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De Graafschap vs Den Bosch match centre

De Graafschap badgeDe GraafschapHome · 18 in league
LLWL
Momentum↗ Rising27/100OlderLatest
Full time
1:0
UK time · Europe/London
Den Bosch badgeDen BoschAway · 16 in league
LLLW
Momentum↗ Rising31/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
Bjorn van Zijl22′
De Vijverberg · DutinghemSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Out of date · Calculated 27 Sep 11:30 UK.

Odds updated 27 Sep 13:00 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 9 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win2.15Our model 34.8%Market 43.6% Draw4.20Our model 21.7%Market 22.3% Away win2.75Our model 43.5%Market 34.1% Bet365 · Updated 27 Sep 13:00 UK · Older than 24 hours Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
De GraafschapDen Bosch
3Corner Kicks9
11Fouls15
1Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards0
2Goalkeeper Saves3
362Total passes299
283Passes accurate202

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

De Graafschap 0 reported

No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.

Den Bosch 0 reported

No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.

Fetched 27 Sep, 08:12 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

De Graafschap

2/10Wins
1.6Goals / game
3.3Conceded / game

Keep in view: 7 losses in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect De Graafschap’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Den Bosch

4/10Wins
1.6Goals / game
1.7Conceded / game

Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Den Bosch’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare De Graafschap at home with Den Bosch away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 05:14 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Eerste Divisie · 2026/27 · all league matches

De GraafschapDen Bosch
7Matches played7
4Points earned7
1Wins2
1.1Goals scored / match1.7
2.9Goals conceded / match2.3
0Clean sheets0
1Failed to score1

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares De Graafschap at home with Den Bosch away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

5 recorded meetings

De Graafschap

3wins
2 draws

Den Bosch

0wins

Feb 2024 – Jan 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

De Graafschap

Confirmed formation4-1-4-1T. Duivenvoorden
  1. 1T. WieggersG
  2. 2J. WieckhoffD
  3. 3R. BesselinkD
  4. 14Gijs BolkD
  5. 21K. SymonsD
  6. 8D. WarmerdamM
  7. 16N. MartensM
  8. 10F. de JongM
  9. 27N. Ahmeti-GraincaM
  10. 7Bjorn van ZijlM
  11. 9J. KaniaF
Substitutes (12)

34 · Nic Hartgers

23 · M. Diemers

17 · N. Kaninda

40 · Kyano Kwint

22 · P. Reverson

38 · M. Smits

28 · J. Triep

4 · J. Hardeman

32 · Tygo Grotenhuis

20 · Gabriele Finocchiaro

18 · Denzel Eijken

31 · R. Jonkers

Den Bosch

Confirmed formation4-1-2-1-2Bart Schreuder
  1. 1P. van de MerbelG
  2. 22Jeffry FortesD
  3. 25Silvan BrokerD
  4. 3S. MaasD
  5. 33M. LarosD
  6. 18H. EikelboomM
  7. 16Wang BohaoM
  8. 55G. HesselsM
  9. 10Devon DecorteM
  10. 17E. SemedoF
  11. 8K. MonzialoF
Substitutes (8)

4 · J. van Heertum

11 · J. De Vries

9 · S. Karlsson Grach

21 · F. Murre

7 · G. Sille

66 · R. van Balsfoort

41 · K. de Rooij

27 · L. Hoffman

2026/27 STANDINGS

Eerste Divisie table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Eerste Divisie: Regular season. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Heracles870126101621
WLWWW
2Almere City FC85121871116
LWWLW
3MVV85121215-316
WLLDW
4VVV Venlo85032114715
LWWLW
5Roda843195415
WDWDD
6Emmen85031817115
WLLWL
7Waalwijk83411811713
LWWWD
8Vitesse84131311213
LWLWW
9NAC Breda84131717013
WWLLD
10Jong AZ94142217513
WDLWW
11FC Volendam84042016412
WLWLW
12Jong PSV U2193331416-212
LDLWD
13FC Eindhoven83141317-410
LWWDL
14Helmond Sport82241314-18
LLWWL
15Jong Ajax92251322-98
DLLWD
16Den Bosch82151217-57
LWLLL
17Dordrecht82151223-117
WLLLL
18De Graafschap8215920-117
WLWLL
19Jong Utrecht92161521-67
LWWDL
20FC OSS8206813-56
LWLLW
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerDe GraafschapDrawDen Bosch
Marathonbet2.143.852.78
Betfair2.204.002.70
Pinnacle2.294.032.74
SBO2.033.952.61
William Hill2.154.202.50

Snapshot from 27 Sep 2026, 13:00 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

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