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FriendliesFriendlies 1THE MATCH CENTRE

USA vs Paraguay match centre

USA badgeUSAHome
DWWDW
Momentum↑ Strong75/100OlderLatest
Full time
2:1
UK time · Europe/London
Paraguay badgeParaguayAway
DWWDL
Momentum↘ Falling49/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
G. Reyna4′
F. Balogun71′
A. Arce10′
Subaru ParkSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
USAParaguay
5Corner Kicks8
8Fouls7
2Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
2Goalkeeper Saves1
527Total passes419
448Passes accurate341

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

USA 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Paraguay 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

USA

2/3Wins
2.3Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game

Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At home, 2 wins from 3 available matches.

Inspect USA’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Paraguay

2/4Wins
1.0Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game

Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 3 available matches.

Inspect Paraguay’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • At least one team has fewer than five usable recent results.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare USA at home with Paraguay away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 01:51 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Friendlies · 2025/26 · all league matches

USAParaguay
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares USA at home with Paraguay away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

2 recorded meetings

USA

2wins
0 draws

Paraguay

0wins

Jun 2016 – Mar 2018 · Historical meetings. Squads and team strength have changed.

Scores shown with USA first; venues vary.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

USA

Confirmed formationPendingMauricio Roberto Pochettino Trossero
  1. 1M. FreeseG
  2. 5J. ScallyD
  3. 12M. RobinsonD
  4. 13T. ReamD
  5. 2S. DestM
  6. 8T. TessmannM
  7. 6C. RoldanM
  8. 18M. ArfstenM
  9. 7G. ReynaF
  10. 11B. AaronsonF
  11. 20F. BalogunF
Substitutes (13)

24 · R. Celentano

21 · J. Klinsmann

25 · P. Schulte

16 · A. Freeman

22 · M. McKenzie

3 · J. Tolkin

15 · A. Trusty

17 · S. Berhalter

10 · D. Luna

23 · A. Morris

14 · T. Tillman

9 · R. Pepi

19 · H. Wright

Paraguay

Confirmed formationPendingGustavo Julio Alfaro
  1. 12O. GillG
  2. 4J. CaceresD
  3. 15G. GomezD
  4. 6J. AlonsoD
  5. 14B. RiverosD
  6. 11D. GonzalezM
  7. 16D. BobadillaM
  8. 8D. GomezM
  9. 10M. AlmironM
  10. 18A. ArceF
  11. 19J. EncisoF
Substitutes (15)

1 · R. Fernandez

22 · A. Perez

2 · G. Velazquez

3 · O. Alderete

5 · A. Duarte

7 · R. Sosa

9 · A. Sanabria

13 · A. Benitez

17 · Kaku

20 · B. Ojeda

21 · R. Martinez

23 · M. Galarza

24 · A. Sandez

25 · D. Leon

26 · L. Romero

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

USA

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Matthew Freese886.7———13—
Joseph Scally677.0———614
Miles Robinson887.0———89—
Tim Ream886.9———811
Sergiño Dest676.3———34—
Tanner Tessmann887.3———512
Cristian Roldán756.9——1382
Maximilian Arfsten887.3—1—514
Giovanni Reyna757.91—1472
Brenden Aaronson806.3———27—
Folarin Balogun757.21—26—
Alexander Freeman216.7———9—
Diego Luna216.3———41
Timothy Tillman136.9———21
Aidan Morris136.6———81
Ricardo Pepi136.2———5—
Sebastian Berhalter86.7———1—
Jonathan Klinsmann———————
Roman Celentano———————
Patrick Schulte———————
Auston Trusty———————
Mark McKenzie———————
John Tolkin———————
Haji Wright———————

Paraguay

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Orlando Gill886.6———17—
Juan Cáceres887.2———413
Gustavo Gómez886.9——1332
Junior Alonso886.6———511
Blás Riveros887.2———374
Diego González616.3———182
Damián Bobadilla886.9———593
Diego Gómez806.9———351
Miguel Almirón886.9—11542
Alex Arce727.31—1251
Julio Enciso726.7———251
Ramón Sosa276.7———10—
Braian Ojeda166.6——15—
Antonio Sanabria166.3———1—
Alejandro Romero86.7———8—
Aldo Perez———————
Gatito Fernández———————
Diego León———————
Gustavo Velázquez———————
Omar Alderete———————
Alexis Duarte———————
Alan Benítez———————
Agustín Sández———————
Matías Galarza———————
Lucas Romero———————
Ronaldo Martinez———————
2025/26 STANDINGS

Friendlies table

League centre ↗

Current standings. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

Standings are not available for this competition and season.

THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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