AndersonKnee Injury
Reported out
Serie AMatchweek 28THE MATCH CENTREVitoria vs Cruzeiro match centre
Full time
1:3
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
Carlos Renê de Sousa Ferreira39′
Keny arroyo46′
Lucas Villalba66′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Out of date · Calculated 20 Sep 17:24 UK.
Odds updated 20 Sep 19:00 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 9 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
VitoriaCruzeiro
—Expected goals · API-Football—
8Shots on target4
21Total Shots13
43%Ball Possession57%
8Corner Kicks2
10Fouls19
0Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards0
2Goalkeeper Saves6
393Total passes520
314Passes accurate458
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Vitoria 11 reported
BaralhasInactive
Reported out
CamutangaBroken Leg
Reported out
DuduBack Injury
Reported out
EduAchilles Tendon Injury
Reported outEmmanuel MartinezInjury
Reported out
Nathan MendesKnee Injury
Reported out
RamonInjury
Reported out
RiccieliCalf Injury
Reported out
WalaceInjury
Reported outCaique GoncalvesInjury
Doubtful
Cruzeiro 3 reported
Gabriel PecBroken Leg
Reported outJonathan JesusInjury
Reported out
L. SinisterraMuscle Injury
Reported outFetched 20 Sep, 10:52 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Vitoria
3/10Wins
0.9Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game
Keep in view: 6 losses in that sample. At home, 7 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Vitoria’s resultsCruzeiro
4/10Wins
1.6Goals / game
1.5Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Cruzeiro’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Vitoria
10 matchesResults3 wins · 1 draws · 6 losses
Goals scored per game0.9
Goals conceded per game1.3
Games with 3+ goals3 of 10
Both teams scored2 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
MirassolAway · Serie A2–2GremioHome · Serie A1–0Vasco DA GamaHome · Copa Do Brasil0–2Atletico-MGAway · Serie A1–2Vasco DA GamaAway · Copa Do Brasil0–1BahiaHome · Serie A0–2BotafogoHome · Serie A1–0FlamengoAway · Serie A0–2Atletico ParanaenseHome · Copa Do Brasil4–0Atletico ParanaenseAway · Copa Do Brasil0–2
Cruzeiro
10 matchesResults4 wins · 2 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game1.6
Goals conceded per game1.5
Games with 3+ goals8 of 10
Both teams scored10 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
SantosAway · Serie A1–2Atletico ParanaenseHome · Serie A3–1Atletico-MGAway · Copa Do Brasil1–2Vasco DA GamaAway · Serie A1–3Atletico-MGHome · Copa Do Brasil1–1FlamengoHome · Serie A2–1FlamengoAway · CONMEBOL Libertadores1–2CorinthiansAway · Serie A2–1FlamengoHome · CONMEBOL Libertadores1–1MirassolHome · Serie A3–1
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Vitoria at home with Cruzeiro away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 03:51 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Serie A · 2026/27 · all league matches
VitoriaCruzeiro
27Matches played27
33Points earned42
9Wins12
1.0Goals scored / match1.4
1.4Goals conceded / match1.4
10Clean sheets5
9Failed to score4
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Vitoria at home with Cruzeiro away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
4 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Vitoria
0wins4MEETINGS
Cruzeiro
2winsAug 2024 – Apr 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Vitoria
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Jair Ventura
- 1
Lucas ArcanjoG - 98
MateusinhoD - 25
CacáD - 36
Luan CândidoD - 83
JamersonD - 6
E. MartínezM - 95
CaíqueM - 33
ErickM - 10
MatheuzinhoM - 12
D. TarziaM - 91
ReneF
Substitutes (12)
2 · E. Brítez
9 · Alex Bruno
26 · Edenilson
23 · Fabrício
20 · Lucas Silva
7 · Marinho
8 · T. Pochettino
16 · Rúben Ismael
79 · Renato Kayzer
71 · Yuri Sena
88 · Zé Vitor
3 · Darlan Silva Dutra
Cruzeiro
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Artur Jorge
- 81
Otávio Eleodoro Rezende CostaG - 23
FágnerD - 43
João MarceloD - 34
JonathanD - 27
G. RojasD - 8
GersonM - 5
Zé LucasM - 99
K. ArroyoM - 10
Matheus PereiraM - 20
Wesley GassovaM - 19
Kaio JorgeF
Substitutes (12)
12 · William
94 · Wanderson
6 · M. Viña
25 · L. Villalba
97 · L. Rodríguez
7 · Matheus Henrique
16 · Lucas Silva
38 · Felipe Morais
15 · Fabrício Bruno
67 · João Gabriel e Costa Cesco
9 · Bruno Rodrigues
1 · Cássio
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Cruzeiro
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cássio | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| K. Arroyo | 90 | 9.0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 55 | 2 |
| Fágner | 45 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 0 |
| Gerson | 81 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 69 | 1 |
| João Marcelo | 90 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 57 | 0 |
| Jonathan | 90 | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 47 | 6 |
| Kaio Jorge | 90 | 7.7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 1 |
| Matheus Pereira | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 62 | 2 |
