Mexico
6/10Wins
1.6Goals / game
0.4Conceded / game
Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At home, 5 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Mexico’s results
World CupGroup Stage - 1THE MATCH CENTREMexico vs South Africa match centre
90′ · Live
2:0
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
J. Quinones9′
R. Jimenez67′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate100.0%Mexico
Draw0.0%at full time
Current result estimate0.0%South Africa
Another goal5.4%before full time
Next goal: Mexico 3.9% · no further goal 94.6% · South Africa 1.5%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.MexicoSouth Africa
1.410Expected goals · API-Football0.070
4Shots on target2
16Total Shots3
61%Ball Possession39%
3Corner Kicks1
11Fouls11
1Yellow Cards2
1Red Cards2
2Goalkeeper Saves2
519Total passes322
466Passes accurate262
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Group AProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mexico | 4 | +8 | 12 | — |
| 2 |  South Africa | 4 | -3 | 4 | — |
| 3 |  South Korea | 3 | -1 | 3 | — |
| 4 |  Czechia | 3 | -4 | 1 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Mexico 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
South Africa 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
South Africa
5/10Wins
2.0Goals / game
1.1Conceded / game
Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 5 available matches.
Inspect South Africa’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Mexico
10 matchesResults6 wins · 3 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game1.6
Goals conceded per game0.4
Games with 3+ goals3 of 10
Both teams scored3 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
South Africa
10 matchesResults5 wins · 4 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game2.0
Goals conceded per game1.1
Games with 3+ goals7 of 10
Both teams scored7 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
JamaicaAway · Friendlies1–1NicaraguaHome · Friendlies0–0PanamaHome · Friendlies1–1CameroonHome · Africa Cup of Nations1–2ZimbabweAway · Africa Cup of Nations3–2AngolaHome · Africa Cup of Nations2–1ZambiaHome · Friendlies3–1RwandaHome · World Cup - Qualification Africa3–0LesothoAway · World Cup - Qualification Africa3–0UgandaHome · African Nations Championship3–3
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Mexico at home with South Africa away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:22 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
World Cup · 2026/27 · all league matches
MexicoSouth Africa
0Matches played0
0Points earned0
0Wins0
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
0Clean sheets0
0Failed to score0
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Mexico at home with South Africa away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Mexico
Confirmed formation4-1-4-1Javier Aguirre
- 1
R. RangelG - 15
I. ReyesD - 3
C. MontesD - 5
J. VasquezD - 23
J. GallardoD - 6
E. LiraM - 25
R. AlvaradoM - 26
B. GutierrezM - 8
A. FidalgoM - 16
J. QuinonesM - 9
R. JimenezF
Substitutes (15)
13 · G. Ochoa
12 · C. Acevedo
22 · G. Martinez
24 · L. Chavez
18 · O. Vargas
20 · M. Chavez Garcia
17 · O. Pineda
10 · A. Vega
2 · J. Sanchez
4 · E. Alvarez
11 · S. Gimenez
21 · C. S. Huerta Valera
7 · L. Romo
14 · A. Gonzalez
19 · G. Mora
South Africa
Confirmed formation5-3-2Hugo Broos
- 1
R. WilliamsG - 20
K. MudauD - 19
N. SibisiD - 21
I. OkonD - 14
M. MbokaziD - 6
A. ModibaD - 4
T. MokoenaM - 13
Y. SitholeM - 23
J. AdamsM - 15
I. RaynersF - 9
L. FosterF
Substitutes (15)
22 · R. Goss
16 · S. Chaine
26 · B. Cross
5 · T. Mbatha
17 · E. Makgopa
2 · T. Matuludi
3 · K. Ndamane
11 · T. Zwane
7 · O. Appollis
8 · T. Moremi
12 · T. Maseko
25 · K. Sebelebele
24 · O. Makhanya
10 · R. Mofokeng
18 · S. Kabini
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Mexico
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raúl Rangel | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 30 | — |
| Israel Reyes | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 42 | — |
| César Montes | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 65 | — |
| Johan Vásquez | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 81 | 1 |
| Jesús Gallardo | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 45 | — |
| Erik Lira | 76 | 7.2 | — | 1 | — | 45 | 1 |
| Roberto Alvarado | 90 | 8.2 | — | 1 | — | 35 | 4 |
| Brian Gutiérrez | 66 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 2 | 23 | — |
| Álvaro Fidalgo | 66 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 34 | 1 |
| Julián Quiñones | 79 | 8.3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 33 | — |
| Raúl Jiménez | 76 | 7.9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 1 |
| Gilberto Mora | 24 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 14 | — |
| Luis Chávez | 24 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 28 | 1 |
| Edson Álvarez | 14 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 15 | 1 |
| Armando González | 14 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 1 | — |
| Alexis Vega | 11 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 10 | — |
| Carlos Acevedo | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Guillermo Ochoa | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jorge Sánchez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luis Romo | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mateo Chávez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| César Huerta | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Obed Vargas | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Orbelín Pineda | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Guillermo Martínez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Santiago Giménez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
South Africa
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ronwen Williams | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 40 | — |
| Khuliso Mudau | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 29 | 4 |
| Nkosinathi Sibisi | 90 | 6.0 | — | 0 | — | 50 | — |
| Ime Okon | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 50 | 2 |
| Mbekezeli Mbokazi | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 30 | 2 |
| Aubrey Modiba | 77 | 5.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 15 | 3 |
| Teboho Mokoena | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 42 | — |
| Siphephelo Sithole | 49 | 5.0 | — | 0 | — | 19 | — |
| Jayden Adams | 61 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 20 | — |
| Iqraam Rayners | 77 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 10 | — |
| Lyle Foster | 56 | 5.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 5 | — |
| Thalente Mbatha | 34 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 7 | 2 |
| Themba Zwane | 23 | 5.2 | — | 0 | — | 7 | — |
| Oswin Appollis | 13 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 6 | 1 |
| Evidence Makgopa | 13 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 5 | — |
| Ricardo Goss | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sipho Chaine | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bradley Cross | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Khulumani Ndamane | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Olwethu Makhanya | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Samukelo Kabini | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tholo Thabang Matuludi | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tshepang Moremi | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Relebohile Mofokeng | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kamogelo Sebelebele | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Thapelo Maseko | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Mexico | Draw | South Africa |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.42 | 4.50 | 8.00 |
Snapshot from 10 Jun 2026, 20:08 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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