San Lorenzo
3/10Wins
1.0Goals / game
0.9Conceded / game
Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 8 available matches.
Inspect San Lorenzo’s results
Liga Profesional ArgentinaMatchweek 9THE MATCH CENTRESan Lorenzo vs Independiente match centre
90′ · Live
1:2
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
E. Herrera72′
M. Abaldo16′
M. Gutierrez54′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate0.1%San Lorenzo
Draw4.5%at full time
Current result estimate95.4%Independiente
Another goal8.2%before full time
Next goal: San Lorenzo 4.7% · no further goal 91.8% · Independiente 3.5%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.San LorenzoIndependiente
—Expected goals · API-Football—
6Shots on target4
20Total Shots11
58%Ball Possession42%
6Corner Kicks4
12Fouls19
2Yellow Cards3
—Red Cards—
3Goalkeeper Saves5
437Total passes329
361Passes accurate255
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Apertura - Group AProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | +12 | 31 | — |
| 2 |  Boca Juniors | 16 | +13 | 30 | — |
| 3 |  Velez Sarsfield | 16 | +6 | 28 | — |
| 4 |  Independiente | 17 | +5 | 27 | ↑ 1 |
| 5 |  Talleres Cordoba | 16 | +4 | 26 | ↓ 1 |
| 6 |  Lanus | 16 | +3 | 24 | — |
| 7 | San Lorenzo | 17 | -1 | 22 | — |
| 8 |  Union Santa Fe | 16 | +4 | 21 | — |
| 9 |  Instituto Cordoba | 16 | 0 | 21 | — |
| 10 |  Defensa Y Justicia | 16 | -3 | 19 | — |
| 11 |  Gimnasia M. | 16 | -8 | 19 | — |
| 12 |  Platense | 16 | -5 | 16 | — |
| 13 |  Central Cordoba de Santiago | 16 | -10 | 16 | — |
| 14 |  Newells Old Boys | 16 | -12 | 15 | — |
| 15 |  Deportivo Riestra | 16 | -7 | 11 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
San Lorenzo 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Independiente 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Independiente
4/10Wins
1.8Goals / game
1.5Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 6 available matches.
Inspect Independiente’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
San Lorenzo
10 matchesResults3 wins · 6 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game1.0
Goals conceded per game0.9
Games with 3+ goals1 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
SantosHome · CONMEBOL Sudamericana1–1PlatenseAway · Liga Profesional Argentina1–0Velez SarsfieldHome · Liga Profesional Argentina0–0Deportivo CuencaHome · CONMEBOL Sudamericana2–0Newells Old BoysAway · Liga Profesional Argentina0–0Deportivo RecoletaAway · CONMEBOL Sudamericana1–1Estudiantes L.P.Home · Liga Profesional Argentina1–0Deportivo RiestraAway · Liga Profesional Argentina1–1Defensa Y JusticiaHome · Liga Profesional Argentina2–5Boca JuniorsAway · Liga Profesional Argentina1–1
Independiente
10 matchesResults4 wins · 3 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.8
Goals conceded per game1.5
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored7 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Deportivo RiestraAway · Liga Profesional Argentina0–2Defensa Y JusticiaHome · Liga Profesional Argentina3–1Boca JuniorsAway · Liga Profesional Argentina1–1Racing ClubHome · Liga Profesional Argentina1–0AtenasHome · Copa Argentina4–2Talleres CordobaHome · Liga Profesional Argentina1–2Instituto CordobaAway · Liga Profesional Argentina1–2Union Santa FeHome · Liga Profesional Argentina4–4Central Cordoba de SantiagoHome · Liga Profesional Argentina2–0Gimnasia M.Away · Liga Profesional Argentina1–1
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare San Lorenzo at home with Independiente away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 03:27 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Liga Profesional Argentina · 2026/27 · all league matches
San LorenzoIndependiente
15Matches played15
22Points earned21
5Wins5
0.9Goals scored / match1.5
0.8Goals conceded / match1.2
9Clean sheets4
5Failed to score1
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares San Lorenzo at home with Independiente away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
San Lorenzo
Confirmed formation3-5-2Gustavo Alvarez
- 25
J. DevecchiG - 32
E. HerreraD - 4
J. RomanaD - 55
L. MontenegroD - 24
N. TripichioM - 11
M. RealiM - 8
M. InsaurraldeM - 10
F. GulliM - 6
M. De RitisM - 29
R. AuzmendiF - 9
A. CuelloF
Substitutes (12)
20 · F. Altamirano
