England
7/8Wins
2.8Goals / game
0.1Conceded / game
Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At home, 4 wins from 5 available matches.
Inspect England’s results
World CupGroup Stage - 1THE MATCH CENTREEngland vs Croatia match centre
Full time
4:2
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
H. Kane12′ (pen)
H. Kane42′
J. Bellingham47′
M. Rashford85′
M. Baturina36′
P. Musa45+5′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
EnglandCroatia
2.800Expected goals · API-Football0.710
11Shots on target5
21Total Shots8
52%Ball Possession48%
8Corner Kicks1
9Fouls11
—Yellow Cards—
—Red Cards—
3Goalkeeper Saves7
469Total passes429
402Passes accurate368
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
England 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Croatia 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Croatia
7/10Wins
1.9Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 5 available matches.
Inspect Croatia’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
England
8 matchesResults7 wins · 1 draws · 0 losses
Goals scored per game2.8
Goals conceded per game0.1
Games with 3+ goals4 of 8
Both teams scored1 of 8
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Costa RicaHome · Friendlies3–0New ZealandHome · Friendlies1–0UruguayHome · Friendlies1–1AlbaniaAway · World Cup - Qualification Europe2–0SerbiaHome · World Cup - Qualification Europe2–0LatviaAway · World Cup - Qualification Europe5–0WalesHome · Friendlies3–0SerbiaAway · World Cup - Qualification Europe5–0
Croatia
10 matchesResults7 wins · 1 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.9
Goals conceded per game1.0
Games with 3+ goals7 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
SloveniaHome · Friendlies2–1BelgiumHome · Friendlies0–2BrazilAway · Friendlies1–3ColombiaAway · Friendlies2–1MontenegroAway · World Cup - Qualification Europe3–2Faroe IslandsHome · World Cup - Qualification Europe3–1GibraltarHome · World Cup - Qualification Europe3–0CzechiaAway · World Cup - Qualification Europe0–0MontenegroHome · World Cup - Qualification Europe4–0Faroe IslandsAway · World Cup - Qualification Europe1–0
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare England at home with Croatia away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 01:51 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
World Cup · 2026/27 · all league matches
EnglandCroatia
0Matches played0
0Points earned0
0Wins0
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
0Clean sheets0
0Failed to score0
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares England at home with Croatia away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
England
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Thomas Tuchel
- 1
J. PickfordG - 24
R. JamesD - 2
E. KonsaD - 5
J. StonesD - 3
N. O'ReillyD - 8
E. AndersonM - 4
D. RiceM - 20
N. MaduekeM - 10
J. BellinghamM - 18
A. GordonM - 9
H. KaneF
Substitutes (14)
13 · D. Henderson
23 · J. Trafford
14 · J. Henderson
15 · D. Burn
19 · O. Watkins
17 · M. Rogers
7 · B. Saka
16 · K. Mainoo
22 · I. Toney
11 · M. Rashford
21 · E. Eze
6 · M. Guehi
25 · D. Spence
26 · J. Quansah
Croatia
Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Zlatko Dalic
- 1
D. LivakovicG - 6
J. SutaloD - 22
L. VuskovicD - 4
J. GvardiolD - 2
J. StanisicM - 10
L. ModricM - 15
M. PasalicM - 14
I. PerisicM - 17
P. SucicF - 16
M. BaturinaF - 26
P. MusaF
Substitutes (15)
23 · D. Kotarski
12 · I. Pandur
9 · A. Kramaric
11 · A. Budimir
5 · D. Caleta-Car
13 · N. Vlasic
7 · N. Moro
25 · M. Erlic
18 · K. Jakic
3 · M. Pongracic
21 · L. Sucic
24 · M. Pasalic
20 · I. Matanovic
8 · M. Kovacic
19 · T. Fruk
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
England
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Pickford | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 55 | — |
| Reece James | 90 | 5.9 | — | 0 | — | 43 | — |
| Ezri Konsa | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 2 | 71 | — |
| John Stones | 87 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 65 | 1 |
| Nico O'Reilly | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 2 | 43 | — |
| Elliot Anderson | 90 | 7.0 | — | 1 | — | 55 | 2 |
| Declan Rice | 72 | 6.9 | — | 1 | 1 | 36 | — |
| Noni Madueke | 72 | 7.7 | — | 0 | — | 18 | — |
| Jude Bellingham | 80 | 7.6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 3 |
| Anthony Gordon | 72 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 11 | — |
| Harry Kane | 90 | 8.5 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 21 | 1 |
| Morgan Rogers | 18 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 7 | 1 |
| Bukayo Saka | 18 | 7.3 | — | 1 | — | 6 | — |
| Marcus Rashford | 18 | 7.2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | — |
| Djed Spence | 10 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 |
| Marc Guéhi | 10 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 7 | — |
| Dean Henderson | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| James Trafford | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dan Burn | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jarell Quansah | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eberechi Eze | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jordan Henderson | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kobbie Mainoo | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ivan Toney | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ollie Watkins | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Croatia
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dominik Livaković | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 35 | 1 |
| Josip Šutalo | 90 | 6.0 | — | 0 | 1 | 69 | — |
| Luka Vušković | 66 | 6.0 | — | 0 | — | 42 | — |
| Joško Gvardiol | 90 | 5.6 | — | 0 | — | 47 | 1 |
| Josip Stanišić | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 34 | 2 |
| Luka Modrić | 58 | 6.0 | — | 0 | — | 27 | — |
| Mario Pašalić | 79 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 22 | 1 |
| Ivan Perišić | 90 | 6.6 | — | 1 | — | 29 | 1 |
| Petar Sučić | 90 | 6.7 | — | 1 | 1 | 42 | 1 |
| Martin Baturina | 78 | 7.9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 32 | 1 |
| Petar Musa | 66 | 7.5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 |
| Mateo Kovačić | 32 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 30 | 1 |
| Marco Pašalić | 24 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 10 | 1 |
| Igor Matanović | 24 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Nikola Vlašić | 12 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 4 | — |
| Andrej Kramarić | 11 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 10 | — |
| Dominik Kotarski | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ivor Pandur | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Duje Ćaleta-Car | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marin Pongračić | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Martin Erlić | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kristijan Jakić | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luka Sučić | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nikola Moro | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Toni Fruk | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ante Budimir | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗World Cup table
Current standings · Group L. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
Ghana
PanamaTHE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | England | Draw | Croatia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.73 | 3.80 | 4.75 |
Snapshot from 16 Jun 2026, 20:07 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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