De Graafschap
2/10Wins
1.6Goals / game
3.3Conceded / game
Keep in view: 7 losses in that sample. At home, 4 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect De Graafschap’s results
Eerste DivisieMatchweek 7THE MATCH CENTREDe Graafschap vs NAC Breda match centre
Full time
1:2
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
Julian kania45′
Charles-Andreas Brym18′
Charles-Andreas Brym40′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Out of date · Calculated 20 Sep 14:06 UK.
Odds updated 20 Sep 14:10 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 9 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
De GraafschapNAC Breda
—Expected goals · API-Football—
3Shots on target9
7Total Shots21
48%Ball Possession52%
2Corner Kicks6
13Fouls7
0Yellow Cards2
1Red Cards0
6Goalkeeper Saves2
385Total passes406
297Passes accurate318
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
De Graafschap 0 reported
No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.
NAC Breda 0 reported
No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.
Fetched 20 Sep, 10:22 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
NAC Breda
4/10Wins
1.7Goals / game
2.1Conceded / game
Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect NAC Breda’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
De Graafschap
10 matchesResults2 wins · 1 draws · 7 losses
Goals scored per game1.6
Goals conceded per game3.3
Games with 3+ goals9 of 10
Both teams scored9 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
EmmenAway · Eerste Divisie2–1HeraclesAway · Eerste Divisie0–5Almere City FCHome · Eerste Divisie1–4VVV VenloAway · Eerste Divisie1–2Jong AZHome · Eerste Divisie2–5Helmond SportAway · Eerste Divisie1–1ExcelsiorHome · Friendlies Clubs1–5KifisiaHome · Friendlies Clubs4–2TelstarHome · Friendlies Clubs3–6AEK Athens FCHome · Friendlies Clubs1–2
NAC Breda
10 matchesResults4 wins · 1 draws · 5 losses
Goals scored per game1.7
Goals conceded per game2.1
Games with 3+ goals8 of 10
Both teams scored8 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Jong UtrechtHome · Eerste Divisie2–3WaalwijkAway · Eerste Divisie2–4RodaAway · Eerste Divisie2–2Jong AjaxHome · Eerste Divisie3–2VVV VenloHome · Eerste Divisie0–2FC OSSAway · Eerste Divisie2–1BoltonAway · Friendlies Clubs0–1OFIHome · Friendlies Clubs3–2Lokeren-TemseAway · Friendlies Clubs2–1ExcelsiorHome · Friendlies Clubs1–3
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare De Graafschap at home with NAC Breda away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 07:31 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Eerste Divisie · 2026/27 · all league matches
De GraafschapNAC Breda
6Matches played6
4Points earned7
1Wins2
1.2Goals scored / match1.8
3.0Goals conceded / match2.3
0Clean sheets0
1Failed to score1
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares De Graafschap at home with NAC Breda away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
5 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
De Graafschap
1wins5MEETINGS
NAC Breda
2winsMar 2022 – Feb 2024 · Historical meetings. Squads and team strength have changed.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
De Graafschap
Confirmed formation3-4-3T. Duivenvoorden
- 1
T. WieggersG - 3
R. BesselinkD - 15
T. KokD - 14
Gijs BolkD - 16
N. MartensM - 10
F. de JongM - 8
D. WarmerdamM - 21
K. SymonsM - 7
Bjorn van ZijlF - 9
J. KaniaF - 11
T. MeroF
Substitutes (11)
23 · R. Jonkers
40 · Kyano Kwint
22 · P. Reverson
34 · Nic Hartgers
2 · J. Wieckhoff
25 · M. Pabai
27 · N. Ahmeti-Grainca
17 · N. Kaninda
18 · Denzel Eijken
38 · M. Smits
20 · Gabriele Finocchiaro
NAC Breda
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1R. Kruijs
- 1
M. VerripsG - 2
B. LucassenD - 4
L. GreimlD - 22
R. HillenD - 12
J. Van den BerghD - 78
J. Van HeckeM - 6
M. BalardM - 14
K. SowahM - 10
M. NassohM - 28
C. BrymM - 9
M. SoumanoF
Substitutes (10)
55 · B. Ghalidi
26 · P. Reulen
11 · G. Misehouy
34 · I. Nazih
8 · F. Oldrup Jensen
5 · J. Candelaria
23 · R. Kortsmit
31 · K. Lamprou
33 · E. Ikpia
35 · M. Brouwers
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
NAC Breda
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Soumano | 90 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 14 | 0 |
| M. Verrips | 90 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 35 | 0 |
| B. Lucassen | 84 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 3 |
| L. Greiml | 90 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 56 | 0 |
| J. Van den Bergh | 90 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 37 | 2 |
| R. Hillen | 90 | 7.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 51 | 0 |
| J. Van Hecke | 73 | 7.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 39 | 2 |
| K. Sowah | 84 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 30 | 1 |
| M. Balard | 90 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 43 | 1 |
