San Diego
1/10Wins
1.4Goals / game
2.1Conceded / game
Keep in view: 6 losses in that sample. At home, 5 wins from 9 available matches.
Inspect San Diego’s results
Major League SoccerMatchweek 15THE MATCH CENTRESan Diego vs FC Cincinnati match centre
90′ · Live
3:3
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
M. Ingvartsen32′
A. Pellegrino66′
M. Ingvartsen90+6′
K. Mboma11′
T. Barlow50′
T. Barlow90+8′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate4.0%San Diego
Draw92.5%at full time
Current result estimate3.5%FC Cincinnati
Another goal7.7%before full time
Next goal: San Diego 4.1% · no further goal 92.3% · FC Cincinnati 3.6%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.San DiegoFC Cincinnati
1.780Expected goals · API-Football1.410
5Shots on target5
16Total Shots7
64%Ball Possession36%
7Corner Kicks2
8Fouls9
1Yellow Cards3
—Red Cards—
3Goalkeeper Saves2
713Total passes422
646Passes accurate353
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
San Diego 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
FC Cincinnati 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
FC Cincinnati
3/10Wins
2.5Goals / game
2.9Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect FC Cincinnati’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
San Diego
10 matchesResults1 wins · 3 draws · 6 losses
Goals scored per game1.4
Goals conceded per game2.1
Games with 3+ goals8 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
AustinHome · Major League Soccer5–0Seattle SoundersAway · Major League Soccer1–1Los Angeles FCHome · Major League Soccer2–2Portland TimbersHome · Major League Soccer1–2Houston DynamoAway · Major League Soccer0–1Real Salt LakeAway · Major League Soccer2–4Minnesota United FCHome · Major League Soccer1–2San Jose EarthquakesAway · Major League Soccer0–3Real Salt LakeHome · Major League Soccer2–2TolucaAway · CONCACAF Champions League0–4
FC Cincinnati
10 matchesResults3 wins · 4 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game2.5
Goals conceded per game2.9
Games with 3+ goals8 of 10
Both teams scored9 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Inter MiamiHome · Major League Soccer3–5CharlotteAway · Major League Soccer2–2Chicago FireAway · Major League Soccer3–2New York Red BullsHome · Major League Soccer2–0New York City FCAway · Major League Soccer4–4Chicago FireHome · Major League Soccer3–3Toronto FCAway · Major League Soccer1–1New York Red BullsAway · Major League Soccer2–4CF MontrealHome · Major League Soccer4–3Tigres UANLAway · CONCACAF Champions League1–5
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare San Diego at home with FC Cincinnati away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:04 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Major League Soccer · 2026/27 · all league matches
San DiegoFC Cincinnati
11Matches played11
12Points earned15
3Wins4
1.7Goals scored / match2.0
1.7Goals conceded / match2.3
3Clean sheets2
2Failed to score2
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares San Diego at home with FC Cincinnati away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
San Diego
Confirmed formation4-3-3Mikey Varas
- 18
D. FerreeG - 27
L. BombinoD - 97
C. McVeyD - 26
M. DuahD - 5
K. Sargeant - 8
O. ValakariM - 20
A. GodoyM - 19
D. VazquezM - 10
A. DreyerF - 7
M. IngvartsenF - 90
A. PellegrinoF
Substitutes (9)
1 · dos Santos CJ
9 · L. Morgan
70 · A. Alvarado Jr
29 · A. Saidi
25 · I. Pilcher
77 · A. Mighten
15 · P. Soma
33 · O. Verhoeven
14 · B. B. Zamble
FC Cincinnati
Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Pat Noonan
- 18
R. CelentanoG - 4
N. HagglundD - 21
M. MiazgaD - 12
M. RobinsonD - 20
P. BuchaM - 11
S. GidiM - 27
T. AnungaM - 17
K. MbomaM - 22
G. ValenzuelaF - 10
EvanderF - 9
K. DenkeyF
Substitutes (9)
13 · E. Louro
66 · E. Echenique
99 · A. Jabbari
3 · G. Flores
29 · B. J. Ramirez Leon
5 · O. Nwobodo
24 · K. Smith
16 · T. Barlow
55 · A. Lajhar
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
San Diego
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duran Ferree | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 25 | — |
| Luca Bombino | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 62 | 7 |
| Christopher McVey | 90 | 6.0 | — | 0 | — | 129 | 1 |
| Manu Duah | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 102 | — |
| Kieran Sargeant | 45 | 6.9 | — | 1 | — | 25 | — |
