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FriendliesFriendlies 1THE MATCH CENTRE

USA vs Uruguay match centre

USA badgeUSAHome
WWDWW
Momentum↗ Rising87/100OlderLatest
Full time
5:1
UK time · Europe/London
Uruguay badgeUruguayAway
WDWWD
Momentum↑ Strong71/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
Sebastian Berhalter17′
Alexander Freeman20′
Alexander Freeman31′
Diego Luna42′
Tanner Tessmann68′
Giorgian De Arrascaeta45+1′
Raymond James Stadium · TampaSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
USAUruguay
7Corner Kicks5
0Fouls0
2Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards1
1Goalkeeper Saves2
384Total passes419
326Passes accurate349

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

USA 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Uruguay 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

USA

3/4Wins
2.3Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game

Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 4 available matches.

Inspect USA’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Uruguay

4/7Wins
1.1Goals / game
0.1Conceded / game

Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 4 available matches.

Inspect Uruguay’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • At least one team has fewer than five usable recent results.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

Uruguay

7 matches
Oldest newest
Results4 wins · 3 draws · 0 losses
Goals scored per game1.1
Goals conceded per game0.1
Games with 3+ goals2 of 7
Both teams scored1 of 7

Past results, not predictions.

See results
About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare USA at home with Uruguay away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 01:52 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Friendlies · 2025/26 · all league matches

USAUruguay
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares USA at home with Uruguay away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

USA

Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Mauricio Roberto Pochettino Trossero
  1. 1Matthew FreeseG
  2. 16Alexander FreemanD
  3. 22Mark McKenzieD
  4. 15Auston TrustyD
  5. 2Sergiño DestM
  6. 23Aidan MorrisM
  7. 17Sebastian BerhalterM
  8. 3John TolkinM
  9. 14Timothy TillmanF
  10. 10Diego LunaF
  11. 19Haji WrightF
Substitutes (13)

20 · Folarin Balogun

8 · Tanner Tessmann

7 · Giovanni Reyna

18 · Maximilian Arfsten

11 · Brenden Aaronson

6 · Cristian Roldán

24 · Roman Celentano

25 · Patrick Schulte

21 · Jonathan Klinsmann

5 · Joseph Scally

12 · Miles Robinson

13 · Tim Ream

9 · Ricardo Pepi

Uruguay

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Marcelo Alberto Bielsa Caldera
  1. 1Cristopher FiermarínG
  2. 8Nahitan NándezD
  3. 4Ronald AraújoD
  4. 16Mathías OliveraD
  5. 17Matías ViñaD
  6. 6Rodrigo BentancurM
  7. 5Manuel UgarteM
  8. 14Rodrigo ZalazarM
  9. 10Giorgian De ArrascaetaM
  10. 20Maximiliano AraújoM
  11. 9Federico ViñasF
Substitutes (12)

22 · Joaquín Piquerez

18 · Brian Rodríguez

7 · Rodrigo Aguirre

15 · Emiliano Martínez

21 · Facundo Torres

23 · Santiago Mele

12 · Kevin Martínez

13 · Guillermo Varela

2 · José María Giménez

3 · Santiago Bueno

11 · Juan Manuel Sanabria

19 · Luciano Rodríguez

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

USA

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Matthew Freese916.3———21—
Alexander Freeman918.72—2331
Mark McKenzie916.7———47—
Auston Trusty917.2—1—461
Sergiño Dest617.2—1—162
Aidan Morris897.2——1573
Sebastian Berhalter918.7111311
John Tolkin757.0———201
Timothy Tillman757.2——1261
Diego Luna617.21—1241
Haji Wright606.3———12—
Folarin Balogun316.3———3—
Tanner Tessmann307.21—112—
Giovanni Reyna307.0—1—182
Maximilian Arfsten166.7———10—
Brenden Aaronson166.2———5—
Cristian Roldán2————3—
Roman Celentano———————
Patrick Schulte———————
Jonathan Klinsmann———————
Joseph Scally———————
Miles Robinson———————
Tim Ream———————
Ricardo Pepi———————

Uruguay

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Cristopher Fiermarín915.6———32—
Nahitan Nández915.9———371
Ronald Araújo916.6———463
Mathías Olivera916.0———471
Matías Viña456.2———18—
Rodrigo Bentancur646.3—01555
Manuel Ugarte916.5———511
Rodrigo Zalazar456.6—1—151
Giorgian De Arrascaeta677.31—3301
Maximiliano Araújo725.9———18—
Federico Viñas456.9——1151
Joaquín Piquerez466.3———18—
Brian Rodríguez466.9———19—
Rodrigo Aguirre466.5———9—
Emiliano Martínez246.3———61
Facundo Torres196.5———3—
Santiago Mele———————
Kevin Martínez———————
Guillermo Varela———————
José María Giménez———————
Santiago Bueno———————
Juan Manuel Sanabria———————
Luciano Rodríguez———————
2025/26 STANDINGS

Friendlies table

League centre ↗

Current standings. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

Standings are not available for this competition and season.

THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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