AEK Athens FC
5/10Wins
1.7Goals / game
0.9Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 5 wins from 7 available matches.
Inspect AEK Athens FC’s results
UEFA Europa Conference LeagueQuarter-finalsTHE MATCH CENTREAEK Athens FC vs Rayo Vallecano match centre
90′ · Live
3:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
Zini13′
R. Marin36′ (pen)
Zini51′
I. Palazon60′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate99.9%AEK Athens FC
Draw0.1%at full time
Current result estimate0.0%Rayo Vallecano
Another goal8.1%before full time
Next goal: AEK Athens FC 4.5% · no further goal 91.9% · Rayo Vallecano 3.5%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.AEK Athens FCRayo Vallecano
2.780Expected goals · API-Football1.800
10Shots on target4
21Total Shots9
63%Ball Possession37%
8Corner Kicks1
15Fouls14
1Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
3Goalkeeper Saves5
354Total passes225
285Passes accurate147
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
UEFA Conference LeagueProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AEK Athens FC | 7 | +9 | 16 | ↑ 2 |
| 2 |  Strasbourg | 6 | +6 | 16 | ↓ 1 |
| 3 |  Raków Częstochowa | 6 | +7 | 14 | ↓ 1 |
| 4 |  Sparta Praha | 6 | +7 | 13 | — |
| 5 |  Shakhtar Donetsk | 6 | +5 | 13 | ↑ 1 |
| 6 |  Rayo Vallecano | 7 | +4 | 13 | ↓ 1 |
| 7 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 6 | +4 | 13 | — |
| 8 |  AEK Larnaca | 6 | +6 | 12 | — |
| 9 |  Lausanne | 6 | +3 | 11 | — |
| 10 |  Crystal Palace | 6 | +5 | 10 | — |
| 11 |  Lech Poznan | 6 | +4 | 10 | — |
| 12 |  Samsunspor | 6 | +4 | 10 | — |
| 13 |  Celje | 6 | +1 | 10 | — |
| 14 |  AZ Alkmaar | 6 | 0 | 10 | — |
| 15 |  Fiorentina | 6 | +3 | 9 | — |
| 16 |  HNK Rijeka | 6 | +3 | 9 | — |
| 17 |  Jagiellonia | 6 | +1 | 9 | — |
| 18 |  Omonia Nicosia | 6 | +1 | 8 | — |
| 19 |  FC Noah | 6 | -1 | 8 | — |
| 20 |  Drita | 6 | -4 | 8 | — |
| 21 |  KuPS | 6 | +1 | 7 | — |
| 22 |  Shkendija | 6 | -1 | 7 | — |
| 23 |  Zrinjski | 6 | -2 | 7 | — |
| 24 |  Sigma Olomouc | 6 | -2 | 7 | — |
| 25 |  Universitatea Craiova | 6 | -2 | 7 | — |
| 26 |  Lincoln Red Imps FC | 6 | -8 | 7 | — |
| 27 |  Dynamo Kyiv | 6 | 0 | 6 | — |
| 28 |  Legia Warszawa | 6 | 0 | 6 | — |
| 29 |  Slovan Bratislava | 6 | -4 | 6 | — |
| 30 |  Breidablik | 6 | -5 | 5 | — |
| 31 |  Shamrock Rovers | 6 | -6 | 4 | — |
| 32 |  BK Hacken | 6 | -3 | 3 | — |
| 33 |  Hamrun Spartans | 6 | -7 | 3 | — |
| 34 |  Shelbourne | 6 | -7 | 2 | — |
| 35 |  Aberdeen | 6 | -11 | 2 | — |
| 36 |  Rapid Vienna | 6 | -11 | 1 | — |
Quarter-finalsAEK Athens FC 3–1 Rayo Vallecano
→Current progressionAEK Athens FC
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
AEK Athens FC 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Rayo Vallecano 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Rayo Vallecano
3/10Wins
1.1Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 8 available matches.
