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Sturm Graz vs TSV Hartberg match centre

Sturm Graz badgeSturm GrazHome · 2 in league
DWWDW
Momentum↑ Strong75/100OlderLatest
24′ · Live
0:0
UK time · Europe/London
TSV Hartberg badgeTSV HartbergAway · 6 in league
DDDLL
Momentum↘ Falling17/100OlderLatest
Merkur-Arena · GrazSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

24′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate36.7%Sturm Graz
Draw27.9%at full time
Current result estimate35.4%TSV Hartberg
Another goal90.6%before full time

Next goal: Sturm Graz 45.8% · no further goal 9.4% · TSV Hartberg 44.8%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
Sturm GrazTSV Hartberg
2Corner Kicks2
0Fouls1
—Yellow Cards—
—Red Cards—
—Goalkeeper Saves—
98Total passes77
80Passes accurate58

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

Bundesliga , Championship Round

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1Lask Linz32+1439—
2Sturm Graz33+1638—
3Red Bull Salzburg32+1529—
4Austria Vienna32-529—
5Rapid Vienna32-527—
6TSV Hartberg33026—
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Sturm Graz 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

TSV Hartberg 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Sturm Graz

6/10Wins
1.6Goals / game
0.7Conceded / game

Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At home, 4 wins from 5 available matches.

Inspect Sturm Graz’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

TSV Hartberg

3/10Wins
1.2Goals / game
0.5Conceded / game

Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 7 available matches.

Inspect TSV Hartberg’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Sturm Graz at home with TSV Hartberg away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 01:47 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Bundesliga · 2025/26 · all league matches

Sturm GrazTSV Hartberg
25Matches played25
45Points earned34
14Wins8
1.7Goals scored / match1.2
1.2Goals conceded / match1.1
10Clean sheets8
2Failed to score8

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Sturm Graz at home with TSV Hartberg away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Sturm Graz

Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Fabio Ingolitsch
  1. 53D. KhudyakovG
  2. 5A. VallciD
  3. 2J. MitchellD
  4. 30P. KollerD
  5. 22J. GazibegovicM
  6. 4J. Gorenc StankovicM
  7. 39L. WeinhandlM
  8. 43J. HodlM
  9. 15G. MamageishviliF
  10. 10O. KiteishviliF
  11. 20S. JattaF
Substitutes (9)

40 · M. Bignetti

77 · M. Malone

80 · R. Fosso

25 · S. Hierlander

47 · E. Aiwu

35 · N. Geyrhofer

9 · R. Wilson

11 · A. Kayombo

23 · A. Malic

TSV Hartberg

Confirmed formation3-4-3Manfred Schmid
  1. 1A. HelacG
  2. 27K. SchoppD
  3. 18F. WilfingerD
  4. 6H. CoulibalyD
  5. 28J. HeilM
  6. 23T. KainzM
  7. 4B. MarkusM
  8. 2L. PazourekM
  9. 22M. Hoffmann
  10. 30L. FridrikasF
  11. 7E. HavelF
Substitutes (9)

21 · L. Maric

16 · J. Golles

5 · Y. Diarra

95 · D. Kovacevic

61 · M. Aziz

8 · J. Halwachs

11 · M. Fillafer

33 · M. Hennig

25 · E. Ojukwu

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Sturm Graz

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Daniil Khudyakov906.9—0—24—
Albert Vallci907.9—01597
Jeyland Mitchell908.3—01512
Paul-Friedrich Koller907.2—0351—
Jusuf Gazibegović927.0——1311
Jon Gorenc Stanković907.7—01521
Luca Weinhandl606.9—01254
Jacob Hödl907.2—0—323
Gizo Mamageishvili606.9—01213
Otar Kiteishvili907.2—0—56—
Seedy Jatta866.9—04131
Maurice Malone306.5—0—61
Ryan Fosso306.6—0—20—
Rory Wilson116.3—0—2—
Stefan Hierlander1——0—4—
Axel Kayombo———————
Matteo Bignetti———————
Niklas Geyrhofer———————
Arjan Malić———————
Emanuel Aiwu———————

TSV Hartberg

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Ammar Helac907.6—0—35—
Konstantin Schopp897.9—01264
Fabian Wilfinger907.2—0—26—
Habib Anas Coulibaly906.9—01262
Jurgen Heil777.0—0—243
Tobias Kainz907.6—01213
Benjamin Markuš906.6—0336—
Luca Pazourek907.3—0—226
Marco Hoffmann646.7—0—132
Lukas Fridrikas896.3—0124—
Elias Havel896.3—0—161
Musibau Aziz266.3—0—8—
Maximilian Hennig136.6—0—1—
Damjan Kovačević1——0———
Julian Halwachs1——0———
Youba Diarra1——0—21
Maximilian Fillafer———————
Julian Gölles———————
Luka Marić———————
Emmanuel Ojukwu———————
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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