267.210140
Teodor Ivanov7—00—10
Ilian Iliev7—00—00
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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