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Liga MXClausura - 13THE MATCH CENTRE

Cruz Azul vs Pachuca match centre

Cruz Azul badgeCruz AzulHome · 3 in league
WWDDD
Momentum↘ Falling54/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
1:2
UK time · Europe/London
Pachuca badgePachucaAway · 4 in league
LWWDD
Momentum↘ Falling53/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
C. Ebere45+2′
Kenedy5′
Kenedy58′
Estadio Cuauhtemoc · PueblaSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate0.2%Cruz Azul
Draw6.4%at full time
Current result estimate93.3%Pachuca
Another goal7.9%before full time

Next goal: Cruz Azul 6.7% · no further goal 92.1% · Pachuca 1.2%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
Cruz AzulPachuca
7Corner Kicks4
6Fouls12
1Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards2
2Goalkeeper Saves3
422Total passes247
354Passes accurate188

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

Liga MX, Clausura 2026

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1U.N.A.M. - Pumas17+1736—
2Guadalajara Chivas17+1636—
3CF Pachuca18+734↑ 1
4Cruz Azul18+1233↓ 1
5Toluca17+1230—
6Atlas17-226—
7Tigres UANL17+1025—
8Club America17+325—
9Club Tijuana17+223—
10Leon17-1022—
11Club Queretaro17-420—
12FC Juarez17-619—
13Monterrey17-218—
14Atletico San Luis17-318—
15Necaxa17-618—
16Mazatlán17-1515—
17Puebla17-1313—
18Santos Laguna17-1812—
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Cruz Azul 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Pachuca 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Cruz Azul

7/10Wins
2.3Goals / game
0.9Conceded / game

Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At home, 6 wins from 7 available matches.

Inspect Cruz Azul’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Pachuca

5/10Wins
1.3Goals / game
0.7Conceded / game

Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 4 available matches.

Inspect Pachuca’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Cruz Azul at home with Pachuca away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 02:44 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Liga MX · 2025/26 · all league matches

Cruz AzulPachuca
33Matches played31
68Points earned47
19Wins13
1.8Goals scored / match1.3
1.1Goals conceded / match1.1
10Clean sheets7
3Failed to score10

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Cruz Azul at home with Pachuca away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Cruz Azul

Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Nicolas Larcamon
  1. 1A. GudinoG
  2. 4W. DittaD
  3. 17A. GarciaD
  4. 33G. PioviD
  5. 22J. Rodarte
  6. 19C. RodriguezM
  7. 16J. MarquezM
  8. 11C. EbereM
  9. 20J. ParadelaF
  10. 18L. RomeroF
  11. 7N. IbanezF
Substitutes (10)

23 · K. Mier

209 · J. Diaz

194 · A. Morales

21 · G. Fernandez

6 · E. Lira

32 · C. Jimenez

3 · O. Campos

10 · A. Montano

170 · A. Castro

193 · K. Velazquez

Pachuca

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Jaime Lozano
  1. 25C. MorenoG
  2. 14C. SanchezD
  3. 4Eduardo BauermannD
  4. 2S. D. BarretoD
  5. 12B. A. Garcia CaprizoD
  6. 16C. RiveraM
  7. 8V. GuzmanM
  8. 29KenedyM
  9. 28E. MontielM
  10. 11O. IdrissiM
  11. 23S. RondonF
Substitutes (10)

31 · J. Eulogio

7 · L. Quinones

21 · R. Lopez

187 · G. Alvarez

18 · A. Dominguez

13 · J. Berlanga

10 · E. Valencia

5 · P. Pedraza

26 · A. Bautista

188 · S. Rodriguez

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Cruz Azul

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Andrés Gudiño905.2—0—25—
Willer Ditta907.0—01721
Amaury Garcia Moreno906.2—01331
Gonzalo Piovi906.2—0—535
Jorge Rodarte Barragan326.2—0117—
Carlos Rodríguez806.7—0155—
Jeremy Márquez807.3—03463
Christian Ebere807.9101294
José Paradela906.6—0337—
Luka Romero617.7—01191
Nicolás Ibáñez906.2—03171
Omar Campos586.7—01241
Gabriel Fernández296.3—0211
Amaury Morales106.7—0—4—
Andres Montaño106.3—0—3—
Erik Lira106.9—0—142
Ariel Castro Sevilla———————
Cristian Jiménez———————
Karol Velázquez———————
Kevin Mier———————
Josué Díaz———————

Pachuca

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Carlos Moreno906.9—0—34—
Carlos Sánchez906.5—0—324
Eduardo Bauermann906.7—01101
Sergio Barreto907.0—0—15—
Brian García906.6—0—361
Víctor Guzmán877.2—03194
Christian Rivera846.7—0—294
Kenedy698.6203101
Elías Montiel696.5—0—141
Oussama Idrissi766.9—1125—
Salomón Rondón695.9—019—
Sergio Rodríguez216.6—0—152
Enner Valencia216.6—0—7—
Alexei Domínguez216.3—0181
Luis Quiñones146.3—0—63
Pedro Pedraza136.2—0———
René López———————
Alan Bautista———————
Jose Eulogio———————
Jorge Berlanga———————
Gael Álvarez———————
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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