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Olympiakos Piraeus vs AEK Athens FC match centre

Olympiakos Piraeus badgeOlympiakos PiraeusHome · 2 in league
DWDWD
Momentum→ Steady60/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
0:1
UK time · Europe/London
AEK Athens FC badgeAEK Athens FCAway · 1 in league
WWDLW
Momentum↘ Falling64/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
A. Koita5′
Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium · PiraeusSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Market chance —See match research Draw—Market chance —See match research Away win—Market chance —See match research No stored odds · open the match for form and team context Chances are estimates for 90 minutes. Stored prices can change; likelihood alone does not establish value.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate0.1%Olympiakos Piraeus
Draw4.2%at full time
Current result estimate95.7%AEK Athens FC
Another goal8.1%before full time

Next goal: Olympiakos Piraeus 4.4% · no further goal 91.9% · AEK Athens FC 3.8%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
Olympiakos PiraeusAEK Athens FC
5Corner Kicks3
12Fouls16
1Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
—Goalkeeper Saves—
486Total passes303
362Passes accurate189

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

Super League

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1AEK Athens FC27+3363—
2Olympiakos Piraeus27+3358—
3PAOK26+3557—
4Panathinaikos26+1849—
5Levadiakos26+1442—
6OFI26-1132—
7Volos NFC26-1231—
8Aris Thessalonikis26-730—
9Atromitos26-429—
10Kifisia26-1027—
11Panetolikos26-1426—
12Larisa26-1723—
13Asteras Tripolis26-1917↑ 1
14Panserraikos26-3917↓ 1
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Olympiakos Piraeus 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

AEK Athens FC 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

AWAY PERSPECTIVE

AEK Athens FC

5/10Wins
2.1Goals / game
0.7Conceded / game

Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 6 available matches.

Inspect AEK Athens FC’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Olympiakos Piraeus at home with AEK Athens FC away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 10:34 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Super League 1 · 2025/26 · all league matches

Olympiakos PiraeusAEK Athens FC
26Matches played26
58Points earned60
17Wins18
1.7Goals scored / match1.9
0.5Goals conceded / match0.7
17Clean sheets15
5Failed to score3

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Olympiakos Piraeus at home with AEK Athens FC away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Olympiakos Piraeus

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Luis Mendilibar Jose
  1. 88K. TzolakisG
  2. 23RodineiD
  3. 45P. RetsosD
  4. 5L. PirolaD
  5. 70B. OnyemaechiD
  6. 32S. HezzeM
  7. 14D. GarciaM
  8. 10G. MartinsM
  9. 99M. TaremiM
  10. 56D. PodenceM
  11. 9A. El KaabiF
Substitutes (12)

1 · A. Paschalakis

21 · R. Vezo

97 · Y. Yazici

4 · G. Biancone

20 · Costinha

19 · Clayton

16 · L. Scipioni

96 · C. Mouzakitis

22 · Chiquinho

8 · D. Nascimento

6 · A. Kalogeropoulos

67 · A. Liatsikouras

AEK Athens FC

Confirmed formation4-2-2-2Marko Nikolic
  1. 1T. StrakoshaG
  2. 12L. RotaD
  3. 2H. MoukoudiD
  4. 44F. RelvasD
  5. 29J. PenriceD
  6. 13O. PinedaM
  7. 18R. MarinM
  8. 11A. KoitaM
  9. 37R. PereyraM
  10. 25B. VargaF
  11. 9L. JovicF
Substitutes (12)

91 · A. Brignoli

81 · A. Angelopoulos

20 · P. Mantalos

19 · N. Eliasson

8 · M. Gacinovic

7 · D. Kutesa

10 · Joao Mario

21 · D. Vida

4 · M. Grujic

23 · R. Ljubicic

90 · Zini

15 · M. Georgiev

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Olympiakos Piraeus

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Konstantinos Tzolakis906.7—0—46—
Rodinei907.9—0—533
Panagiotis Retsos906.3—0—55—
Lorenzo Pirola907.2—0—592
Bruno Onyemaechi906.6—0—521
Santiago Hezze836.9—0—502
Dani García586.6—0—403
Gelson Martins716.6—0—16—
Mehdi Taremi716.3—0—161
Daniel Podence586.3—02231
Ayoub El Kaabi905.9—0113—
Christos Mouzakitis326.3—0—261
Chiquinho326.6—0—121
Clayton196.5—0—5—
Yusuf Yazıcı196.3—0—151
Diogo Nascimento186.3—0—6—
Alexandros Paschalakis———————
Alexios Kalogeropoulos———————
Argyrios Liatsikouras———————
Costinha———————
Rúben Vezo———————
Lorenzo Scipioni———————
Giulian Biancone———————

AEK Athens FC

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Thomas Strakosha906.6—0—31—
Lazaros Rota907.0—0—316
Harold Moukoudi906.3—0—19—
Filipe Relvas907.7—0—251
James Penrice906.9—01262
Orbelín Pineda906.6—0—401
Răzvan Marin906.6—0—282
Aboubakary Koita817.7101122
Roberto Pereyra656.5—0—81
Barnabás Varga817.2—0—32—
Luka Jović646.3—0—10—
Mijat Gaćinović266.6—0—14—
Petros Mantalos256.7—0114—
João Mário96.6—0—9—
Zini96.3—0171
Dereck Kutesa———————
Robert Ljubičić———————
Domagoj Vida———————
Niclas Eliasson———————
Martin Georgiev———————
Angelos Angelopoulos———————
Alberto Brignoli———————
Marko Grujić———————
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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