EversonFoot Injury
Reported out
Serie AMatchweek 28THE MATCH CENTREAtletico-MG vs Chapecoense-sc match centre
Full time
1:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
Mateo Cassierra69′
Tulio Eduardo Silva De Oliveira44′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Out of date · Calculated 19 Sep 15:54 UK.
Odds updated 19 Sep 17:05 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 6 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
Atletico-MGChapecoense-sc
—Expected goals · API-Football—
11Shots on target1
25Total Shots7
65%Ball Possession35%
11Corner Kicks2
11Fouls11
2Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards0
0Goalkeeper Saves8
638Total passes348
570Passes accurate283
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Atletico-MG 4 reported
T. PerezInjury
Reported out
Ruan TressoldiMuscle Injury
Reported out
ReinierInjury
Doubtful
Chapecoense-sc 8 reported
Eduardo DomaYellow Cards
Reported out
HeitorInactive
Reported out
Joao PauloYellow Cards
Reported out
Max AlvesInjury
Reported out
Rafael CarvalheiraKnee Injury
Reported out
Robert ConceicaoKnee Injury
Reported out
Vinicius BalieiroInactive
Reported outGiovanni AugustoInactive
DoubtfulFetched 18 Sep, 22:04 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Atletico-MG
5/10Wins
1.7Goals / game
1.2Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 7 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Atletico-MG’s resultsChapecoense-sc
2/10Wins
1.1Goals / game
1.9Conceded / game
Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Chapecoense-sc’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Atletico-MG
10 matchesResults5 wins · 3 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.7
Goals conceded per game1.2
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
SantosHome · CONMEBOL Sudamericana4–2FluminenseHome · Serie A3–1SantosAway · CONMEBOL Sudamericana0–2Sao PauloAway · Serie A0–2CruzeiroHome · Copa Do Brasil2–1VitoriaHome · Serie A2–1CruzeiroAway · Copa Do Brasil1–1InternacionalAway · Serie A0–0RB BragantinoHome · CONMEBOL Sudamericana2–2GremioHome · Serie A3–0
Chapecoense-sc
10 matchesResults2 wins · 3 draws · 5 losses
Goals scored per game1.1
Goals conceded per game1.9
Games with 3+ goals7 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Atletico-MG at home with Chapecoense-sc away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 03:34 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Serie A · 2026/27 · all league matches
Atletico-MGChapecoense-sc
26Matches played26
39Points earned17
11Wins3
1.3Goals scored / match1.1
1.2Goals conceded / match2.0
6Clean sheets2
9Failed to score8
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Atletico-MG at home with Chapecoense-sc away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
5 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Atletico-MG
2wins5MEETINGS
Chapecoense-sc
1winsJul 2019 – Apr 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Atletico-MG
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1E. Domínguez
- 1
Gabriel DelfimG - 2
NatanaelD - 40
VitãoD - 14
Vitor HugoD - 36
K. PasciniD - 8
MayconM - 5
AlexsanderM - 28
T. CuelloM - 7
FredM - 11
BernardM - 27
A. MindaF
Substitutes (12)
15 · K. Castaño
9 · M. Cassierra
39 · Mamady Cisse
21 · A. Franco
6 · Renan Lodi
92 · Dudu
31 · Robert
23 · A. Preciado
25 · T. Pérez
17 · Igor Gomes
13 · Lyanco
3 · Léo Duarte
Chapecoense-sc
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Rafael Lacerda
- 98
AndersonG - 23
DuduD - 21
Kauan Faria GomesD - 3
DomaD - 91
Bruno PachecoD - 27
CamiloM - 88
Yago FelipeM - 7
MarcinhoM - 10
Giovanni AugustoM - 31
GarcezM - 9Tulio Eduardo Silva De OliveiraF
Substitutes (10)
70 · Rubens
15 · Rafael Thyere
12 · Fernando
19 · David Antunes
80 · Miguel Carvalho
16 · Bruno Matias
77 · D. Borrero
11 · Y. Bolasie
30 · Matheus Aurélio
55 · Rosivan Macedo Soares
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Atletico-MG
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Delfim | 90 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 0 |
| Natanael | 90 | 7.4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 50 | 3 |
| Vitão | 90 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 55 | 2 |
| Vitor Hugo | 90 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 65 | 1 |
| K. Pascini | 58 | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 38 | 1 |
| Maycon | 81 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 78 | 1 |
| Alexsander | 58 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 44 | 1 |
| Fred | 90 | 7.2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 92 | 0 |
| Bernard | 90 | 7.1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 78 | 2 |
| Léo Duarte | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Lyanco | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Igor Gomes | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| T. Pérez | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| A. Preciado | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Robert | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dudu | 32 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 0 |
| Renan Lodi | 32 | 7.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 0 |
| A. Franco | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Mamady Cisse | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| K. Castaño | 9 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 0 |
| M. Cassierra | 32 | 8.2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 |
| T. Cuello | 90 | 7.2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 37 | 1 |
| A. Minda | 58 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 1 |
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rubens | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Rafael Thyere | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Fernando | 8 | 5.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| David Antunes | 2 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Miguel Carvalho | 8 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
| Bruno Matias | 19 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| D. Borrero | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Y. Bolasie | 19 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| Yago Felipe | 88 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 37 | 5 |
| Tulio Eduardo Silva De Oliveira | 71 | 7.9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 0 |
| Garcez | 90 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 2 |
| Marcinho | 90 | 7.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 33 | 2 |
| Kauan Faria Gomes | 90 | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 32 | 2 |
| Giovanni Augusto | 82 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 2 |
| Doma | 90 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 39 | 4 |
| Dudu | 71 | 7.5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 3 |
| Camilo | 90 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 44 | 1 |
| Bruno Pacheco | 82 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 3 |
| Anderson | 90 | 8.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 42 | 0 |
| Matheus Aurélio | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Rosivan Macedo Soares | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Serie A table
Current standings · Serie A. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 55 | 23 | 32 | 60 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 28 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 47 | 21 | 26 | 57 | DWDDW |
| 3 |  Atletico Paranaense | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 49 | WDLDW |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 44 | 36 | 8 | 48 | WLWDW |
| 5 |  Bahia | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 46 | LWWWW |
| 6 |  Cruzeiro | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 45 | WLWLW |
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 40 | DWLWD |
| 8 |  Santos | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 38 | WWWWD |
| 9 |  Coritiba | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 37 | 43 | -6 | 38 | LDLWW |
| 10 |  RB Bragantino | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 36 | LDLLW |
| 11 |  Sao Paulo | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 36 | WLWWL |
| 12 |  Botafogo | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 35 | LWDDL |
| 13 |  Vitoria | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 28 | 42 | -14 | 33 | LDWLL |
| 14 |  Corinthians | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 32 | LLLLL |
| 15 |  Mirassol | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 32 | WDWLD |
| 16 |  Vasco DA Gama | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 31 | WWLWL |
| 17 |  Gremio | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 29 | DLLLW |
| 18 |  Internacional | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 30 | 36 | -6 | 28 | LWLLD |
| 19 |  Remo | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 32 | 47 | -15 | 23 | LLLLL |
| 20 | Chapecoense-sc | 27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 29 | 53 | -24 | 18 | DLWLW |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Atletico-MG | Draw | Chapecoense-sc |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.36 | 4.50 | 8.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.36 | 4.75 | 9.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.34 | 4.80 | 8.30 |
| BetVictor | 1.33 | 5.00 | 8.50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.37 | 5.00 | 9.48 |
Snapshot from 19 Sep 2026, 17:05 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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