Ludogorets
6/10Wins
1.4Goals / game
0.9Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 6 wins from 8 available matches.
Inspect Ludogorets’s results
First LeagueMatchweek 26THE MATCH CENTRELudogorets vs CSKA Sofia match centre
90′ · Live
3:0
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
K. Duah31′
P. Stanic42′
Rwan Cruz70′ (pen)
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate100.0%Ludogorets
Draw0.0%at full time
Current result estimate0.0%CSKA Sofia
Another goal8.1%before full time
Next goal: Ludogorets 4.0% · no further goal 91.9% · CSKA Sofia 4.1%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.LudogoretsCSKA Sofia
1.790Expected goals · API-Football0.340
4Shots on target2
8Total Shots9
55%Ball Possession45%
0Corner Kicks4
9Fouls11
5Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards0
3Goalkeeper Saves1
416Total passes330
351Passes accurate258
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
A PFG: Regular seasonProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Levski Sofia | 30 | +42 | 70 | — |
| 2 | Ludogorets | 31 | +40 | 63 | — |
| 3 |  CSKA 1948 | 30 | +19 | 59 | — |
| 4 |  CSKA Sofia | 31 | +17 | 56 | — |
| 5 |  Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 30 | -3 | 46 | — |
| 6 |  Cherno More Varna | 30 | +7 | 44 | — |
| 7 |  Arda Kardzhali | 30 | +6 | 44 | — |
| 8 |  Botev Plovdiv | 30 | +3 | 40 | — |
| 9 |  Slavia Sofia | 30 | +3 | 39 | — |
| 10 |  Botev Vratsa | 30 | -2 | 38 | — |
| 11 |  Lokomotiv Sofia | 30 | +1 | 37 | — |
| 12 |  Spartak Varna | 30 | -25 | 27 | — |
| 13 |  Dobrudzha | 30 | -20 | 26 | — |
| 14 |  Septemvri Sofia | 30 | -33 | 26 | — |
| 15 |  Beroe | 30 | -25 | 23 | — |
| 16 |  Montana | 30 | -30 | 17 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Ludogorets 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
CSKA Sofia 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
CSKA Sofia
7/10Wins
1.5Goals / game
0.6Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 4 available matches.
Inspect CSKA Sofia’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Ludogorets
10 matchesResults6 wins · 1 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.4
Goals conceded per game0.9
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
MontanaAway · First League3–0Levski SofiaHome · First League1–0Lokomotiv PlovdivHome · First League1–1Ferencvarosi TCAway · UEFA Europa League0–2Botev PlovdivAway · First League1–2Ferencvarosi TCHome · UEFA Europa League2–1BeroeHome · First League2–1Levski SofiaHome · Cup1–0Lokomotiv SofiaAway · First League3–1Levski SofiaHome · Super Cup0–1
CSKA Sofia
10 matchesResults7 wins · 1 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.5
Goals conceded per game0.6
Games with 3+ goals3 of 10
Both teams scored3 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Lokomotiv SofiaHome · First League2–0Botev VratsaHome · First League1–0Septemvri SofiaAway · First League0–2Slavia SofiaHome · First League1–0CSKA 1948Away · First League2–0CSKA 1948Home · Cup2–0Arda KardzhaliHome · First League3–1Dunav RuseHome · Friendlies Clubs3–1LNZ CherkasyHome · Friendlies Clubs0–0Mlada BoleslavHome · Friendlies Clubs1–2
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Ludogorets at home with CSKA Sofia away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 04:51 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
First League · 2025/26 · all league matches
LudogoretsCSKA Sofia
25Matches played25
50Points earned46
14Wins13
1.8Goals scored / match1.5
0.7Goals conceded / match0.7
14Clean sheets9
4Failed to score7
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Ludogorets at home with CSKA Sofia away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Ludogorets
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Per-Mathias Hogmo
- 39
H. BonmannG - 2
J. AnderssonD - 24
O. VerdonD - 4
D. AlmeidaD - 3
A. NedyalkovD - 26
F. KalocM - 23
D. DuarteM - 77
Erick MarcusM - 14
P. StanicM - 18
I. ChochevM - 9
K. DuahF
Substitutes (9)
29 · E. Bile
12 · Rwan Cruz
37 · B. Tekpetey
82 · I. Yordanov
1 · S. Padt
7 · A. Salido Tajero
27 · Vinicius Nogueira
15 · E. Kurtulus
17 · Son
CSKA Sofia
Confirmed formation4-1-4-1Hristo Yanev
- 21
F. Lapoukhov - 2
PastorD - 5
L. DellovaD - 14
T. IvanovD - 17
A. MartinoD - 6
B. JordaoM - 11
M. BrahimiM - 99
J. Eto'o - 10
M. EbongM - 38
Leo PereiraM - 28
I. PittasF
Substitutes (9)
3 · A. Yordanov
25 · D. Evtimov
94 · I. Solet
32 · F. Rodriguez
4 · A. Lapena
19 · I. Turitsov
77 · A. Piedrahita
30 · P. Panayotov
9 · L. Godoy
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Ludogorets
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hendrik Bonmann | 90 | 7.5 | 0 | 0 | — | 30 | 0 |
| Joel Andersson | 90 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | — | 44 | 0 |
| Olivier Verdon | 90 | 7.0 | 0 | 0 | — | 63 | 0 |
| Dinis Almeida | 90 | 7.0 | 0 | 0 | — | 43 | 0 |
| Anton Nedyalkov | 84 | 7.2 | 0 | 0 | — | 27 | 0 |
| Filip Kaloč | 90 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | — | 45 | 0 |
| Deroy Duarte | 90 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | — | 53 | 1 |
| Erick Marcus | 89 | 7.5 | 0 | 1 | — | 23 | 1 |
| Petar Stanić | 90 | 7.2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 0 |
| Ivajlo Chochev | 84 | 7.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 2 |
| Kwadwo Duah | 68 | 7.0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 1 |
| Rwan Cruz | 21 | 7.3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| Son | 12 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | — | 7 | 0 |
| Alberto Salido | 12 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | — | 4 | 0 |
| Vinicius Nogueira | 7 | — | 0 | 0 | — | 3 | 0 |
| Bernard Tekpetey | 7 | — | 0 | 0 | — | 2 | 0 |
CSKA Sofia
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fedor Lapoukhov | 90 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | — | 23 | 0 |
| Pastor | 83 | 5.9 | 0 | 0 | — | 25 | 0 |
| Lumbardh Dellova | 90 | 5.6 | 0 | 0 | — | 54 | 3 |
| Teodor Ivanov | 90 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | — | 44 | 1 |
| Ángelo Martino | 90 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | — | 40 | 0 |
| Bruno Jordão | 83 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | — | 30 | 1 |
| Mohamed Brahimi | 66 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | — | 10 | 0 |
| James Eto'o | 90 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 30 | 0 |
| Max Ebong | 66 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1 |
| Léo Pereira | 90 | 7.2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 0 |
| Ioannis Pittas | 90 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 0 |
| Isaac Solet | 30 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
| Alejandro Piedrahita | 30 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
| Ivan Turitsov | 13 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | — | 9 | 0 |
| Petko Panayotov | 13 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 |
| Facundo Rodríguez | 5 | — | 0 | 0 | — | 5 | 0 |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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