Real Sociedad
6/10Wins
1.9Goals / game
1.4Conceded / game
Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 4 available matches.
Inspect Real Sociedad’s results
Copa del ReySemi-finalsTHE MATCH CENTREReal Sociedad vs Athletic Club match centre
90′ · Live
1:0
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
M. Oyarzabal87′ (pen)
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate96.1%Real Sociedad
Draw3.8%at full time
Current result estimate0.1%Athletic Club
Another goal8.1%before full time
Next goal: Real Sociedad 4.2% · no further goal 91.9% · Athletic Club 3.9%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.Real SociedadAthletic Club
—Expected goals · API-Football—
4Shots on target2
13Total Shots10
49%Ball Possession51%
11Corner Kicks8
12Fouls16
1Yellow Cards5
—Red Cards—
2Goalkeeper Saves3
370Total passes380
289Passes accurate299
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
Semi-finalsReal Sociedad 1–0 Athletic Club
→Current progressionReal Sociedad
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Real Sociedad 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Athletic Club 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Athletic Club
5/10Wins
1.8Goals / game
1.5Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 4 wins from 7 available matches.
Inspect Athletic Club’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Real Sociedad
10 matchesResults6 wins · 3 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game1.9
Goals conceded per game1.4
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored8 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
Athletic Club
10 matchesResults5 wins · 2 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.8
Goals conceded per game1.5
Games with 3+ goals7 of 10
Both teams scored9 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Rayo VallecanoAway · La Liga1–1ElcheHome · La Liga2–1OviedoAway · La Liga2–1Real SociedadHome · Copa del Rey0–1LevanteHome · La Liga4–2ValenciaAway · Copa del Rey2–1Real SociedadHome · La Liga1–1Sporting CPHome · UEFA Champions League2–3SevillaAway · La Liga1–2AtalantaAway · UEFA Champions League3–2
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Real Sociedad at home with Athletic Club away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 03:05 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Copa del Rey · 2025/26 · all league matches
Real SociedadAthletic Club
6Matches played4
18Points earned9
6Wins3
2.3Goals scored / match1.7
0.8Goals conceded / match1.2
3Clean sheets1
0Failed to score1
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Real Sociedad at home with Athletic Club away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Real Sociedad
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Pellegrino Matarazzo
- 13
U. MarreroG - 2
J. AramburuD - 31
J. MartinD - 5
I. ZubeldiaD - 17
S. GomezD - 4
J. GorrotxategiM - 8
B. TurrientesM - 11
G. GuedesM - 18
C. SolerM - 7
A. BarrenetxeaM - 10
M. OyarzabalF
Substitutes (11)
1 · A. Remiro
3 · A. Munoz
6 · A. Elustondo
9 · O. Oskarsson
12 · Y. Herrera
15 · P. Marin
16 · D. Caleta-Car
21 · A. Zakharyan
22 · Wesley
23 · B. Mendez
24 · L. Sucic
Athletic Club
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Ernesto Valverde
- 27
A. PadillaG - 3
D. VivianD - 4
A. ParedesD - 14
A. LaporteD - 17
Y. BerchicheD - 30
A. RegoM - 18
M. JauregizarM - 9
I. WilliamsM - 8
O. SancetM - 7
A. BerenguerM - 11
G. GuruzetaF
Substitutes (11)
1 · U. Simon
6 · M. Vesga
12 · J. Areso
15 · I. Lekue
16 · I. Ruiz de Galarreta
19 · A. Boiro
20 · U. Gomez
22 · N. Serrano
23 · R. Navarro
25 · Izeta
44 · S. Sanchez
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Real Sociedad
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unai Marrero | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 39 | — |
| Jon Aramburu | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 32 | 2 |
| Jon Martin | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 1 | 42 | — |
| Igor Zubeldia | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 48 | 4 |
| Sergio Gómez | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 39 | 2 |
| Jon Gorrotxategi | 90 | 7.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 45 | 8 |
| Beñat Turrientes | 59 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 19 | — |
| Gonçalo Guedes | 89 | 8.0 | — | 0 | 1 | 24 | 2 |
| Carlos Soler | 83 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 22 | — |
| Ander Barrenetxea | 59 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 19 | 1 |
| Mikel Oyarzabal | 89 | 7.9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 31 | — |
| Yangel Herrera | 31 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 |
| Pablo Marín | 31 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 5 | — |
| Orri Steinn Óskarsson | 17 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 2 | — |
| Aihen Muñoz | 1 | — | — | 0 | — | 2 | — |
| Luka Sučić | 1 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 3 | — |
| Álex Remiro | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Duje Ćaleta-Car | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aritz Elustondo | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Brais Méndez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wesley | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Arsen Zakharyan | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Athletic Club
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Padilla | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 32 | — |
| Daniel Vivian | 90 | 7.7 | — | 0 | — | 49 | 5 |
| Aitor Paredes | 67 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 38 | 1 |
| Aymeric Laporte | 90 | 7.7 | — | 0 | — | 63 | 1 |
| Yuri Berchiche | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 36 | — |
| Alejandro Rego | 56 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 20 | 2 |
| Mikel Jauregizar | 82 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 35 | 1 |
| Iñaki Williams | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 16 | — |
| Oihan Sancet | 67 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 19 | 3 |
| Álex Berenguer | 90 | 5.6 | — | 0 | 3 | 30 | 3 |
| Gorka Guruzeta | 82 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 12 | 1 |
| Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta | 34 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 12 | 1 |
| Jesús Areso | 23 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 11 | — |
| Robert Navarro | 23 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 8 | — |
| Mikel Vesga | 8 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 4 | — |
| Nico Serrano | 8 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 6 | — |
| Unai Simón | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Íñigo Lekue | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Adama Boiro | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Unai Gómez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Selton Sanchez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Urko Izeta | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2025/26 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Copa del Rey table
Current standings. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
Standings are not available for this competition and season.
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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