18 · D. Herazo
34 · F. Lopez
5 · I. Perruzzi
28 · N. Barrios
16 · G. Corujo
26 · G. Abrego
17 · G. Rodriguez
44 · M. Hernandez
3 · T. Rodriguez Pagano
13 · J. Rattalino
14 · A. Ladstatter
Independiente
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Gustavo Quinteros
- 33
R. ReyG - 4
S. AriasD - 26
K. LomonacoD - 36
S. ValdezD - 3
M. ValenzuelaD - 16
M. Perez CurciM - 23
I. MarconeM - 28
M. GutierrezM - 7
S. MontielM - 19
M. AbaldoM - 9
G. AvalosF
Substitutes (11)
1 · J. Blazquez
6 · N. Freire
43 · F. Valdez
11 · F. Mancuello
40 · I. Malcorra
10 · L. Cabral
29 · L. Godoy
5 · Rodrigo Fernandez
13 · J. Fedorco
8 · L. Millan
34 · F. Tempone
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
San Lorenzo
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| José Devecchi | 97 | 6.7 | — | — | — | 13 | — |
| Ezequiel Herrera | 97 | 7.0 | 1 | — | 1 | 50 | 2 |
| Jhohan Romaña | 97 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 42 | 3 |
| Lautaro Montenegro | 97 | 6.7 | — | — | — | 52 | 2 |
| Nicolás Tripichio | 97 | 7.3 | — | — | 2 | 50 | 5 |
| Matias Reali | 80 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 2 |
| Manuel Insaurralde | 81 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 67 | 4 |
| Facundo Gulli | 45 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 26 | — |
| Mathias de Ritis | 45 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 18 | — |
| Rodrigo Auzmendi | 97 | 7.0 | — | — | 3 | 15 | — |
| Alexis Cuello | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 5 | 28 | 1 |
| Juan Rattalino | 52 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 44 | — |
| Nahuel Barrios | 52 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | 33 | — |
| Agustin Ladstatter | 17 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 8 | — |
| Diego Herazo | 16 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | — | — |
| Facundo Altamirano | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Teo Rodríguez Pagano | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Guzmán Corujo | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fabricio López | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gonzalo Abrego | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ignacio Perruzzi | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gregorio Rodriguez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matías Hernández | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Independiente
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rodrigo Rey | 97 | 8.7 | — | — | — | 32 | — |
| Santiago Arias | 97 | 7.2 | — | — | — | 45 | 5 |
| Kevin Lomónaco | 80 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 37 | 1 |
| Sebastián Valdez | 97 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 2 |
| Milton Valenzuela | 97 | 6.7 | — | — | — | 43 | 1 |
| Mateo Perez | 97 | 6.2 | — | — | — | 34 | — |
| Iván Marcone | 65 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 23 | 1 |
| Maximiliano Gutiérrez | 80 | 8.3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17 | — |
| Santiago Montiel | 65 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 20 | 2 |
| Matías Abaldo | 97 | 7.3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 1 |
| Gabriel Ávalos | 89 | 6.7 | — | — | 3 | 27 | 1 |
| Lautaro Millán | 32 | 6.5 | — | — | — | 6 | 1 |
| Rodrigo Fernández | 32 | 7.0 | — | — | — | 7 | 1 |
| Nicolás Freire | 17 | 6.6 | — | — | — | 3 | — |
| Juan Fedorco | 17 | 6.7 | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Felipe Tempone | 8 | 6.6 | — | — | — | 3 | 1 |
| Joaquín Blázquez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jonathan De Irastorza | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Leonardo Godoy | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luciano Cabral | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ignacio Malcorra | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Federico Mancuello | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Facundo Valdéz | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | San Lorenzo | Draw | Independiente |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 3.40 | 2.70 | 2.55 |
Snapshot from 2 May 2026, 20:36 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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