Atletico Madrid
5/10Wins
2.1Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 6 wins from 8 available matches.
Inspect Atletico Madrid’s results
La LigaMatchweek 27THE MATCH CENTREAtletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad match centre
90′ · Live
3:2
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
A. Sorloth5′
N. Gonzalez67′
N. Gonzalez81′
C. Soler9′
M. Oyarzabal68′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate96.7%Atletico Madrid
Draw3.3%at full time
Current result estimate0.1%Real Sociedad
Another goal8.0%before full time
Next goal: Atletico Madrid 4.6% · no further goal 92.0% · Real Sociedad 3.4%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.Atletico MadridReal Sociedad
2.290Expected goals · API-Football0.410
9Shots on target3
24Total Shots7
52%Ball Possession48%
8Corner Kicks1
6Fouls10
1Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
1Goalkeeper Saves5
466Total passes445
385Passes accurate354
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Primera DivisiónProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 38 | +59 | 94 | — |
| 2 |  Real Madrid | 38 | +42 | 86 | — |
| 3 |  Villarreal | 38 | +26 | 72 | — |
| 4 | Atletico Madrid | 39 | +19 | 72 | — |
| 5 |  Real Betis | 38 | +11 | 60 | — |
| 6 |  Celta Vigo | 38 | +5 | 54 | — |
| 7 |  Getafe | 38 | -6 | 51 | — |
| 8 |  Rayo Vallecano | 38 | -3 | 50 | — |
| 9 |  Valencia | 38 | -9 | 49 | — |
| 10 |  Real Sociedad | 39 | -3 | 46 | — |
| 11 |  Espanyol | 38 | -12 | 46 | — |
| 12 |  Athletic Club | 38 | -15 | 45 | — |
| 13 |  Elche | 38 | -8 | 43 | ↑ 2 |
| 14 |  Alaves | 38 | -12 | 43 | — |
| 15 |  Sevilla | 38 | -14 | 43 | ↓ 2 |
| 16 |  Osasuna | 38 | -6 | 42 | ↑ 1 |
| 17 |  Mallorca | 38 | -10 | 42 | ↑ 1 |
| 18 |  Levante | 38 | -14 | 42 | ↓ 2 |
| 19 |  Girona | 38 | -16 | 41 | — |
| 20 |  Oviedo | 38 | -34 | 29 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Atletico Madrid 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Real Sociedad 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Real Sociedad
7/10Wins
1.9Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game
Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 6 available matches.
Inspect Real Sociedad’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Atletico Madrid
10 matchesResults5 wins · 2 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game2.1
Goals conceded per game1.3
Games with 3+ goals7 of 10
Both teams scored3 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
BarcelonaAway · Copa del Rey0–3OviedoAway · La Liga1–0Club Brugge KVHome · UEFA Champions League4–1EspanyolHome · La Liga4–2Club Brugge KVAway · UEFA Champions League3–3Rayo VallecanoAway · La Liga0–3BarcelonaHome · Copa del Rey4–0Real BetisHome · La Liga0–1Real BetisAway · Copa del Rey5–0LevanteAway · La Liga0–0
Real Sociedad
10 matchesResults7 wins · 2 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game1.9
Goals conceded per game1.3
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored7 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Atletico Madrid at home with Real Sociedad away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 03:08 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
La Liga · 2025/26 · all league matches
Atletico MadridReal Sociedad
26Matches played26
51Points earned35
15Wins9
1.7Goals scored / match1.5
0.9Goals conceded / match1.5
11Clean sheets2
4Failed to score3
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Atletico Madrid at home with Real Sociedad away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Atletico Madrid
Confirmed formation4-4-2Diego Simeone
- 13
J. OblakG - 16
N. MolinaD - 2
J. M. GimenezD - 17
D. HanckoD - 3
M. RuggeriD - 20
G. SimeoneM - 4
R. MendozaM - 6
KokeM - 11
T. AlmadaM - 9
A. SorlothF - 22
A. LookmanF
Substitutes (12)
1 · J. Musso
14 · M. Llorente
23 · N. Gonzalez
21 · O. Vargas
7 · A. Griezmann
15 · C. Lenglet
24 · R. Le Normand
10 · A. Baena
19 · J. Alvarez
5 · J. Cardoso
18 · M. Pubill
34 · J. Diaz
Real Sociedad
Confirmed formation4-4-2Pellegrino Matarazzo
- 1
A. RemiroG - 2
J. AramburuD - 31
J. MartinD - 16
D. Caleta-CarD - 17
S. GomezD - 15
P. MarinM - 12
Y. HerreraM - 18
C. SolerM - 7
A. BarrenetxeaM - 24
L. SucicF - 9
O. OskarssonF
Substitutes (12)
13 · U. Marrero
41 · T. Folgado
11 · G. Guedes
23 · B. Mendez
6 · A. Elustondo
8 · B. Turrientes
21 · A. Zakharyan
19 · J. Karrikaburu
4 · J. Gorrotxategi
10 · M. Oyarzabal
5 · I. Zubeldia
22 · Wesley
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Atletico Madrid
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan Oblak | 90 | 5.7 | — | 0 | — | 27 | — |
| Nahuel Molina | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 1 | 49 | 5 |
| José María Giménez | 90 | 7.2 | — | 1 | 2 | 56 | 2 |
| Dávid Hancko | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 2 | 54 | 1 |
| Matteo Ruggeri | 90 | 6.9 | — | 1 | — | 48 | 2 |
| Giuliano Simeone | 53 | 7.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 26 | — |
| Rodrigo Mendoza | 45 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 23 | 2 |
| Koke | 61 | 7.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 53 | 3 |
| Thiago Almada | 54 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 33 | 2 |
| Alexander Sørloth | 90 | 7.3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 1 |
| Ademola Lookman | 53 | 7.3 | — | 0 | 3 | 20 | 1 |
| Marcos Llorente | 45 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 17 | — |
| Julián Alvarez | 37 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 17 | 1 |
| Antoine Griezmann | 37 | 7.2 | — | 1 | — | 19 | — |
| Nicolás González | 36 | 9.3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 2 |
| Johnny Cardoso | 29 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 13 | — |
| Juan Musso | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Robin Le Normand | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Julio Díaz | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Clément Lenglet | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marc Pubill | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Obed Vargas | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alejandro Baena | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Real Sociedad
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Álex Remiro | 90 | 9.0 | — | 0 | — | 61 | — |
| Jon Aramburu | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 47 | 1 |
| Jon Martin | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 46 | 1 |
| Duje Ćaleta-Car | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 48 | 4 |
| Sergio Gómez | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 52 | 2 |
| Pablo Marín | 55 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 11 | — |
| Yangel Herrera | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 36 | — |
| Carlos Soler | 74 | 8.0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 35 | 2 |
| Ander Barrenetxea | 65 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 19 | 1 |
| Luka Sučić | 74 | 7.3 | — | 1 | 2 | 23 | — |
| Orri Steinn Óskarsson | 56 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 7 | — |
| Gonçalo Guedes | 35 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 13 | 1 |
| Mikel Oyarzabal | 34 | 7.7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 1 |
| Arsen Zakharyan | 25 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 10 | — |
| Brais Méndez | 16 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 23 | — |
| Beñat Turrientes | 16 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 13 | — |
| Theo Folgado | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Unai Marrero | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Igor Zubeldia | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aritz Elustondo | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wesley | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jon Gorrotxategi | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jon Karrikaburu | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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