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Heracles vs De Graafschap match centre

Heracles badgeHeraclesHome · 1 in league
LWWWW
Momentum↗ Rising86/100OlderLatest
Full time
5:0
UK time · Europe/London
De Graafschap badgeDe GraafschapAway · 18 in league
LDLLL
Momentum↓ Low6/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
Jean-Paul N'djoli2′
Chafik Abbas41′
Tristan Van Gilst72′
Jean-Paul N'djoli82′
Jean-Paul N'djoli90′ (pen)
Asito Stadium · AlmeloSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
HeraclesDe Graafschap
5Corner Kicks1
15Fouls13
2Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards0
3Goalkeeper Saves3
354Total passes483
270Passes accurate383

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Heracles 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

De Graafschap 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Heracles

6/10Wins
2.4Goals / game
1.9Conceded / game

Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Heracles’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

De Graafschap

2/10Wins
1.8Goals / game
3.5Conceded / game

Keep in view: 7 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect De Graafschap’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Heracles at home with De Graafschap away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 02:21 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Eerste Divisie · 2026/27 · all league matches

HeraclesDe Graafschap
8Matches played7
21Points earned4
7Wins1
3.3Goals scored / match1.1
1.3Goals conceded / match2.9
2Clean sheets0
1Failed to score1

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Heracles at home with De Graafschap away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Heracles

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Vincent Heilmann
  1. 1F. de KeijzerG
  2. 15D. VicenteD
  3. 4D. MiraniD
  4. 14M. WruschD
  5. 25MannyD
  6. 32S. SchepermanM
  7. 5D. van der KustM
  8. 7C. AbbasM
  9. 17T. van GilstM
  10. 18M. HauswirthM
  11. 27J. N'djoliF
Substitutes (12)

33 · L. Zeevalkink

16 · T. Jansink

23 · M. te Wierik

2 · M. Benita

35 · S. Bultman

10 · T. Bruns

6 · D. Tomic

26 · D. van Kaam

30 · D. van Oorschot

8 · M. Engels

80 · F. Fofana

9 · V. Poppler

De Graafschap

Confirmed formation4-3-3Thomas Duivenvoorden
  1. 1T. WieggersG
  2. 16N. MartensD
  3. 3R. BesselinkD
  4. 15T. KokD
  5. 21K. SymonsD
  6. 24J. MeerstadtM
  7. 8D. WarmerdamM
  8. 27N. AhmetiM
  9. 20G. FinocchiaroF
  10. 9J. KaniaF
  11. 11T. MeroF
Substitutes (12)

23 · R. Jonkers

22 · P. Reverson

34 · N. Hartgers

2 · J. Wieckhoff

32 · T. Grotenhuis

14 · G. Bolk

10 · F. de Jong

18 · D. Eijken

28 · J. Triep

7 · B. van Zijl

17 · N. Kaninda

40 · K. Kwint

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Heracles

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
S. Bultman57.000000
D. van Oorschot00.000000
D. van Kaam00.000000
M. te Wierik277.100060
L. Zeevalkink00.000000
D. Tomić146.800040
V. Poppler00.000000
M. Benita57.000010
T. Jansink00.000000
F. Fofana00.000000
T. Bruns277.3010111
F. de Keijzer907.2000460
David Vicente906.9000221
D. Mirani907.5000532
M. Wrusch636.6000271
Manny906.6000314
D. van der Kust856.6001383
S. Scheperman908.2020270
C. Abbas769.0117251
T. van Gilst858.1103200
M. Hauswirth636.2001220
J. N'djoli909.3305211
M. Engels00.000000

De Graafschap

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Gijs Bolk00.000000
Denzel Eijken00.000000
Tygo Grotenhuis00.000000
Nic Hartgers00.000000
R. Jonkers00.000000
N. Kaninda00.000000
Kyano Kwint276.200020
P. Reverson00.000000
J. Triep175.900071
J. Wieckhoff115.500060
F. de Jong275.800090
Bjorn van Zijl456.200050
T. Wieggers905.6000500
N. Martens795.3000330
R. Besselink905.9000552
T. Kok905.5000790
K. Symons635.4002370
D. Warmerdam906.5000640
G. Finocchiaro736.4002181
J. Meerstadt906.1000562
N. Ahmeti-Grainca455.6000222
T. Mero906.5001331
J. Kania636.100071
2026/27 STANDINGS

Eerste Divisie table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Eerste Divisie: Regular season. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Heracles870126101621
WLWWW
2Almere City FC85121871116
LWWLW
3MVV85121215-316
WLLDW
4VVV Venlo85032114715
LWWLW
5Roda843195415
WDWDD
6Emmen85031817115
WLLWL
7Waalwijk83411811713
LWWWD
8Vitesse84131311213
LWLWW
9NAC Breda84131717013
WWLLD
10Jong AZ94142217513
WDLWW
11FC Volendam84042016412
WLWLW
12Jong PSV U2193331416-212
LDLWD
13FC Eindhoven83141317-410
LWWDL
14Helmond Sport82241314-18
LLWWL
15Jong Ajax92251322-98
DLLWD
16Den Bosch82151217-57
LWLLL
17Dordrecht82151223-117
WLLLL
18De Graafschap8215920-117
WLWLL
19Jong Utrecht92161521-67
LWWDL
20FC OSS8206813-56
LWLLW
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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