| Onni Valakari | 89 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 2 | 78 | 3 |
| Aníbal Godoy | 45 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 55 | 2 |
| David Vazquez | 69 | 5.9 | — | 0 | — | 17 | 1 |
| Anders Dreyer | 90 | 7.9 | — | 0 | 2 | 50 | — |
| Marcus Ingvartsen | 90 | 8.2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 34 | — |
| Amahl Pellegrino | 78 | 7.7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 25 | — |
| Oscar Verhoeven | 45 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 37 | 1 |
| Pedro Soma | 45 | 7.7 | — | 1 | — | 55 | — |
| Alex Mighten | 21 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 2 | — |
| Alejandro Alvarado Jr | 12 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 16 | — |
| Anisse Saidi | 8 | 7.2 | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1 |
| CJ Dos Santos | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ian Pilcher | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bryan Zamblé | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lewis Morgan | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
FC Cincinnati
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roman Celentano | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 38 | — |
| Nick Hagglund | 73 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 40 | 1 |
| Matt Miazga | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 61 | — |
| Miles Robinson | 45 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 21 | — |
| Pavel Bucha | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 41 | 5 |
| Samuel Gidi | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 43 | 2 |
| Tah Anunga | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 38 | 5 |
| Kenji Mboma Dem | 73 | 7.7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 1 |
| Evander | 90 | 8.6 | — | 2 | 2 | 40 | 2 |
| Gerardo Valenzuela | 45 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 10 | — |
| Kévin Denkey | 89 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 13 | — |
| Kyle Smith | 45 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 25 | 1 |
| Tom Barlow | 45 | 8.0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | — |
| Bryan Ramirez | 17 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 10 | 1 |
| Obinna Nwobodo | 17 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 9 | 2 |
| Ayoub Jabbari | 8 | 7.0 | — | 1 | — | 7 | — |
| Evan Louro | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ayoub Lajhar | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gilberto Flores | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ender Echenique | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Major League Soccer table
Current standings · Western Conference. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 59 | 26 | 33 | 50 | DWLWL |
| 2 |  St. Louis City | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 48 | 36 | 12 | 47 | WWWDW |
| 3 |  FC Dallas | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 47 | WDWWW |
| 4 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 45 | WDWWD |
| 5 |  Houston Dynamo | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 34 | 32 | 2 | 44 | LDLWD |
| 6 |  Los Angeles FC | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 43 | 30 | 13 | 41 | LDLWD |
| 7 |  Colorado Rapids | 27 | 11 | 3 | 13 | 38 | 38 | 0 | 36 | LDWDL |
| 8 |  Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 37 | 44 | -7 | 36 | WWDLW |
| 9 |  Seattle Sounders | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 35 | WWDDD |
| 10 |  Portland Timbers | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 48 | 51 | -3 | 32 | LLLDW |
| 11 |  Real Salt Lake | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 40 | 44 | -4 | 32 | WLLLL |
| 12 | San Diego | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 32 | DDLLL |
| 13 |  Austin | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 31 | DDWDD |
| 14 |  Minnesota United FC | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 29 | LLLLL |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 26 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 31 | 63 | -32 | 21 | WLWLL |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | San Diego | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.91 | 4.20 | 3.40 |
Snapshot from 16 May 2026, 21:51 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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