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FSV Mainz 05 vs Strasbourg match centre

FSV Mainz 05 badgeFSV Mainz 05Home · 7 in league
DWWWW
Momentum↗ Rising90/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
2:0
UK time · Europe/London
Strasbourg badgeStrasbourgAway · 1 in league
WDDWW
Momentum↗ Rising75/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
K. Sano11′
S. Posch19′
MEWA Arena · MainzSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Market chance —See match research Draw—Market chance —See match research Away win—Market chance —See match research No stored odds · open the match for form and team context Chances are estimates for 90 minutes. Stored prices can change; likelihood alone does not establish value.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate99.9%FSV Mainz 05
Draw0.1%at full time
Current result estimate0.0%Strasbourg
Another goal8.1%before full time

Next goal: FSV Mainz 05 4.4% · no further goal 91.9% · Strasbourg 3.7%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
FSV Mainz 05Strasbourg
8Corner Kicks4
16Fouls10
0Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
2Goalkeeper Saves4
274Total passes601
216Passes accurate532

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

UEFA Conference League

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1FSV Mainz 057+616↑ 6
2Strasbourg7+416↓ 1
3Raków Częstochowa6+714↓ 1
4AEK Athens FC6+713↓ 1
5Sparta Praha6+713↓ 1
6Rayo Vallecano6+613↓ 1
7Shakhtar Donetsk6+513↓ 1
8AEK Larnaca6+612—
9Lausanne6+311—
10Crystal Palace6+510—
11Lech Poznan6+410—
12Samsunspor6+410—
13Celje6+110—
14AZ Alkmaar6010—
15Fiorentina6+39—
16HNK Rijeka6+39—
17Jagiellonia6+19—
18Omonia Nicosia6+18—
19FC Noah6-18—
20Drita6-48—
21KuPS6+17—
22Shkendija6-17—
23Zrinjski6-27—
24Sigma Olomouc6-27—
25Universitatea Craiova6-27—
26Lincoln Red Imps FC6-87—
27Dynamo Kyiv606—
28Legia Warszawa606—
29Slovan Bratislava6-46—
30Breidablik6-55—
31Shamrock Rovers6-64—
32BK Hacken6-33—
33Hamrun Spartans6-73—
34Shelbourne6-72—
35Aberdeen6-112—
36Rapid Vienna6-111—
Quarter-finalsFSV Mainz 05 2–0 Strasbourg
Current progressionFSV Mainz 05
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

FSV Mainz 05 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Strasbourg 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

FSV Mainz 05

5/10Wins
1.4Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game

Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At home, 5 wins from 7 available matches.

Inspect FSV Mainz 05’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Strasbourg

5/10Wins
1.7Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game

Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 6 available matches.

Inspect Strasbourg’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare FSV Mainz 05 at home with Strasbourg away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 10:34 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

UEFA Europa Conference League · 2025/26 · all league matches

FSV Mainz 05Strasbourg
10Matches played10
20Points earned24
6Wins7
1.4Goals scored / match1.7
0.6Goals conceded / match0.9
5Clean sheets2
2Failed to score1

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares FSV Mainz 05 at home with Strasbourg away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

FSV Mainz 05

Confirmed formation3-5-2Urs Fischer
  1. 33D. BatzG
  2. 21D. da CostaD
  3. 4S. PoschD
  4. 31D. KohrD
  5. 30S. WidmerM
  6. 8P. NebelM
  7. 6K. SanoM
  8. 24S. KawasakiM
  9. 2P. MweneM
  10. 44N. WeiperF
  11. 20P. TietzF
Substitutes (10)

1 · L. Riess

35 · L. Babatz

15 · L. Maloney

11 · A. Sieb

36 · F. Moreno Fell

14 · W. Boving

42 · D. Gleiber

22 · N. Veratschnig

48 · K. Potulski

34 · D. Imafidon

Strasbourg

Confirmed formation4-4-1-1Gary O'Neil
  1. 39M. PendersG
  2. 22G. DoueD
  3. 2A. OmobamideleD
  4. 6I. DoukoureD
  5. 3B. ChilwellD
  6. 80G. YassineM
  7. 32V. BarcoM
  8. 8M. OyedeleM
  9. 20M. GodoM
  10. 29S. El MourabetF
  11. 19J. EncisoF
Substitutes (11)

1 · K. Johnsson

60 · G. Kerckaert

11 · S. Nanasi

10 · E. Emegha

7 · D. Moreira

17 · M. Amougou

37 · G. Kodia

27 · S. Amo-Ameyaw

83 · R. Luis

24 · L. Hogsberg

38 · J. Bosey

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

FSV Mainz 05

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Daniel Batz957.3———30—
Danny da Costa956.9———151
Stefan Posch957.91—2381
Dominik Kohr957.5——132—
Silvan Widmer807.3———192
Paul Nebel897.3—1—35—
Kaishu Sano958.61—1283
Sota Kawasaki706.6—1—151
Phillipp Mwene696.9———164
Nelson Weiper696.3——2113
Phillip Tietz956.3——219—
Armindo Sieb266.2——33—
Nikolas Veratschnig267.7———13—
William Bøving257.0——141
Kacper Potulski156.9———8—
Lennard Maloney6————1—
Daniel Imafidon———————
Lasse Riess———————
Louis Babatz———————
Daniel Gleiber———————
Fabio Moreno Fell———————

Strasbourg

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Mike Penders957.6———24—
Guéla Doué956.9——2861
Andrew Omobamidele957.3———76—
Ismael Doukouré956.9———812
Ben Chilwell956.5———661
Gessime Yassine646.9———322
Valentín Barco957.3——1692
Maxi Oyedele646.7———54—
Martial Godo856.6———32—
Samir El Mourabet956.3———542
Julio Enciso956.2——219—
Diego Moreira316.7——1121
Emmanuel Emegha316.5——11—
Sebastian Nanasi106.6———1—
Karl-Johan Johnsson———————
Gabriel Kerckaert———————
Rafael Luis———————
Mathis Amougou———————
Samuel Amo-Ameyaw———————
Ghianny Kodia———————
Jean-Baptiste Bosey———————
Lucas Høgsberg———————
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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