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Marseille vs Toulouse match centre

Marseille badgeMarseilleHome
WLDLW
Momentum→ Steady47/100OlderLatest
′ · Live
2:2
UK time · Europe/London
Toulouse badgeToulouseAway
WLLDL
Momentum↓ Low22/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
M. Greenwood2′ (pen)
I. Paixao56′
Y. Gboho13′
C. Cresswell60′
Orange Velodrome · MarseilleSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

Waiting for a stable live match state

MarseilleToulouse
6Corner Kicks6
9Fouls11
2Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
4Goalkeeper Saves1
514Total passes316
448Passes accurate256

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

Quarter-finalsMarseille 2–2 Toulouse
Current progressionLevel
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Marseille 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Toulouse 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Marseille

4/10Wins
1.8Goals / game
2.2Conceded / game

Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At home, 4 wins from 6 available matches.

Inspect Marseille’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Toulouse

3/9Wins
1.1Goals / game
0.7Conceded / game

Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 4 available matches.

Inspect Toulouse’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Marseille at home with Toulouse away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 02:57 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Coupe de France · 2025/26 · all league matches

MarseilleToulouse
3Matches played3
9Points earned9
3Wins3
6.0Goals scored / match1.7
0.0Goals conceded / match0.7
3Clean sheets1
0Failed to score0

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Marseille at home with Toulouse away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Marseille

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Habib Beye
  1. 1G. RulliG
  2. 22T. WeahD
  3. 5L. BalerdiD
  4. 21N. AguerdD
  5. 32F. MedinaD
  6. 19G. KondogbiaM
  7. 18A. VermeerenM
  8. 10M. GreenwoodM
  9. 8H. AbdelliM
  10. 14I. PaixaoM
  11. 17P. AubameyangF
Substitutes (9)

12 · J. De Lange

4 · C. Egan-Riley

33 · Emerson

28 · B. Pavard

26 · B. Nadir

6 · T. Nnadi

11 · E. Nwaneri

20 · H. J. Traore

78 · E. Lago

Toulouse

Confirmed formation5-4-1Carles Martinez
  1. 16K. HaugG
  2. 19D. SidibeD
  3. 3M. McKenzieD
  4. 4C. CresswellD
  5. 2R. NicolaisenD
  6. 24D. MethalieD
  7. 15A. DonnumM
  8. 23C. CasseresM
  9. 18P. DembaM
  10. 10Y. GbohoM
  11. 20EmersonnF
Substitutes (9)

1 · G. Restes

12 · W. Kamanzi

35 · S. Koumbassa

44 · G. Bakhouche Piernas

45 · A. Vossah

77 · M. Sauer

7 · J. Vignolo

11 · S. Hidalgo

13 · J. Russell-Rowe

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Marseille

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Gerónimo Rulli907.9—0—32—
Timothy Weah906.5—0—471
Leonardo Balerdi906.2—0—831
Nayef Aguerd907.2—01782
Facundo Medina906.2—0—61—
Geoffrey Kondogbia907.9—1—505
Arthur Vermeeren586.3—0230—
Mason Greenwood908.2103322
Himad Abdelli456.2—01271
Igor Paixão897.710117—
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang907.0—01171
Ethan Nwaneri455.6—0—21—
Bilal Nadir326.7—0—181
Hamed Junior Traorè1——0—1—
Jeffrey de Lange———————
Conrad Jaden Egan-Riley———————
Benjamin Pavard———————
Emerson Palmieri———————
Tochukwu Nnadi———————
Ange Lago———————

Toulouse

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Kjetil Haug907.2—0—22—
Djibril Sidibé907.0—0—26—
Mark McKenzie907.0—0—351
Charlie Cresswell657.210227—
Rasmus Nicolaisen905.7—0129—
Dayann Methalie906.2—01182
Aron Dønnum907.9—1—292
Cristian Cásseres Jr.906.7—0—502
Pape Diop907.7—01353
Yann Gboho907.310220—
Emersonn836.0—0214—
Warren Kamanzi256.9—0—101
Jacen Russell-Rowe126.5—0—2—
Guillaume Restes———————
Gaëtan Bakhouche———————
Seny Koumbassa———————
Mario Sauer———————
Alexis Vossah———————
Julian Vignolo———————
Santiago Hidalgo———————
2025/26 STANDINGS

Coupe de France table

League centre ↗

Current standings. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

Standings are not available for this competition and season.

THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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