Toluca
5/10Wins
1.6Goals / game
0.8Conceded / game
Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At home, 6 wins from 8 available matches.
Inspect Toluca’s results
CONCACAF Champions LeagueRound of 16THE MATCH CENTREToluca vs San Diego match centre
90′ · Live
4:0
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
J. Angulo43′
Paulinho56′
J. Angulo59′
J. Gallardo90+3′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate100.0%Toluca
Draw0.0%at full time
Current result estimate0.0%San Diego
Another goal7.8%before full time
Next goal: Toluca 6.1% · no further goal 92.2% · San Diego 1.7%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.TolucaSan Diego
3.650Expected goals · API-Football0.310
10Shots on target0
24Total Shots5
57%Ball Possession43%
4Corner Kicks5
12Fouls10
3Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards1
0Goalkeeper Saves7
433Total passes326
380Passes accurate255
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
Round of 16Toluca 4–0 San Diego
→Current progressionToluca
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Toluca 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
San Diego 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
San Diego
5/6Wins
2.5Goals / game
0.7Conceded / game
Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 2 available matches.
Inspect San Diego’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Toluca
10 matchesResults5 wins · 4 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game1.6
Goals conceded per game0.8
Games with 3+ goals4 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
San Diego
6 matchesResults5 wins · 0 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game2.5
Goals conceded per game0.7
Games with 3+ goals3 of 6
Both teams scored2 of 6
Past results, not predictions.
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Toluca at home with San Diego away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 03:40 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
CONCACAF Champions League · 2026/27 · all league matches
TolucaSan Diego
1Matches played3
0Points earned6
0Wins2
2.0Goals scored / match2.3
3.0Goals conceded / match1.3
0Clean sheets0
0Failed to score1
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Toluca at home with San Diego away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Toluca
Confirmed formation4-4-2Ricardo Mohamed Matijevich Antonio
- 22
L. GarciaG - 19
S. SimonD - 4
Bruno MendezD - 6
F. PereiraD - 20
J. GallardoD - 11
HelinhoM - 5
F. RomeroM - 8
N. CastroM - 10
J. AnguloM - 29
J. DiazF - 26
PaulinhoF
Substitutes (12)
1 · H. Gonzalez
13 · Luan
24 · F. Arce
2 · D. Barbosa
17 · M. Isais
33 · V. Arteaga
3 · A. Briseno
9 · A. Vega
7 · S. Cordova
23 · O. Virgen
25 · E. del Villar
27 · F. Rossi
San Diego
Confirmed formation4-1-4-1Mikey Varas
- 18
D. FerreeG - 33
O. VerhoevenD - 97
C. McVeyD - 25
I. PilcherD - 27
L. BombinoD - 6
J. TverskovM - 10
A. DreyerM - 20
A. GodoyM - 8
O. ValakariM - 90
A. PellegrinoM - 9
L. MorganF
Substitutes (12)
13 · P. Sisniega
1 · C. J. dos Santos
21 · B. Duke
19 · D. Vazquez
17 · O. Soe
29 · A. Saidi
22 · W. Eisner
24 · E. Boateng
77 · A. Mighten
2 · W. Kumado
15 · P. Soma
14 · B. B. Zamble
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Toluca
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luis García | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 33 | — |
| Santiago Simón | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 34 | — |
| Bruno Méndez | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 52 | — |
| Federico Pereira | 89 | 8.7 | — | 0 | 2 | 61 | 2 |
| Jesús Gallardo | 90 | 9.5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 38 | 3 |
| Helinho | 69 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 6 | 29 | 1 |
| Franco Romero | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 55 | 1 |
| Nicolás Castro | 45 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 2 | 40 | — |
| Jesús Ricardo Angulo | 89 | 9.0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 41 | 1 |
| Jorge Díaz | 65 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 12 | — |
| Paulinho | 90 | 6.9 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 1 |
| Fernando Arce Juárez | 45 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 16 | 1 |
| Alexis Vega | 25 | 7.5 | — | 1 | 1 | 10 | — |
| Diego Barbosa | 21 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 14 | — |
| Luan Garcia | 1 | — | — | 0 | — | 4 | — |
| Sebastián Córdova | 1 | — | — | 0 | — | 3 | — |
| Hugo Gonzalez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Antonio Briseño | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Everardo López | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mauricio Andre Isais | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Victor Arteaga | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oswaldo Virgen | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Franco Rossi | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
San Diego
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duran Ferree | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 35 | — |
| Oscar Verhoeven | 71 | 6.0 | — | 0 | — | 15 | — |
| Christopher McVey | 85 | 5.6 | — | 0 | — | 50 | 2 |
| Ian Pilcher | 62 | 5.9 | — | 0 | — | 17 | — |
| Luca Bombino | 90 | 5.3 | — | 0 | — | 28 | 1 |
| Jeppe Tverskov | 90 | 5.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 58 | 1 |
| Anders Dreyer | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 29 | — |
| Aníbal Godoy | 71 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 29 | 2 |
| Onni Valakari | 80 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 28 | 1 |
| Amahl Pellegrino | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 13 | 1 |
| Lewis Morgan | 62 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 5 | — |
| Osvald Soe | 28 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 20 | — |
| David Vazquez | 28 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 8 | 2 |
| Wilson Eisner | 19 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 7 | — |
| Alex Mighten | 19 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 4 | — |
| Anisse Saidi | 10 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 4 | — |
| CJ dos Santos | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pablo Sisniega | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Willy Kumado | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pedro Soma | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bryce Duke | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Emmanuel Boateng | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bryan Zamblé | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗CONCACAF Champions League table
Current standings. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
Standings are not available for this competition and season.
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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