Tottenham
1/10Wins
1.3Goals / game
2.3Conceded / game
Keep in view: 6 losses in that sample. At home, 1 wins from 8 available matches.
Inspect Tottenham’s results
UEFA Champions LeagueRound of 16THE MATCH CENTRETottenham vs Atletico Madrid match centre
90′ · Live
3:2
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
R. Kolo Muani30′
X. Simons52′
X. Simons90′ (pen)
J. Alvarez47′
D. Hancko75′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate96.1%Tottenham
Draw3.9%at full time
Current result estimate0.1%Atletico Madrid
Another goal8.1%before full time
Next goal: Tottenham 4.1% · no further goal 91.9% · Atletico Madrid 4.0%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.TottenhamAtletico Madrid
2.440Expected goals · API-Football1.040
11Shots on target6
15Total Shots18
51%Ball Possession49%
6Corner Kicks7
15Fouls8
4Yellow Cards3
—Red Cards—
5Goalkeeper Saves8
413Total passes403
342Passes accurate335
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
UEFA Champions LeagueProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 8 | +19 | 24 | — |
| 2 |  Bayern München | 8 | +14 | 21 | — |
| 3 | Tottenham | 9 | +11 | 20 | ↑ 1 |
| 4 |  Liverpool | 8 | +12 | 18 | ↓ 1 |
| 5 |  Barcelona | 8 | +8 | 16 | — |
| 6 |  Chelsea | 8 | +7 | 16 | — |
| 7 |  Sporting CP | 8 | +6 | 16 | — |
| 8 |  Manchester City | 8 | +6 | 16 | — |
| 9 |  Real Madrid | 8 | +9 | 15 | — |
| 10 |  Inter | 8 | +8 | 15 | — |
| 11 |  Paris Saint Germain | 8 | +10 | 14 | — |
| 12 |  Newcastle | 8 | +10 | 14 | — |
| 13 |  Juventus | 8 | +4 | 13 | — |
| 14 |  Atletico Madrid | 9 | +1 | 13 | — |
| 15 |  Atalanta | 8 | 0 | 13 | — |
| 16 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 8 | -1 | 12 | — |
| 17 |  Borussia Dortmund | 8 | +2 | 11 | — |
| 18 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 8 | -4 | 11 | — |
| 19 |  Club Brugge KV | 8 | -2 | 10 | — |
| 20 |  Galatasaray | 8 | -2 | 10 | — |
| 21 |  Monaco | 8 | -6 | 10 | — |
| 22 |  Qarabag | 8 | -8 | 10 | — |
| 23 |  Bodo/Glimt | 8 | -1 | 9 | — |
| 24 |  Benfica | 8 | -2 | 9 | — |
| 25 |  Marseille | 8 | -3 | 9 | — |
| 26 |  Pafos | 8 | -3 | 9 | — |
| 27 |  Union St. Gilloise | 8 | -9 | 9 | — |
| 28 |  PSV Eindhoven | 8 | 0 | 8 | — |
| 29 |  Athletic Club | 8 | -5 | 8 | — |
| 30 |  Napoli | 8 | -6 | 8 | — |
| 31 |  FC Copenhagen | 8 | -9 | 8 | — |
| 32 |  Ajax | 8 | -13 | 6 | — |
| 33 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | -11 | 4 | — |
| 34 |  Slavia Praha | 8 | -14 | 3 | — |
| 35 |  Villarreal | 8 | -13 | 1 | — |
| 36 |  Kairat Almaty | 8 | -15 | 1 | — |
Round of 16Tottenham 3–2 Atletico Madrid
→Current progressionTottenham
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Tottenham 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Atletico Madrid 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Atletico Madrid
7/10Wins
2.5Goals / game
1.6Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 8 available matches.
