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EredivisieMatchweek 34THE MATCH CENTRE

Heracles vs Groningen match centre

Heracles badgeHeraclesHome · 18 in league
LDLDL
Momentum↓ Low13/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
1:2
UK time · Europe/London
Groningen badgeGroningenAway · 9 in league
LWDWW
Momentum↗ Rising72/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
T. van Gilst17′
D. van der Werff3′
T. Land56′
Asito Stadion · AlmeloSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate0.1%Heracles
Draw3.6%at full time
Current result estimate96.3%Groningen
Another goal8.1%before full time

Next goal: Heracles 3.8% · no further goal 91.9% · Groningen 4.3%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
HeraclesGroningen
9Corner Kicks5
8Fouls5
1Yellow Cards0
—Red Cards—
3Goalkeeper Saves0
360Total passes331
281Passes accurate257

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

Eredivisie

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1PSV Eindhoven33+5281—
2Feyenoord33+2462—
3Twente33+2358—
4NEC Nijmegen33+2356—
5Ajax33+2155—
6AZ Alkmaar33+751—
7Utrecht33+1150—
8Heerenveen33+450—
9Groningen34+448—
10Sparta Rotterdam33-2143—
11Fortuna Sittard33-1239—
12GO Ahead Eagles33+238—
13PEC Zwolle33-2537—
14Excelsior33-1435—
15Telstar33-734—
16FC Volendam33-1932—
17NAC Breda33-2328—
18Heracles34-5019—
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Heracles 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Groningen 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Heracles

0/10Wins
0.3Goals / game
2.5Conceded / game

Keep in view: 8 losses in that sample. At home, 1 wins from 8 available matches.

Inspect Heracles’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Groningen

4/10Wins
1.7Goals / game
1.4Conceded / game

Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 8 available matches.

Inspect Groningen’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Heracles at home with Groningen away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 04:53 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Eredivisie · 2025/26 · all league matches

HeraclesGroningen
32Matches played32
19Points earned42
5Wins12
1.1Goals scored / match1.5
2.5Goals conceded / match1.4
2Clean sheets10
15Failed to score7

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Heracles at home with Groningen away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Heracles

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Ernest Faber
  1. 16T. JansinkG
  2. 2M. BenitaD
  3. 23M. te WierikD
  4. 4D. MiraniD
  5. 5D. van der KustD
  6. 13J. ZamburekM
  7. 32S. SchepermanM
  8. 17T. van GilstM
  9. 10T. BrunsM
  10. 73W. Ould ChikhM
  11. 8M. EngelsF
Substitutes (12)

30 · R. Mantel

22 · R. Pasveer

6 · S. Cestic

18 · A. Van Hoorenbeeck

20 · R. Bozinovski

14 · E. Ahlstrand

3 · J. Wieckhoff

25 · L. Zeefuik

27 · J. Tijink

38 · J. Wijnreder

39 · S. Blokhuis

41 · T. Hamamioglu

Groningen

Confirmed formation4-4-2Dick Lukkien
  1. 1E. VaessenG
  2. 5M. RenteD
  3. 3T. BlokzijlD
  4. 4D. JanseD
  5. 43M. PeersmanD
  6. 17D. van der WerffM
  7. 8T. de JongeM
  8. 18T. LandM
  9. 14J. SchreudersM
  10. 10Y. TahaF
  11. 26T. van BergenF
Substitutes (12)

21 · H. Jurjus

13 · L. Stubljar

9 · B. Willumsson

2 · W. Prins

16 · T. Mercera

44 · J. Dillema

48 · R. Kelder

22 · S. Bouland

27 · R. Mendes

7 · T. Hernes

15 · E. van der Laan

34 · R. Metu

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Heracles

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Timo Jansink946.3———55—
Mimeirhel Benita856.2—1—42—
Mike te Wierik946.7———402
Damon Mirani946.3——2501
Djevencio van der Kust945.9———282
Jan Žambůrek886.3———15—
Sem Scheperman946.9——243—
Tristan van Gilst947.21—228—
Thomas Bruns767.3———301
Walid Ould-Chikh768.5———313
Mario Engels756.0——2131
Erik Ahlstrand196.9———73
Rhys Bozinovski186.7———2—
Tarik Hamamioglu186.2——11—
Jeppe Wijnreder96.6———5—
Sil Blokhuis6————1—
Robin Mantel———————
Remko Pasveer———————
Jannes Wieckhoff———————
Alec Van Hoorenbeeck———————
Sava Arangel Čestić———————
Jop Tijink———————
Lequincio Zeefuik———————

Groningen

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Etienne Vaessen945.9———34—
Marco Rente946.3—1—40—
Thijmen Blokzijl947.0———423
Dies Janse946.6———45—
Marvin Peersman947.0——1282
Tika de Jonge946.3——2261
Tygo Land747.91—137—
David van der Werff617.31—1231
Younes Taha896.2——428—
Jorg Schreuders946.7———272
Thom van Bergen897.0——3131
Travis Hernes336.3——15—
Rui Mendes206.3———31
Wouter Prins5——————
Jismerai Dillema5——————
Hidde Jurjus———————
Lovro Štubljar———————
Tyrique Mercera———————
Elvis Van der Laan———————
Sven Bouland———————
Robin Kelder———————
Brynjólfur Darri Willumsson———————
Ryan Metu———————
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerHeraclesDrawGroningen
Bet3655.254.501.55

Snapshot from 16 May 2026, 20:07 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

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