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First LeagueMatchweek 27THE MATCH CENTRE

Montana vs Beroe match centre

Montana badgeMontanaHome · 16 in league
LDLLL
Momentum↓ Low6/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
0:1
UK time · Europe/London
Beroe badgeBeroeAway · 15 in league
DDLLL
Momentum↘ Falling10/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
M. Borgnino55′ (pen)
Ogosta Stadium · MontanaSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate0.2%Montana
Draw5.4%at full time
Current result estimate94.5%Beroe
Another goal7.7%before full time

Next goal: Montana 5.6% · no further goal 92.3% · Beroe 2.1%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
MontanaBeroe
7Corner Kicks2
12Fouls10
3Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards1
2Goalkeeper Saves4
556Total passes260
476Passes accurate195

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

A PFG: Regular season

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1Levski Sofia30+4270—
2Ludogorets30+3760—
3CSKA 194830+1959—
4CSKA Sofia30+2056—
5Lokomotiv Plovdiv30-346—
6Cherno More Varna30+744—
7Arda Kardzhali30+644—
8Botev Plovdiv30+340—
9Slavia Sofia30+339—
10Botev Vratsa30-238—
11Lokomotiv Sofia30+137—
12Spartak Varna30-2527—
13Dobrudzha30-2026—
14Beroe31-2426↑ 1
15Septemvri Sofia30-3326↓ 1
16Montana31-3117—
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Montana 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Beroe 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Montana

1/10Wins
0.3Goals / game
1.1Conceded / game

Keep in view: 7 losses in that sample. At home, 1 wins from 6 available matches.

Inspect Montana’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Beroe

0/9Wins
0.2Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game

Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At away venues, 0 wins from 4 available matches.

Inspect Beroe’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Montana at home with Beroe away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 02:37 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

First League · 2025/26 · all league matches

MontanaBeroe
26Matches played26
16Points earned19
3Wins3
0.6Goals scored / match0.7
1.6Goals conceded / match1.5
7Clean sheets9
13Failed to score13

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Montana at home with Beroe away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Montana

Confirmed formation4-4-2Atanas Atanasov
  1. 1M. RosaG
  2. 16D. Carmona Sierra
  3. 13J. SoaresD
  4. 18K. Iliev
  5. 14D. BurovD
  6. 23A. TungarovM
  7. 27T. AzevedoM
  8. 24A. TsingarasM
  9. 10A. TodorovM
  10. 9P. EjikeF
  11. 7B. DimitrovF
Substitutes (9)

30 · V. Simeonov

3 · A. Linner

8 · P. Atanasov

26 · R. Slavchev

21 · P. Andreev

19 · V. Tsekov Dimitrov

5 · I. Markov

17 · I. Kokonov

25 · S. James

Beroe

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Josu Uribe
  1. 13J. Valens
  2. 12D. ValverdeD
  3. 3J. SalomoniD
  4. 30S. BrunelliD
  5. 23T. SonhaD
  6. 11I. FerrerM
  7. 4F. CostantiniM
  8. 25JohnyM
  9. 17W. DualM
  10. 7J. PinedaM
  11. 15F. AlarconF
Substitutes (9)

1 · Arthur

9 · Y. Valbuena

10 · Nene

16 · S. Yovkov

19 · E. Kuhinja

8 · M. Borgnino

24 · S. Gavrilov

27 · A. Dabo

32 · F. Varela

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Montana

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Márcio Rosa906.900—260
David Carmona816.500—411
Jorginho Soares906.900—760
Kostadin Iliev907.000—850
Dimitar Burov907.200—520
Anton Tungarov906.900—502
Tomás Azevedo906.9001520
Angelos Tsingaras907.200—740
Aleksandar Todorov907.0002510
Philip Ejike707.0001120
Boris Dimitrov596.7001110
Ivan Kokonov396.300—120
Petar Atanasov296.9001110
Vladislav Tsekov176.500—30

Beroe

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Jaume Valens Cardell907.900—160
David Valverde Juan907.700—370
Juan Pablo Salomoni907.200—230
Santiago Brunelli906.900—270
Tijan Sohna906.900—250
Ismael Ferrer906.9001330
Facundo Constantini907.2001250
João Sérgio Milheirão476.900—120
Wesley Dual476.500—90
Juanca Pineda907.300—180
Facundo Alarcon756.200270
Francisco Varela516.9001100
Marco Borgnino516.9101140
Nene236.000—30
Emir Kuhinja86.900110
Stanislav Yovkov2—00—00
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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