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Cruz Azul vs Atlas match centre

Cruz Azul badgeCruz AzulHome · 3 in league
DDDDW
Momentum↗ Rising50/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
1:0
UK time · Europe/London
Atlas badgeAtlasAway · 6 in league
DLLDW
Momentum↗ Rising38/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
J. Paradela32′
Estadio Azteca · Mexico CitySeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate95.4%Cruz Azul
Draw4.5%at full time
Current result estimate0.1%Atlas
Another goal8.2%before full time

Next goal: Cruz Azul 3.5% · no further goal 91.8% · Atlas 4.7%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
Cruz AzulAtlas
5Corner Kicks6
12Fouls14
0Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
5Goalkeeper Saves3
266Total passes428
197Passes accurate360

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

Liga MX, Clausura 2026

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1U.N.A.M. - Pumas17+1736—
2Guadalajara Chivas17+1636—
3Cruz Azul18+1436—
4CF Pachuca17+631—
5Toluca17+1230—
6Atlas18-326—
7Tigres UANL17+1025—
8Club America17+325—
9Club Tijuana17+223—
10Leon17-1022—
11Club Queretaro17-420—
12FC Juarez17-619—
13Monterrey17-218—
14Atletico San Luis17-318—
15Necaxa17-618—
16Mazatlán17-1515—
17Puebla17-1313—
18Santos Laguna17-1812—
Clausura - Quarter-finalsCruz Azul 1–0 Atlas
Current progressionCruz Azul
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Cruz Azul 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Atlas 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Cruz Azul

1/10Wins
1.3Goals / game
1.4Conceded / game

Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 6 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Cruz Azul’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Atlas

3/10Wins
0.7Goals / game
0.9Conceded / game

Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 8 available matches.

Inspect Atlas’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Cruz Azul at home with Atlas away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 02:57 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Liga MX · 2025/26 · all league matches

Cruz AzulAtlas
38Matches played34
74Points earned43
20Wins11
1.8Goals scored / match1.2
1.2Goals conceded / match1.6
10Clean sheets10
3Failed to score11

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Cruz Azul at home with Atlas away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

5 recorded meetings

Cruz Azul

2wins
3 draws

Atlas

0wins

Nov 2024 – May 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.

Scores shown with Cruz Azul first; venues vary.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Cruz Azul

Confirmed formation5-4-1Joel Huiqui
  1. 23K. MierG
  2. 22J. Rodarte
  3. 4W. DittaD
  4. 17A. GarciaD
  5. 33G. PioviD
  6. 3O. CamposD
  7. 20J. ParadelaM
  8. 8A. PalavecinoM
  9. 19C. RodriguezM
  10. 29C. RotondiM
  11. 11C. EbereF
Substitutes (10)

1 · A. Gudino

209 · J. Diaz

194 · A. Morales

214 · M. Levy

16 · J. Marquez

21 · G. Fernandez

18 · L. Romero

10 · A. Montano

170 · A. Castro

197 · I. Silva

Atlas

Confirmed formation4-1-4-1Diego Cocca
  1. 12C. VargasG
  2. 3Gustavo FerrareisD
  3. 28M. CapassoD
  4. 21R. SchlegelD
  5. 25J. RodriguezD
  6. 26A. RochaM
  7. 27V. H. Rios De AlbaM
  8. 58A. GonzalezM
  9. 15P. RamirezM
  10. 199S. HernandezM
  11. 19E. AguirreF
Substitutes (10)

22 · A. Sanchez

8 · M. E. Garcia

10 · G. del Prete

4 · A. Mora

9 · A. Rodriguez

11 · D. Gonzalez

251 · L. Gamboa

44 · R. Pier

13 · G. Aguirre

6 · E. Zaldivar

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Cruz Azul

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Kevin Mier907.2—0—24—
Jorge Rodarte Barragan906.3—0—19—
Willer Ditta907.3—0—33—
Amaury Garcia907.0—0—162
Gonzalo Piovi906.9—0132—
Omar Campos907.7—01171
José Paradela717.610212—
Agustín Palavecino717.3—0—314
Carlos Rodríguez847.0—0—34—
Carlos Rotondi766.2—0217—
Osinachi Ebere766.3—0—141
Jeremy Márquez196.6—0—10—
Luka Romero196.9—019—
Andres Montaño146.7—0—3—
Gabriel Fernández146.9—0—8—
Amaury Morales116.6—0—2—
Andrés Gudiño———————
Josué Díaz———————
Ivan Silva———————
Ariel Castro Sevilla———————
Mateo Levy———————

Atlas

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Camilo Vargas906.7—0—27—
Gustavo Ferrareis676.5—01501
Manuel Capasso906.3—01461
Rodrigo Schlegel907.0—0—602
Jorge Rodríguez906.6—02421
Aldo Rocha797.0—01552
Victor Rios906.9—02482
Arturo González906.2—0—422
Paulo Ramírez596.2—0212—
Sergio Hernandez796.6—01132
Eduardo Aguirre676.3—0110—
Mateo García316.9—0—14—
Agustín Rodríguez236.3—014—
Diego González236.9—017—
Edgar Zaldívar116.7—0—5—
Luis Gamboa116.7—0—2—
Antonio Sánchez———————
Róber Pier———————
Adrián Mora———————
Gaddi Aguirre———————
Gustavo del Prete———————
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerCruz AzulDrawAtlas
Bet3651.534.335.75

Snapshot from 9 May 2026, 20:04 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

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