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EredivisieMatchweek 32THE MATCH CENTRE

PEC Zwolle vs Heracles match centre

PEC Zwolle badgePEC ZwolleHome · 13 in league
DDDWL
Momentum→ Steady40/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
1:0
UK time · Europe/London
Heracles badgeHeraclesAway · 18 in league
LDLDL
Momentum↓ Low13/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
A. Garcia MacNulty19′
IJsseldelta Stadion · ZwolleSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate97.6%PEC Zwolle
Draw2.3%at full time
Current result estimate0.0%Heracles
Another goal7.3%before full time

Next goal: PEC Zwolle 4.8% · no further goal 92.7% · Heracles 2.4%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
PEC ZwolleHeracles
3Corner Kicks3
18Fouls18
2Yellow Cards4
0Red Cards1
3Goalkeeper Saves4
356Total passes412
269Passes accurate341

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

Eredivisie

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1PSV Eindhoven33+5281—
2Feyenoord33+2462—
3Twente33+2358—
4NEC Nijmegen33+2356—
5Ajax33+2155—
6AZ Alkmaar33+751—
7Utrecht33+1150—
8Heerenveen33+450—
9Groningen33+345—
10Sparta Rotterdam33-2143—
11PEC Zwolle34-2440↑ 2
12Fortuna Sittard33-1239↓ 1
13GO Ahead Eagles33+238↓ 1
14Excelsior33-1435—
15Telstar33-734—
16FC Volendam33-1932—
17NAC Breda33-2328—
18Heracles34-5019—
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

PEC Zwolle 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Heracles 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

PEC Zwolle

1/10Wins
1.1Goals / game
2.3Conceded / game

Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At home, 4 wins from 8 available matches.

Inspect PEC Zwolle’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Heracles

0/10Wins
0.4Goals / game
2.6Conceded / game

Keep in view: 8 losses in that sample. At away venues, 0 wins from 5 available matches.

Inspect Heracles’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare PEC Zwolle at home with Heracles away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 02:22 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Eredivisie · 2025/26 · all league matches

PEC ZwolleHeracles
31Matches played30
34Points earned19
8Wins5
1.3Goals scored / match1.2
2.1Goals conceded / match2.6
5Clean sheets2
5Failed to score13

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares PEC Zwolle at home with Heracles away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

PEC Zwolle

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Henry Van Der Vegt
  1. 16T. de GraaffG
  2. 3O. AertssenD
  3. 28S. GravesD
  4. 4A. Garcia MacNultyD
  5. 2S. FloranusD
  6. 30R. ThomasM
  7. 8Z. BuurmeesterM
  8. 18O. VelanasM
  9. 25T. OostingM
  10. 22K. de RooijM
  11. 10K. KostonsF
Substitutes (10)

41 · D. Verduin

48 · L. Bakker

35 · J. Monteiro

29 · T. Buitink

5 · T. Velthuis

42 · D. Ruward

34 · N. Fichtinger

6 · T. Gooijer

45 · R. Kroeze

20 · G. Reiziger

Heracles

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Ernest Faber
  1. 16T. JansinkG
  2. 2M. BenitaD
  3. 4D. MiraniD
  4. 18A. Van HoorenbeeckD
  5. 5D. van der KustD
  6. 13J. ZamburekM
  7. 32S. SchepermanM
  8. 17T. van GilstM
  9. 73W. Ould ChikhM
  10. 8M. EngelsM
  11. 19L. KulenovicF
Substitutes (12)

30 · R. Mantel

22 · R. Pasveer

23 · M. te Wierik

6 · S. Cestic

7 · B. Limbombe

20 · R. Bozinovski

14 · E. Ahlstrand

3 · J. Wieckhoff

25 · L. Zeefuik

38 · J. Wijnreder

39 · S. Blokhuis

41 · T. Hamamioglu

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

PEC Zwolle

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Tom de Graaff907.0—0—23—
Olivier Aertssen907.2—01232
Simon Graves906.9—0—66—
Anselmo Garcia McNulty908.9101381
Sherel Constancio Floranus806.3—0—321
Ryan Thomas737.2—1—37—
Zico Buurmeester906.9—0130—
Odysseus Velanas727.6—01175
Thijs Oosting907.3—0—174
Kaj de Rooij906.3—0—241
Koen Kostons906.7—0230—
Nick Fichtinger186.7—0111—
Jamiro Monteiro176.6—0—111
Tijs Velthuis106.6—0—4—
Duke Verduin———————
Len Bakker———————
Tristan Gooijer———————
Rodney Kroeze———————
Dylan Ruward———————
Gabriel Reiziger———————
Thomas Buitink———————

Heracles

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Timo Jansink907.3—0—42—
Mimeirhel Benita876.9—0237—
Damon Mirani906.9—0—62—
Alec Van Hoorenbeeck906.3—0—69—
Djevencio van der Kust456.9—0—262
Jan Žambůrek716.6—0125—
Sem Scheperman635.9—01211
Tristan van Gilst906.5—03281
Walid Ould-Chikh596.7—0116—
Mario Engels596.5—0—222
Luka Kulenović906.3—0121—
Jannes Wieckhoff456.9—0—21—
Erik Ahlstrand316.5—0114—
Bryan Limbombe316.9—0—11—
Sava Arangel Čestić196.3—0—7—
Tarik Hamamioglu86.3—0—1—
Robin Mantel———————
Remko Pasveer———————
Jeppe Wijnreder———————
Mike te Wierik———————
Rhys Bozinovski———————
Lequincio Zeefuik———————
Sil Blokhuis———————
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerPEC ZwolleDrawHeracles
Bet3651.485.005.50

Snapshot from 2 May 2026, 21:11 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

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