| G. Rojas | 56 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 2 |
| Wesley Gassova | 45 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 0 |
| Zé Lucas | 56 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 32 | 1 |
| Bruno Rodrigues | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Otávio Eleodoro Rezende Costa | 90 | 7.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 1 |
| João Gabriel e Costa Cesco | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Fabrício Bruno | 9 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 |
| Felipe Morais | 45 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 4 |
| Lucas Silva | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Matheus Henrique | 34 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 0 |
| L. Rodríguez | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| L. Villalba | 34 | 7.5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 0 |
| M. Viña | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Wanderson | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| William | 45 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 0 |
Vitoria
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Brítez | 45 | 5.4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 0 |
| Cacá | 90 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 1 |
| Caíque | 45 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 2 |
| E. Martínez | 90 | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 62 | 0 |
| Erick | 69 | 5.5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 1 |
| Jamerson | 90 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 45 | 0 |
| Luan Cândido | 90 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 36 | 1 |
| Mateusinho | 45 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 1 |
| Matheuzinho | 83 | 7.1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 37 | 1 |
| Rene | 83 | 7.5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 0 |
| D. Tarzia | 90 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 1 |
| Alex Bruno | 7 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Lucas Arcanjo | 90 | 5.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 34 | 0 |
| Edenilson | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Fabrício | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Lucas Silva | 21 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 |
| Marinho | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| T. Pochettino | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Rúben Ismael | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Renato Kayzer | 7 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Yuri Sena | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Zé Vitor | 45 | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 3 |
| Darlan Silva Dutra | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Serie A table
Current standings · Serie A. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 55 | 23 | 32 | 60 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 28 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 47 | 21 | 26 | 57 | DWDDW |
| 3 |  Atletico Paranaense | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 49 | WDLDW |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 44 | 36 | 8 | 48 | WLWDW |
| 5 |  Bahia | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 46 | LWWWW |
| 6 | Cruzeiro | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 45 | WLWLW |
| 7 |  Atletico-MG | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 40 | DWLWD |
| 8 |  Santos | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 38 | WWWWD |
| 9 |  Coritiba | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 37 | 43 | -6 | 38 | LDLWW |
| 10 |  RB Bragantino | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 36 | LDLLW |
| 11 |  Sao Paulo | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 36 | WLWWL |
| 12 |  Botafogo | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 35 | LWDDL |
| 13 | Vitoria | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 28 | 42 | -14 | 33 | LDWLL |
| 14 |  Corinthians | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 32 | LLLLL |
| 15 |  Mirassol | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 32 | WDWLD |
| 16 |  Vasco DA Gama | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 31 | WWLWL |
| 17 |  Gremio | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 29 | DLLLW |
| 18 |  Internacional | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 30 | 36 | -6 | 28 | LWLLD |
| 19 |  Remo | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 32 | 47 | -15 | 23 | LLLLL |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 29 | 53 | -24 | 18 | DLWLW |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Vitoria | Draw | Cruzeiro |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 2.88 | 3.25 | 2.30 |
| Bet365 | 3.10 | 3.40 | 2.30 |
| Marathonbet | 2.96 | 3.40 | 2.26 |
| Betfair | 3.00 | 3.40 | 2.25 |
| BetVictor | 3.00 | 3.50 | 2.25 |
Snapshot from 20 Sep 2026, 19:00 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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