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Mexico vs Serbia match centre

Mexico badgeMexicoHome
WDDWW
Momentum↗ Rising75/100OlderLatest
Full time
5:1
UK time · Europe/London
Serbia badgeSerbiaAway
WDLWL
Momentum→ Steady45/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
J. Vasquez34′
S. Bukinac45+2′ (og)
R. Jimenez57′
A. Avdic72′ (og)
P. Stanic19′
Estadio Nemesio Diez · TolucaSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
MexicoSerbia
6Corner Kicks1
12Fouls5
2Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
0Goalkeeper Saves5
551Total passes282
511Passes accurate239

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Mexico 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Serbia 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Mexico

6/10Wins
1.2Goals / game
0.3Conceded / game

Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At home, 5 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Mexico’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Serbia

4/10Wins
0.9Goals / game
1.6Conceded / game

Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 6 available matches.

Inspect Serbia’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Mexico at home with Serbia away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 00:26 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Friendlies · 2026/27 · all league matches

MexicoSerbia
6Matches played2
14Points earned3
4Wins1
1.5Goals scored / match1.0
0.2Goals conceded / match2.0
5Clean sheets0
1Failed to score1

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Mexico at home with Serbia away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Mexico

Confirmed formation4-1-4-1Javier Aguirre
  1. 1R. RangelG
  2. 2J. SanchezD
  3. 3C. MontesD
  4. 5J. VasquezD
  5. 23J. GallardoD
  6. 6E. LiraM
  7. 26B. GutierrezM
  8. 25R. AlvaradoM
  9. 8A. FidalgoM
  10. 16J. QuinonesM
  11. 9R. JimenezF
Substitutes (15)

13 · G. Ochoa

12 · C. Acevedo

22 · G. Martinez

24 · L. Chavez

15 · I. Reyes

18 · O. Vargas

20 · M. Chavez Garcia

17 · O. Pineda

10 · A. Vega

4 · E. Alvarez

11 · S. Gimenez

21 · C. S. Huerta Valera

7 · L. Romo

14 · A. Gonzalez

19 · G. Mora

Serbia

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Dragan Stojković
  1. 1F. StankovicG
  2. 26V. DjurdjevicD
  3. 16S. ErakovicD
  4. 4N. SimicD
  5. 25S. BukinacD
  6. 10A. StankovicM
  7. 6V. DragojevicM
  8. 11L. RandjelovicM
  9. 24P. StanicM
  10. 21V. LucicM
  11. 18N. StulicF
Substitutes (13)

12 · V. Ilic

23 · L. Lijeskic

7 · V. Birmancevic

20 · A. Maksimovic

19 · M. Ivanovic

15 · A. Avdic

3 · P. Petrovic

22 · V. Kostov

5 · N. Petrovic

8 · D. Zukic

13 · M. Milikic

2 · O. Mimovic

17 · K. Nedeljkovic

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Mexico

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Raúl Rangel906.3—0—26—
Jorge Sánchez906.3—0—50—
César Montes596.5—01541
Johan Vásquez737.310173—
Jesús Gallardo726.5—0—48—
Erik Lira456.3—0—34—
Brian Gutiérrez587.5—12351
Roberto Alvarado737.5—0—502
Álvaro Fidalgo596.9—0—54—
Julián Quiñones586.5—04371
Raúl Jiménez596.910310—
Edson Álvarez456.6—0—211
Alexis Vega326.9—0113—
Guillermo Martínez326.3—013—
Israel Reyes316.6—0—71
Gilberto Mora316.9—0—11—
Luis Chávez317.710217—
Luis Romo186.7—0—11—
Mateo Chávez177.0—0—52
Orbelín Pineda176.7—0—5—
Guillermo Ochoa———————
Carlos Acevedo———————
César Huerta———————
Obed Vargas———————
Santiago Giménez———————
Armando González———————

Serbia

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Filip Stanković616.6—0—20—
Vukašin Đurđević755.9—0—252
Strahinja Eraković795.9—0—34—
Nikola Simic756.0—0—302
Stefan Bukinac615.2—0162
Aleksandar Stanković756.6—0—391
Vanja Dragojević616.2—0—11—
Lazar Ranđelović456.7—0—41
Petar Stanić457.51016—
Vladimir Lučić796.0—0—26—
Nikola Štulić456.6—0—71
Dejan Zukić456.2—0—9—
Veljko Birmančević456.3—0—62
Mihailo Ivanović456.3—016—
Veljko Ilić296.3—0—5—
Adem Avdić295.3—0—23
Njegoš Petrović296.3—0—17—
Petar Petrović156.5—0—12—
Ognjen Mimović156.2—0—4—
Vasilije Kostov156.5—0—4—
Mirko Milikić116.5—0—7—
Kosta Nedeljković116.2—0—3—
Luka Lijeskić———————
Andrija Maksimović———————
2026/27 STANDINGS

Friendlies table

League centre ↗

Current standings. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

Standings are not available for this competition and season.

THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerMexicoDrawSerbia
Bet3651.225.0011.00

Snapshot from 4 Jun 2026, 20:12 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

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