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FC Porto vs Arouca match centre

FC Porto badgeFC PortoHome · 1 in league
WLDWW
Momentum↗ Rising69/100OlderLatest
Full time
3:1
UK time · Europe/London
Arouca badgeAroucaAway · 8 in league
LWWLW
Momentum→ Steady63/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
O. Pietuszewski1′
William Gomes90+1′ (pen)
T. Moffi90+8′
N. Djouahra70′
Venue to be confirmedSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
FC PortoArouca
5Corner Kicks1
11Fouls14
0Yellow Cards2
Red Cards
0Goalkeeper Saves4
481Total passes371
416Passes accurate303

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

FC Porto 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Arouca 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

FC Porto

6/10Wins
1.3Goals / game
0.5Conceded / game

Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At home, 4 wins from 7 available matches.

Inspect FC Porto’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Arouca

4/7Wins
1.9Goals / game
1.9Conceded / game

Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 4 available matches.

Inspect Arouca’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare FC Porto at home with Arouca away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 07:04 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Primeira Liga · 2025/26 · all league matches

FC PortoArouca
23Matches played23
62Points earned26
20Wins7
1.9Goals scored / match1.4
0.3Goals conceded / match2.1
17Clean sheets5
1Failed to score7

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares FC Porto at home with Arouca away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

FC Porto

Confirmed formation4-3-3Francesco Farioli
  1. 99D. CostaG
  2. 20A. CostaD
  3. 5J. BednarekD
  4. 4J. KiwiorD
  5. 12ZaiduD
  6. 8V. FroholdtM
  7. 13P. RosarioM
  8. 10G. VeigaM
  9. 11PepêF
  10. 27D. GulF
  11. 77O. PietuszewskiF
Substitutes (9)

24 · J. Costa

7 · William Gomes

21 · D. Prpic

29 · T. Moffi

42 · S. Fofana

68 · A. Oliveira

72 · A. Miranda

74 · F. Moura

86 · R. Mora

Arouca

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Vasco Seabra
  1. 12I. De ArruabarrenaG
  2. 6D. MonteiroD
  3. 15J. SanchezD
  4. 3J. FontanD
  5. 25B. KuipersD
  6. 21T. FukuiM
  7. 10P. GozalbezM
  8. 24B. MansillaM
  9. 19A. TrezzaM
  10. 7N. DjouahraM
  11. 17I. BarberoF
Substitutes (9)

1 · J. Valido

2 · J. Silva

4 · M. Rocha

5 · B. Popovic

11 · Puche

20 · J. Santiago Perez

23 · D. Nandin

44 · A. Dante

87 · B. Duarte

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

FC Porto

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Diogo Costa906.0—0—28—
Alberto Costa906.0—0131—
Jan Bednarek907.2—0—931
Jakub Kiwior907.3—01951
Zaidu Sanusi906.9—0—552
Victor Froholdt907.5—1126—
Pablo Rosario766.5—0—35—
Gabri Veiga627.2—01283
Pepê846.6—01283
Deniz Gül616.5—0141
Oskar Pietuszewski627.6102202
Terem Moffi297.31012—
Rodrigo Mora286.7—0182
William Gomes288.31138—
Seko Fofana147.5—0—162
André Miranda166.3—0—4—
João Costa———————
Dominik Prpić———————
Francisco Moura———————
André Oliveira———————

Arouca

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Ignacio de Arruabarrena907.2—0—42—
Diogo Monteiro906.2—0—324
Javi Sánchez456.3—0—381
Jose Fontán907.0—0—742
Bas Kuipers906.0—0129—
Taichi Fukui907.0—01373
Pablo Gozálbez786.3—0—322
Brian Mansilla786.3—0—154
Alfonso Trezza856.0—016—
Naïs Djouahra908.0102315
Ivan Barbero666.5—017—
Boris Popović456.0—0—161
Dylan Nandín246.7—0—52
José Silva125.9—0—3—
Yellu Santiago126.0—0—32
Miguel Puche156.2—0—1—
João Valido———————
Amadou Dante———————
Matías Rocha———————
Bruno Duarte———————
2025/26 STANDINGS

Primeira Liga table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Primeira Liga. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1FC Porto34284266184888
WLWWW
2Sporting CP34257289246582
WWWDD
3Benfica342311074254980
WDDWW
4SC Braga341611764362859
DDDLW
5Famalicao341511842291356
WDDWD
6GIL Vicente341311104738950
LLDWL
7Moreirense34127153749-1243
DLWLW
8Arouca34126164764-1742
WWDLW
9Guimaraes34126163951-1242
LLLWW
10Estoril34109155457-339
LDDLL
11Alverca34109153552-1739
LDLWL
12Rio Ave34812143557-2236
DLDLD
13Santa Clara3499163241-936
LWDWD
14Nacional3497183745-834
WLLWW
15Estrela34612163856-1830
DDLLL
16Casa Pia34612163157-2630
DWLLL
17Tondela34610182755-2828
LWWDL
18AVS34312192767-4021
DWWDD
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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