Inspect Atletico Madrid’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Tottenham
10 matchesResults1 wins · 3 draws · 6 losses
Goals scored per game1.3
Goals conceded per game2.3
Games with 3+ goals7 of 10
Both teams scored8 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
LiverpoolAway · Premier League1–1Atletico MadridAway · UEFA Champions League2–5Crystal PalaceHome · Premier League1–3FulhamAway · Premier League1–2ArsenalHome · Premier League1–4NewcastleHome · Premier League1–2Manchester UnitedAway · Premier League0–2Manchester CityHome · Premier League2–2Eintracht FrankfurtAway · UEFA Champions League2–0BurnleyAway · Premier League2–2
Atletico Madrid
10 matchesResults7 wins · 1 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game2.5
Goals conceded per game1.6
Games with 3+ goals8 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
GetafeHome · La Liga1–0TottenhamHome · UEFA Champions League5–2Real SociedadHome · La Liga3–2BarcelonaAway · Copa del Rey0–3OviedoAway · La Liga1–0Club Brugge KVHome · UEFA Champions League4–1EspanyolHome · La Liga4–2Club Brugge KVAway · UEFA Champions League3–3Rayo VallecanoAway · La Liga0–3BarcelonaHome · Copa del Rey4–0
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Tottenham at home with Atletico Madrid away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:42 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
UEFA Champions League · 2025/26 · all league matches
TottenhamAtletico Madrid
9Matches played11
17Points earned20
5Wins6
2.1Goals scored / match2.6
1.3Goals conceded / match1.9
6Clean sheets0
1Failed to score1
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Tottenham at home with Atletico Madrid away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Tottenham
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Igor Tudor
- 1
G. VicarioG - 3
R. DragusinD - 17
C. RomeroD - 37
M. van de VenD - 24
D. SpenceD - 14
A. GrayM - 29
P. M. SarrM - 23
P. PorroM - 7
X. SimonsM - 11
M. TelM - 39
R. Kolo MuaniF
Substitutes (9)
40 · B. Austin
31 · A. Kinsky
57 · R. Kyerematen
76 · J. Rowswell
4 · K. Danso
22 · C. Gallagher
13 · D. Udogie
15 · L. Bergvall
52 · C. Olusesi
Atletico Madrid
Confirmed formation4-4-2Diego Simeone
- 1
J. MussoG - 16
N. MolinaD - 24
R. Le NormandD - 17
D. HanckoD - 3
M. RuggeriD - 20
G. SimeoneM - 14
M. LlorenteM - 5
J. CardosoM - 22
A. LookmanM - 7
A. GriezmannF - 19
J. AlvarezF
Substitutes (12)
33 · M. de Luis
31 · S. Esquivel
6 · Koke
9 · A. Sorloth
2 · J. M. Gimenez
23 · N. Gonzalez
21 · O. Vargas
15 · C. Lenglet
10 · A. Baena
11 · T. Almada
18 · M. Pubill
34 · J. Diaz
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Tottenham
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guglielmo Vicario | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 26 | — |
| Radu Drăguşin | 66 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 25 | — |
| Cristian Romero | 81 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 35 | 1 |
| Micky van de Ven | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 40 | 1 |
| Djed Spence | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 44 | 1 |
| Archie Gray | 81 | 6.9 | — | 1 | — | 43 | — |
| Pape Matar Sarr | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 51 | 1 |
| Pedro Porro | 74 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 2 | 26 | — |
| Xavi Simons | 90 | 9.6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 46 | 2 |
| Mathys Tel | 81 | 6.5 | — | 1 | 5 | 19 | 1 |
| Randal Kolo Muani | 90 | 7.5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | — |
| Destiny Udogie | 24 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 13 | 1 |
| Lucas Bergvall | 16 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 12 | — |
| Kevin Danso | 9 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 13 | — |
| Conor Gallagher | 9 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 3 | — |
| Callum Olusesi | 9 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 5 | — |
| Antonín Kinský | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Brandon Austin | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| James Rowswell | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rio Kyerematen | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Atletico Madrid
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Musso | 90 | 8.2 | — | 0 | — | 30 | — |
| Nahuel Molina | 64 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 30 | 5 |
| Robin Le Normand | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 29 | 4 |
| Dávid Hancko | 90 | 7.3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 39 | — |
| Matteo Ruggeri | 90 | 5.9 | — | 0 | — | 53 | — |
| Giuliano Simeone | 87 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 3 | 27 | 5 |
| Marcos Llorente | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 33 | 1 |
| Johnny Cardoso | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 45 | 5 |
| Ademola Lookman | 63 | 6.9 | — | 1 | 1 | 24 | 1 |
| Antoine Griezmann | 84 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 40 | — |
| Julián Alvarez | 84 | 8.9 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 27 | 2 |
| Alexander Sørloth | 27 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 7 | — |
| Koke | 26 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 14 | 3 |
| Alejandro Baena | 12 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 2 | — |
| Nicolás González | 12 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 2 | 1 |
| José María Giménez | 9 | 5.6 | — | 0 | — | 2 | — |
| Salvi Esquivel | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mario de Luis | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Clément Lenglet | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marc Pubill | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Julio Díaz | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Thiago Almada | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Obed Vargas | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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