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Crystal Palace vs Rayo Vallecano match centre

Crystal Palace badgeCrystal PalaceHome · 10 in league
DDWDD
Momentum↗ Rising50/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
1:0
UK time · Europe/London
Rayo Vallecano badgeRayo VallecanoAway · 5 in league
DLLWW
Momentum↗ Rising53/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
J. Mateta51′
Red Bull Arena · LeipzigSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate96.2%Crystal Palace
Draw3.7%at full time
Current result estimate0.1%Rayo Vallecano
Another goal8.1%before full time

Next goal: Crystal Palace 4.2% · no further goal 91.9% · Rayo Vallecano 3.8%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
Crystal PalaceRayo Vallecano
3Corner Kicks1
15Fouls14
3Yellow Cards5
—Red Cards—
1Goalkeeper Saves2
298Total passes405
229Passes accurate326

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

UEFA Conference League

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1Strasbourg6+616—
2Raków Częstochowa6+714—
3AEK Athens FC6+713—
4Sparta Praha6+713—
5Crystal Palace7+613↑ 5
6Rayo Vallecano7+513↓ 1
7Shakhtar Donetsk6+513↓ 1
8FSV Mainz 056+413↓ 1
9AEK Larnaca6+612↓ 1
10Lausanne6+311↓ 1
11Lech Poznan6+410—
12Samsunspor6+410—
13Celje6+110—
14AZ Alkmaar6010—
15Fiorentina6+39—
16HNK Rijeka6+39—
17Jagiellonia6+19—
18Omonia Nicosia6+18—
19FC Noah6-18—
20Drita6-48—
21KuPS6+17—
22Shkendija6-17—
23Zrinjski6-27—
24Sigma Olomouc6-27—
25Universitatea Craiova6-27—
26Lincoln Red Imps FC6-87—
27Dynamo Kyiv606—
28Legia Warszawa606—
29Slovan Bratislava6-46—
30Breidablik6-55—
31Shamrock Rovers6-64—
32BK Hacken6-33—
33Hamrun Spartans6-73—
34Shelbourne6-72—
35Aberdeen6-112—
36Rapid Vienna6-111—
FinalCrystal Palace 1–0 Rayo Vallecano
Current progressionCrystal Palace
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Crystal Palace 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Rayo Vallecano 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Crystal Palace

3/10Wins
1.4Goals / game
1.7Conceded / game

Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At home, 5 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Crystal Palace’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Rayo Vallecano

6/10Wins
1.5Goals / game
0.9Conceded / game

Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At away venues, 4 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Rayo Vallecano’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Crystal Palace at home with Rayo Vallecano away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 02:55 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

UEFA Europa Conference League · 2025/26 · all league matches

Crystal PalaceRayo Vallecano
16Matches played14
31Points earned31
9Wins10
1.6Goals scored / match2.0
0.8Goals conceded / match0.9
7Clean sheets7
3Failed to score1

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Crystal Palace at home with Rayo Vallecano away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Crystal Palace

Confirmed formation3-4-3Oliver Glasner
  1. 1D. HendersonG
  2. 23J. CanvotD
  3. 5M. LacroixD
  4. 34C. RiadD
  5. 2D. MunozM
  6. 20A. WhartonM
  7. 18D. KamadaM
  8. 3T. MitchellM
  9. 7I. SarrF
  10. 14J. MatetaF
  11. 10Y. PinoF
Substitutes (12)

44 · W. Benitez

31 · R. Matthews

17 · N. Clyne

19 · W. Hughes

24 · B. Sosa

22 · J. S. Larsen

11 · B. Johnson

8 · J. Lerma

29 · E. Guessand

26 · C. Richards

55 · J. Devenny

59 · R. Cardines

Rayo Vallecano

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Inigo Perez
  1. 13A. BatallaG
  2. 2A. RatiuD
  3. 24F. LejeuneD
  4. 6P. CissD
  5. 3P. ChavarriaD
  6. 23O. ValentinM
  7. 17U. LopezM
  8. 19J. de FrutosM
  9. 7I. PalazonM
  10. 18A. GarciaM
  11. 9AlemaoF
Substitutes (10)

1 · D. Cardenas

30 · A. Molina

8 · O. Trejo

15 · G. Gumbau

22 · Pacha

4 · P. Diaz

12 · I. Akhomach

32 · N. Mendy

20 · I. Balliu

10 · S. Camello

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Crystal Palace

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Dean Henderson906.9—0—25—
Jaydee Canvot907.0—0—361
Maxence Lacroix906.9—0—282
Chadi Riad907.3—01353
Daniel Muñoz906.7—0—29—
Adam Wharton907.7—01381
Daichi Kamada907.2—0—391
Tyrick Mitchell906.9—01202
Ismaïla Sarr906.6—01121
Jean Philippe Mateta766.210312—
Yéremy Pino807.2—01221
Jørgen Strand Larsen146.3—0—7—
Evann Guessand106.6—0—31
Remi Matthews———————
Walter Benítez———————
Nathaniel Clyne———————
Chris Richards———————
Rio Cardines———————
Jefferson Lerma———————
Will Hughes———————
Borna Sosa———————
Justin Devenny———————
Brennan Johnson———————

Rayo Vallecano

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Augusto Batalla906.9—0—33—
Andrei Rațiu906.9—0—392
Florian Lejeune907.2—02764
Pathé Ismaël Ciss907.2—0—541
Josep Chavarría906.9—0—373
Óscar Valentín636.3—0—22—
Unai López626.3—0127—
Jorge de Frutos705.9—0111—
Isi Palazón776.7—0128—
Álvaro García706.5—0—13—
Alemão906.3—039—
Pedro Díaz287.0—0116—
Nobel Mendy277.0—0—27—
Pacha206.7—0—7—
Sergio Camello206.7—0171
Ilias Akhomach136.7—0—61
Dani Cárdenas———————
Adrián Molina———————
Iván Balliu———————
Óscar Trejo———————
Gerard Gumbau———————
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerCrystal PalaceDrawRayo Vallecano
Bet3651.903.404.10

Snapshot from 26 May 2026, 20:01 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

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