| M. Nassoh | 90 | 7.7 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 42 | 1 |
| C. Brym | 64 | 8.7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 3 |
| K. Lamprou | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| R. Kortsmit | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| J. Candelaria | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| F. Oldrup Jensen | 26 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 1 |
| I. Nazih | 6 | 5.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 |
| G. Misehouy | 6 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| P. Reulen | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| B. Ghalidi | 17 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| E. Ikpia | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| M. Brouwers | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
De Graafschap
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyano Kwint | 32 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 |
| R. Jonkers | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| N. Martens | 90 | 6.4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 37 | 0 |
| R. Besselink | 84 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 69 | 0 |
| T. Kok | 63 | 5.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 38 | 1 |
| K. Symons | 69 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 2 |
| Gijs Bolk | 90 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 75 | 0 |
| Bjorn van Zijl | 58 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 |
| F. de Jong | 90 | 5.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 3 |
| D. Warmerdam | 90 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 42 | 1 |
| T. Mero | 69 | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 1 |
| J. Kania | 58 | 7.4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| T. Wieggers | 90 | 7.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 49 | 0 |
| P. Reverson | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Nic Hartgers | 6 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
| J. Wieckhoff | 21 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 |
| M. Pabai | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| N. Ahmeti-Grainca | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| N. Kaninda | 21 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Denzel Eijken | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| M. Smits | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Gabriele Finocchiaro | 32 | 5.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Eerste Divisie table
Current standings · Eerste Divisie: Regular season. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Heracles | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 10 | 16 | 21 | WLWWW |
| 2 |  Almere City FC | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 16 | LWWLW |
| 3 |  MVV | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 16 | WLLDW |
| 4 |  VVV Venlo | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 15 | LWWLW |
| 5 |  Roda | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 15 | WDWDD |
| 6 |  Emmen | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 15 | WLLWL |
| 7 |  Waalwijk | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 13 | LWWWD |
| 8 |  Vitesse | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 13 | LWLWW |
| 9 | NAC Breda | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 13 | WWLLD |
| 10 |  Jong AZ | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 13 | WDLWW |
| 11 |  FC Volendam | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 12 | WLWLW |
| 12 |  Jong PSV U21 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 12 | LDLWD |
| 13 |  FC Eindhoven | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 10 | LWWDL |
| 14 |  Helmond Sport | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 8 | LLWWL |
| 15 |  Jong Ajax | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 8 | DLLWD |
| 16 |  Den Bosch | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 7 | LWLLL |
| 17 |  Dordrecht | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 7 | WLLLL |
| 18 | De Graafschap | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 20 | -11 | 7 | WLWLL |
| 19 |  Jong Utrecht | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 7 | LWWDL |
| 20 |  FC OSS | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 6 | LWLLW |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | De Graafschap | Draw | NAC Breda |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 3.25 | 3.80 | 1.91 |
| Bet365 | 3.25 | 4.10 | 1.95 |
| Marathonbet | 3.26 | 3.86 | 1.92 |
| Betfair | 3.30 | 4.00 | 1.90 |
| BetVictor | 3.30 | 4.00 | 1.95 |
Snapshot from 20 Sep 2026, 14:10 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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