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Germany vs Finland match centre

Germany badgeGermanyHome
WWWWW
Momentum↑ Strong100/100OlderLatest
Full time
4:0
UK time · Europe/London
Finland badgeFinlandAway
LLWWD
Momentum↗ Rising51/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
D. Undav34′
F. Wirtz48′
D. Undav57′
J. Musiala63′
MEWA Arena · MainzSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
GermanyFinland
7Corner Kicks3
12Fouls6
—Yellow Cards—
—Red Cards—
0Goalkeeper Saves6
586Total passes336
538Passes accurate287

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Germany 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Finland 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Germany

6/7Wins
2.9Goals / game
0.9Conceded / game

Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 3 available matches.

Inspect Germany’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Finland

4/9Wins
1.2Goals / game
1.4Conceded / game

Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 4 available matches.

Inspect Finland’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Germany at home with Finland away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 00:26 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Friendlies · 2026/27 · all league matches

GermanyFinland
2Matches played0
6Points earned0
2Wins0
3.0Goals scored / match—
2.0Goals conceded / match—
0Clean sheets0
0Failed to score0

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Germany at home with Finland away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Germany

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Julian Nagelsmann
  1. 12O. BaumannG
  2. 6J. KimmichD
  3. 4J. TahD
  4. 15N. SchlotterbeckD
  5. 18N. BrownD
  6. 23F. NmechaM
  7. 5A. PavlovicM
  8. 25L. KarlM
  9. 10J. MusialaM
  10. 17F. WirtzM
  11. 26D. UndavF
Substitutes (14)

21 · A. Nubel

1 · J. Urbig

13 · P. Gross

8 · L. Goretzka

2 · A. Rudiger

19 · L. Sane

20 · N. Amiri

14 · M. Beier

24 · M. Thiaw

11 · N. Woltemade

9 · J. Leweling

3 · W. Anton

22 · D. Raum

16 · A. Stiller

Finland

Confirmed formation4-3-3Jacob Friis
  1. 1L. HradeckyG
  2. 17N. AlhoD
  3. 4T. MiettinenD
  4. 21V. KoskiD
  5. 14R. MahutaD
  6. 6L. WaltaM
  7. 11A. MarkhievM
  8. 16A. SuhonenM
  9. 18T. KeskinenF
  10. 19B. KallmanF
  11. 8R. LodF
Substitutes (15)

12 · J. Joronen

23 · V. Sinisalo

20 · J. Pohjanpalo

5 · M. Tenho

9 · S. Vaananen

25 · D. Arifi

3 · N. Pyyhtia

15 · S. Miettinen

13 · J. Kilo

22 · D. Hakans

7 · O. Antman

10 · N. Skytta

2 · M. Peltola

26 · C. Terho

24 · O. Jukkola

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Germany

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Oliver Baumann906.6—0—27—
Joshua Kimmich908.3—1—973
Jonathan Tah907.3—0—93—
Nico Schlotterbeck907.3—0—832
Nathaniel Brown907.2—01394
Felix Nmecha847.3—02461
Aleksandar Pavlović908.3—1—109—
Lennart Karl738.5—12482
Jamal Musiala907.010343—
Florian Wirtz738.310442—
Deniz Undav619.221410—
Maximilian Beier296.6—0213—
Leroy Sané176.9—0—14—
Nick Woltemade176.3—0—8—
Nadiem Amiri116.7—0110—
Jonas Urbig———————
Alexander Nübel———————
Antonio Rüdiger———————
Waldemar Anton———————
David Raum———————
Malick Thiaw———————
Leon Goretzka———————
Jamie Leweling———————
Pascal Groß———————
Angelo Stiller———————

Finland

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Lukáš Hrádecký908.9—0—271
Nikolai Alho735.2—0—22—
Tony Miettinen905.6—0—471
Ville Koski906.7—0—541
Ryan Mahuta795.9—0—333
Leo Walta736.0—01251
Adam Markhiev906.2—0—341
Anssi Suhonen906.9—02402
Topi Keskinen587.0—0—114
Benjamin Källman586.7—0—13—
Robin Lod586.6—0—171
Oliver Antman326.3—0—5—
Daniel Håkans326.3—0—5—
Joel Pohjanpalo326.7—0—5—
Samuli Miettinen176.6—0—16—
Miro Tenho177.9—0—12—
Naatan Skyttä116.7—0—2—
Viljami Sinisalo———————
Jesse Joronen———————
Juho Kilo———————
Santeri Väänänen———————
Doni Arifi———————
Matti Peltola———————
Niklas Pyyhtiä———————
Oiva Jukkola———————
Casper Terho———————
2026/27 STANDINGS

Friendlies table

League centre ↗

Current standings. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

Standings are not available for this competition and season.

THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerGermanyDrawFinland
Bet3651.118.5015.00

Snapshot from 31 May 2026, 06:00 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

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