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Croatia vs Belgium match centre

Croatia badgeCroatiaHome
WWWWL
Momentum↘ Falling74/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
0:2
UK time · Europe/London
Belgium badgeBelgiumAway
WDWWD
Momentum↑ Strong71/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
Y. Tielemans38′
R. Lukaku90+6′
Stadion HNK Rijeka Dean Šćulac · RijekaSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate0.0%Croatia
Draw0.1%at full time
Current result estimate99.9%Belgium
Another goal8.1%before full time

Next goal: Croatia 3.8% · no further goal 91.9% · Belgium 4.3%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
CroatiaBelgium
3Corner Kicks4
13Fouls12
2Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
3Goalkeeper Saves1
510Total passes414
444Passes accurate344

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Croatia 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Belgium 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Croatia

8/10Wins
2.9Goals / game
0.8Conceded / game

Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At home, 4 wins from 4 available matches.

Inspect Croatia’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Belgium

6/10Wins
3.5Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game

Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 6 available matches.

Inspect Belgium’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

Croatia

10 matches
Oldest newest
Results8 wins · 1 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game2.9
Goals conceded per game0.8
Games with 3+ goals8 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10

Past results, not predictions.

See results

Belgium

10 matches
Oldest newest
Results6 wins · 4 draws · 0 losses
Goals scored per game3.5
Goals conceded per game1.0
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10

Past results, not predictions.

See results
About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Croatia at home with Belgium away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 01:56 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Friendlies · 2026/27 · all league matches

CroatiaBelgium
2Matches played2
3Points earned4
1Wins1
1.5Goals scored / match3.0
2.0Goals conceded / match1.5
0Clean sheets0
0Failed to score0

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Croatia at home with Belgium away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Croatia

Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Zlatko Dalic
  1. 1D. LivakovicG
  2. 6J. SutaloD
  3. 22L. VuskovicD
  4. 4J. GvardiolD
  5. 2J. StanisicM
  6. 10L. ModricM
  7. 8M. KovacicM
  8. 14I. PerisicM
  9. 17P. SucicF
  10. 16M. BaturinaF
  11. 26P. MusaF
Substitutes (15)

23 · D. Kotarski

12 · I. Pandur

9 · A. Kramaric

11 · A. Budimir

5 · D. Caleta-Car

13 · N. Vlasic

7 · N. Moro

25 · M. Erlic

18 · K. Jakic

3 · M. Pongracic

21 · L. Sucic

24 · M. Pasalic

20 · I. Matanovic

15 · M. Pasalic

19 · T. Fruk

Belgium

Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Rudi Garcia
  1. 1T. CourtoisG
  2. 25N. NgoyD
  3. 24A. OnanaD
  4. 3A. TheateD
  5. 22A. SaelemaekersM
  6. 23N. RaskinM
  7. 8Y. TielemansM
  8. 5M. De CuyperM
  9. 7K. De BruyneF
  10. 11J. DokuF
  11. 17C. De KetelaereF
Substitutes (13)

12 · S. Lammens

13 · M. Penders

6 · A. Witsel

9 · R. Lukaku

20 · H. Vanaken

26 · M. Fernandez-Pardo

19 · D. Moreira

15 · T. Meunier

4 · B. Mechele

21 · T. Castagne

14 · D. Lukebakio

16 · K. De Winter

18 · J. Seys

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Croatia

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Dominik Livaković596.7———21—
Josip Šutalo716.7———451
Luka Vušković976.5———732
Joško Gvardiol596.6———431
Josip Stanišić596.3———271
Luka Modrić586.7——1421
Mateo Kovačić586.9———471
Ivan Perišić716.9———212
Petar Sučić716.3———26—
Martin Baturina716.9———29—
Petar Musa586.7——1121
Mario Pašalić396.6———14—
Luka Sučić396.9———122
Ante Budimir396.6——121
Dominik Kotarski386.2———9—
Marin Pongračić386.5———33—
Marco Pašalić386.3——1192
Nikola Moro266.7———251
Nikola Vlašić266.2———10—
Kristijan Jakić266.3———17—
Andrej Kramarić266.7———9—
Ivor Pandur———————
Duje Ćaleta-Car———————
Martin Erlić———————
Toni Fruk———————
Igor Matanović———————

Belgium

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Thibaut Courtois976.9———38—
Nathan Ngoy687.0———271
Amadou Onana677.3———482
Arthur Theate977.5———57—
Alexis Saelemaekers676.2———201
Nicolas Raskin796.5———31—
Youri Tielemans978.21—1311
Maxim De Cuyper686.9—1125—
Kevin De Bruyne676.7——135—
Jérémy Doku737.2——2181
Charles De Ketelaere736.2———81
Thomas Meunier306.7———13—
Koni De Winter306.9———17—
Joaquin Seys306.7———12—
Brandon Mechele296.6———91
Hans Vanaken296.9—1112—
Romelu Lukaku247.01—14—
Matías Fernández-Pardo246.7———8—
Axel Witsel186.5———4—
Senne Lammens———————
Mike Penders———————
Timothy Castagne———————
Dodi Lukebakio———————
Diego Moreira———————
2026/27 STANDINGS

Friendlies table

League centre ↗

Current standings. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

Standings are not available for this competition and season.

THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerCroatiaDrawBelgium
Bet3652.403.502.55

Snapshot from 1 Jun 2026, 20:11 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

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