Inspect Rayo Vallecano’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
AEK Athens FC
10 matchesResults5 wins · 3 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.7
Goals conceded per game0.9
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored2 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Rayo VallecanoAway · UEFA Europa Conference League0–3Olympiakos PiraeusAway · Super League 11–0KifisiaHome · Super League 13–0CeljeHome · UEFA Europa Conference League0–2AtromitosAway · Super League 12–2CeljeAway · UEFA Europa Conference League4–0LarisaHome · Super League 11–0Volos NFCAway · Super League 12–2LevadiakosHome · Super League 14–0PAOKAway · Super League 10–0
Rayo Vallecano
10 matchesResults3 wins · 4 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.1
Goals conceded per game1.0
Games with 3+ goals3 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
MallorcaAway · La Liga0–3AEK Athens FCHome · UEFA Europa Conference League3–0ElcheHome · La Liga1–0BarcelonaAway · La Liga0–1SamsunsporHome · UEFA Europa Conference League0–1LevanteHome · La Liga1–1SamsunsporAway · UEFA Europa Conference League3–1SevillaAway · La Liga1–1Athletic ClubHome · La Liga1–1Real BetisAway · La Liga1–1
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare AEK Athens FC at home with Rayo Vallecano away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 03:57 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
UEFA Europa Conference League · 2025/26 · all league matches
AEK Athens FCRayo Vallecano
15Matches played11
28Points earned25
8Wins8
1.8Goals scored / match2.2
1.1Goals conceded / match0.8
6Clean sheets5
3Failed to score1
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares AEK Athens FC at home with Rayo Vallecano away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
AEK Athens FC
Confirmed formation4-4-2Marko Nikolic
- 1
T. StrakoshaG - 12
L. RotaD - 2
H. MoukoudiD - 44
F. RelvasD - 3
S. PiliosD - 11
A. KoitaM - 18
R. MarinM - 13
O. PinedaM - 7
D. KutesaM - 90
ZiniF - 25
B. VargaF
Substitutes (9)
91 · A. Brignoli
81 · A. Angelopoulos
37 · R. Pereyra
19 · N. Eliasson
8 · M. Gacinovic
29 · J. Penrice
21 · D. Vida
15 · M. Georgiev
17 · D. Kaloskamis
Rayo Vallecano
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Inigo Perez
- 13
A. BatallaG - 2
A. RatiuD - 24
F. LejeuneD - 5
Luiz FelipeD - 3
P. ChavarriaD - 17
U. LopezM - 6
P. CissM - 12
I. AkhomachM - 7
I. PalazonM - 18
A. GarciaM - 19
J. de FrutosF
Substitutes (11)
1 · D. Cardenas
30 · A. Molina
8 · O. Trejo
15 · G. Gumbau
22 · Pacha
4 · P. Diaz
9 · Alemao
23 · O. Valentin
32 · N. Mendy
20 · I. Balliu
10 · S. Camello
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
AEK Athens FC
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Strakosha | 97 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 18 | — |
| Lazaros Rota | 97 | 8.9 | — | — | — | 49 | 1 |
| Harold Moukoudi | 97 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 48 | 2 |
| Filipe Relvas | 97 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 1 |
| Stavro Pilo | 85 | 6.9 | — | 1 | — | 28 | 4 |
| Aboubakary Koita | 97 | 7.0 | — | — | 2 | 18 | — |
| Razvan Marin | 97 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 4 | 57 | 2 |
| Orbelín Pineda | 97 | 7.5 | — | — | — | 42 | 1 |
| Dereck Kutesa | 71 | 7.2 | — | 1 | 1 | 14 | — |
| Zini | 77 | 7.6 | 2 | — | 5 | 14 | — |
| Barnabás Varga | 97 | 7.2 | — | — | 3 | 20 | — |
| Niclas Eliasson | 26 | 6.6 | — | — | — | 4 | — |
| Mijat Gacinovic | 20 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 10 | 1 |
| Roberto Pereyra | 12 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 8 | — |
| Angelos Angelopoulos | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alberto Brignoli | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Martin Georgiev | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Domagoj Vida | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| James Penrice | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dimitrios Kaloskamis | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rayo Vallecano
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Augusto Batalla | 97 | 7.5 | — | — | — | 30 | — |
| Andrei Rațiu | 97 | 5.2 | — | — | 1 | 16 | — |
| Florian Lejeune | 97 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | 21 | 2 |
| Luiz Felipe | 55 | 6.2 | — | — | — | 8 | 2 |
| Josep Chavarría | 97 | 6.2 | — | — | — | 22 | 4 |
| Unai López | 55 | 5.9 | — | — | — | 17 | 1 |
| Pathé Ismaël Ciss | 97 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 26 | 1 |
| Ilias Akhomach | 45 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | 7 | — |
| Isi Palazón | 80 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 2 | 20 | 3 |
| Alvaro Garcia | 27 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| Jorge de Frutos | 97 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 15 | — |
| Pacha | 70 | 5.6 | — | — | — | 14 | 2 |
| Alemão | 52 | 6.7 | — | — | — | 7 | — |
| Óscar Valentín | 42 | 7.7 | — | — | — | 12 | 3 |
| Pedro Díaz | 42 | 6.7 | — | 1 | — | 12 | 2 |
| Nobel Mendy | 17 | 6.6 | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Dani Cárdenas | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Adrián Molina | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ivan Balliu | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Óscar Trejo | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gerard Gumbau | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sergio Camello | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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