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Fiorentina vs Crystal Palace match centre

Fiorentina badgeFiorentinaHome · 15 in league
WWWDW
Momentum↘ Falling85/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
2:1
UK time · Europe/London
Crystal Palace badgeCrystal PalaceAway · 10 in league
WDDWD
Momentum→ Steady67/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
A. Gudmundsson30′ (pen)
C. Ndour53′
I. Sarr17′
Stadio Artemio Franchi · FlorenceSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate96.3%Fiorentina
Draw3.6%at full time
Current result estimate0.1%Crystal Palace
Another goal8.1%before full time

Next goal: Fiorentina 4.3% · no further goal 91.9% · Crystal Palace 3.7%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
FiorentinaCrystal Palace
6Corner Kicks1
14Fouls13
5Yellow Cards3
—Red Cards—
2Goalkeeper Saves4
550Total passes268
479Passes accurate190

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

UEFA Conference League

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1Strasbourg6+616—
2Raków Częstochowa6+714—
3AEK Athens FC6+713—
4Sparta Praha6+713—
5Rayo Vallecano6+613—
6Shakhtar Donetsk6+513—
7FSV Mainz 056+413—
8AEK Larnaca6+612—
9Fiorentina7+412↑ 6
10Lausanne6+311↓ 1
11Crystal Palace7+410↓ 1
12Lech Poznan6+410↓ 1
13Samsunspor6+410↓ 1
14Celje6+110↓ 1
15AZ Alkmaar6010↓ 1
16HNK Rijeka6+39—
17Jagiellonia6+19—
18Omonia Nicosia6+18—
19FC Noah6-18—
20Drita6-48—
21KuPS6+17—
22Shkendija6-17—
23Zrinjski6-27—
24Sigma Olomouc6-27—
25Universitatea Craiova6-27—
26Lincoln Red Imps FC6-87—
27Dynamo Kyiv606—
28Legia Warszawa606—
29Slovan Bratislava6-46—
30Breidablik6-55—
31Shamrock Rovers6-64—
32BK Hacken6-33—
33Hamrun Spartans6-73—
34Shelbourne6-72—
35Aberdeen6-112—
36Rapid Vienna6-111—
Quarter-finalsFiorentina 2–1 Crystal Palace
Current progressionFiorentina
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Fiorentina 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Crystal Palace 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Fiorentina

5/10Wins
1.1Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game

Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Fiorentina’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Crystal Palace

5/10Wins
1.4Goals / game
0.6Conceded / game

Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 8 available matches.

Inspect Crystal Palace’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

Fiorentina

10 matches
Oldest newest
Results5 wins · 2 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.1
Goals conceded per game1.3
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored4 of 10

Past results, not predictions.

See results

Crystal Palace

10 matches
Oldest newest
Results5 wins · 4 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game1.4
Goals conceded per game0.6
Games with 3+ goals4 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10

Past results, not predictions.

See results
About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Fiorentina at home with Crystal Palace away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 02:26 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

UEFA Europa Conference League · 2025/26 · all league matches

FiorentinaCrystal Palace
13Matches played13
24Points earned25
8Wins7
1.7Goals scored / match1.6
1.2Goals conceded / match0.6
4Clean sheets7
3Failed to score3

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Fiorentina at home with Crystal Palace away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Fiorentina

Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Paolo Vanoli
  1. 43D. de GeaG
  2. 5M. PongracicD
  3. 15P. ComuzzoD
  4. 6L. RanieriD
  5. 17J. HarrisonM
  6. 8R. MandragoraM
  7. 44N. FagioliM
  8. 21R. GosensM
  9. 10A. GudmundssonF
  10. 19M. SolomonF
  11. 91R. PiccoliF
Substitutes (11)

50 · P. Leonardelli

53 · O. Christensen

22 · J. Fazzini

80 · G. Fabbian

27 · C. Ndour

61 · R. Braschi

23 · E. Kospo

60 · E. Kouadio

62 · L. Balbo

64 · L. Deli

69 · G. Puzzoli

Crystal Palace

Confirmed formation3-4-3Oliver Glasner
  1. 1D. HendersonG
  2. 26C. RichardsD
  3. 5M. LacroixD
  4. 23J. CanvotD
  5. 2D. MunozM
  6. 20A. WhartonM
  7. 18D. KamadaM
  8. 3T. MitchellM
  9. 7I. SarrF
  10. 14J. MatetaF
  11. 10Y. PinoF
Substitutes (12)

44 · W. Benitez

31 · R. Matthews

17 · N. Clyne

19 · W. Hughes

24 · B. Sosa

22 · J. S. Larsen

11 · B. Johnson

42 · K. Rodney

8 · J. Lerma

55 · J. Devenny

34 · C. Riad

59 · R. Cardines

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Fiorentina

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
David De Gea906.5—0—38—
Marin Pongračić906.3—0—791
Pietro Comuzzo706.2—0—74—
Luca Ranieri907.0—0—553
Jack Harrison907.3—01511
Rolando Mandragora908.3—0—72—
Nicolò Fagioli456.7—0—431
Robin Gosens706.3—01231
Albert Guðmundsson757.5102221
Manor Solomon757.7—1333—
Roberto Piccoli905.7—0215—
Cher Ndour457.6101232
Luís Balbo206.6—0—81
Eddy Kouadio206.9—0—132
Giovanni Fabbian156.2—0—5—
Jacopo Fazzini156.5—0—4—
Oliver Christensen———————
Pietro Leonardelli———————
Eman Košpo———————
Giorgio Puzzoli———————
Lapo Deli———————
Riccardo Braschi———————

Crystal Palace

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Dean Henderson907.3—0—34—
Chris Richards907.0—01221
Maxence Lacroix416.9—0—92
Jaydee Canvot906.2—0—271
Daniel Muñoz906.9—11221
Adam Wharton306.6—0—11—
Daichi Kamada907.2—01294
Tyrick Mitchell906.6—0—183
Ismaïla Sarr907.910218—
Jean-Philippe Mateta456.5—0—9—
Yéremy Pino737.2—01261
Jefferson Lerma607.3—01172
Chadi Riad496.2—0—17—
Jørgen Strand Larsen456.7—01152
Will Hughes176.7—0—4—
Remi Matthews———————
Walter Benitez———————
Nathaniel Clyne———————
Justin Devenny———————
Kaden Rodney———————
Borna Sosa———————
Brennan Johnson———————
Rio Cardines———————
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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