Istra 1961
4/10Wins
2.6Goals / game
1.6Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 6 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Istra 1961’s results
HNLMatchweek 8THE MATCH CENTREIstra 1961 vs HNK Gorica match centre
Full time
0:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
J. Pranjic90+6′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Out of date · Calculated 19 Sep 15:42 UK.
Odds updated 19 Sep 18:15 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 9 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
Istra 1961HNK Gorica
1.210Expected goals · API-Football0.510
11Shots on target4
18Total Shots10
51%Ball Possession49%
3Corner Kicks3
6Fouls10
3Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
3Goalkeeper Saves10
443Total passes429
366Passes accurate349
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Istra 1961 0 reported
No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.
HNK Gorica 0 reported
No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.
Fetched 18 Sep, 21:58 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
HNK Gorica
0/10Wins
0.6Goals / game
1.7Conceded / game
Keep in view: 7 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect HNK Gorica’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Istra 1961
10 matchesResults4 wins · 4 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game2.6
Goals conceded per game1.6
Games with 3+ goals9 of 10
Both teams scored7 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
HNK Gorica
10 matchesResults0 wins · 3 draws · 7 losses
Goals scored per game0.6
Goals conceded per game1.7
Games with 3+ goals4 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Istra 1961 at home with HNK Gorica away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 03:49 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
HNL · 2026/27 · all league matches
Istra 1961HNK Gorica
7Matches played7
9Points earned2
2Wins0
2.0Goals scored / match0.6
1.7Goals conceded / match1.7
2Clean sheets1
1Failed to score4
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Istra 1961 at home with HNK Gorica away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
4 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Istra 1961
1wins4MEETINGS
HNK Gorica
3winsAug 2025 – Apr 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Istra 1961
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Javi Cabello
- 1
Franko KolićG - 44
Rene HrvatinD - 4
Raul KumarD - 16
Samuli MiettinenD - 13
Niko ŠepićD - 88
Daouda DoumbiaM - 8
Antonio MaurićM - 22
Emil FrederiksenM - 20
Dukan AhmetiM - 30
Nik Škafar ŽužićM - 9
IsaacF
Substitutes (11)
40 · Jan Paus-Kunšt
3 · Mohamed Nasraoui
66 · Mutari Momoh
97 · Advan Kadušić
25 · Demirel Hodžić
23 · Stipe Ukich
25 · Gustavo Albarracín
34 · Matija Kablar
11 · Silvio Goričan
27 · Dominik Celija
39 · Toni Brajković
HNK Gorica
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Mario Carevic
- 1
Renato JosipovićG - 2
Filip BrautD - 32
Jakov FilipovićD - 15
Dušan StevanovićD - 5
Gonçalo CostaD - 66
Juraj FriganM - 6
Tom LacouxM - 25
Bruno BogojevićM - 9
Patrik MijićF - 20
Luka VrzićM - 10
Fran BrodićM
Substitutes (12)
30 · Darijan Žarkov
71 · Davor Matijaš
34 · Ivan Cvijanović
45 · Stefan Perić
4 · Kevin Čustović
7 · Ognjen Bakić
8 · Jakov Pranjić
24 · Domagoj Pavičić
26 · Keenan Carole
67 · Tomislav Prgomet
18 · Bartol Kardum
50 · Ante Erceg
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Istra 1961
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Franko Kolić | 104 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 32 | — |
| Rene Hrvatin | 84 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 3 |
| Raul Kumar | 104 | 7.2 | — | — | 3 | 64 | 2 |
| Samuli Miettinen | 95 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 50 | 2 |
| Niko Šepić | 104 | 7.6 | — | — | 3 | 55 | 3 |
| Daouda Doumbia | 72 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 1 |
| Antonio Maurić | 84 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 1 |
| Emil Frederiksen | 104 | 7.3 | — | — | 2 | 32 | — |
| Dukan Ahmeti | 104 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 33 | — |
| Nik Škafar Žužić | 72 | 7.6 | — | — | — | 19 | 1 |
| Isaac | 104 | 7.3 | — | — | 2 | 23 | 1 |
| Stipe Ukich | 32 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 8 | — |
| Gustavo Albarracín | 32 | 6.6 | — | — | — | 10 | 1 |
| Advan Kadušić | 20 | 6.6 | — | — | — | 10 | 1 |
| Matija Kablar | 20 | 6.5 | — | — | — | 11 | — |
| Mohamed Nasraoui | 9 | 6.2 | — | — | — | 4 | — |
| Jan Paus-Kunšt | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mutari Momoh | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Demirel Hodžić | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Silvio Goričan | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dominik Celija | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Toni Brajković | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
HNK Gorica
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Renato Josipović | 104 | 9.2 | — | — | — | 39 | — |
| Filip Braut | 104 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 60 | 3 |
| Jakov Filipović | 92 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 62 | 1 |
| Dušan Stevanović | 104 | 7.6 | — | — | — | 62 | 3 |
| Gonçalo Costa | 74 | 6.7 | — | — | — | 30 | 1 |
| Juraj Frigan | 92 | 6.6 | — | — | — | 40 | 2 |
| Tom Lacoux | 104 | 7.2 | — | — | — | 43 | 2 |
| Luka Vrzić | 104 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | 26 | — |
| Patrik Mijić | 104 | 5.9 | — | — | 2 | 11 | — |
| Bruno Bogojević | 74 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 1 |
| Fran Brodić | 81 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 1 |
| Ivan Cvijanović | 30 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 7 | — |
| Jakov Pranjić | 30 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 1 | 6 | 1 |
| Domagoj Pavičić | 23 | 6.9 | — | 1 | — | 6 | — |
| Stefan Perić | 12 | 6.7 | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Ognjen Bakić | 12 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 5 | — |
| Darijan Žarkov | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Davor Matijaš | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kevin Čustović | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Keenan Carole | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tomislav Prgomet | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bartol Kardum | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ante Erceg | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗HNL table
Current standings · HNL. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Dinamo Zagreb | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 16 | WLWDW |
| 2 |  HNK Hajduk Split | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 16 | LWWWW |
| 3 |  NK Osijek | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 16 | DWLWL |
| 4 |  NK Varazdin | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 15 | DDDWL |
| 5 |  HNK Rijeka | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 14 | WDWDW |
| 6 | Istra 1961 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 9 | LWDDL |
| 7 |  NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 7 | LDLLL |
| 8 |  NK Slaven Belupo | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 7 | DLWLW |
| 9 | HNK Gorica | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 5 | WDLDL |
| 10 |  Rudes | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 24 | -14 | 4 | DLLLW |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Istra 1961 | Draw | HNK Gorica |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.85 | 3.30 | 3.90 |
| Bet365 | 1.75 | 3.50 | 3.90 |
| Marathonbet | 1.78 | 3.64 | 4.00 |
| Betfair | 1.80 | 3.60 | 3.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.80 | 3.60 | 3.80 |
Snapshot from 19 Sep 2026, 18:15 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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