Likeliest match result
Almere City FC to win73.4% model estimate
Price not supplied
Eerste DivisieMatchweek 10THE MATCH CENTREAlmere City FC vs FC Eindhoven match centre
Pre-match
19:00
UK time · Europe/LondonTHE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Kickoff Edge modelOur view of the game
A likely outcome and a good betting price are separate decisions.
No recommendation — prices need checking
Almere City FC to win
Likelihood guide only: the strongest available selection at odds of at least 1.25, or the likeliest match result when prices are missing. It does not qualify as a value recommendation.
Model chance73.4%
Best stored price—Awaiting odds
Prices need refreshing or checking with the bookmaker before a betting decision. Value-filter price: 1.54 or better. No current price qualifies for a recommendation under this filter.
Goals forecast
Over 2.5 goals65.9% model estimate
Price not supplied
Both teams to score
Both teams to score — Yes53.3% model estimate
Price not supplied
Double chance
Almere City FC or draw89.3% model estimate
Price not supplied
Projected goals
3.39 total · Almere City FC 2.53 · FC Eindhoven 0.87
Expected averages from the stored goal model, not a promised score.Most likely scorelines
2–0 10.7%2–1 9.3%3–0 9.0%
Home–away · individual scores remain uncertain.This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Available · Calculated 2 Oct 13:00 UK.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Reported absences can change the picture. Check confirmed lineups before kickoff. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Almere City FC 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
FC Eindhoven 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
A SECOND MODEL VIEW
Pre-match onlyCompare the forecasts
Two separately generated forecasts. Agreement is not proof of accuracy; both may use overlapping football data.
Kickoff Edge
Our stored model estimate
Almere City FC73.4%
Draw15.9%
FC Eindhoven10.7%
API-Football
Provider model estimate
Provider forecast under review
Provider percentages are missing or invalid.
Provider team identities do not match this fixture.
Provider forecast is missing a current timestamp or is more than two hours old.
Provider competition sample for the home team is fewer than five matches or unavailable.
Provider competition sample for the away team is fewer than five matches or unavailable.
Awaiting provider forecastProvider percentages and advice are withheld when team identities, freshness, competition samples or large bookmaker disagreements fail our quality checks. Accepted percentages are shown as supplied; they are not guarantees. These are forecasts, not bookmaker prices or live win probabilities. No assumption is made that either model accounts for the injury report above.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Kickoff Edge · xG model leans towards Almere City FC (73.4%). The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Almere City FC
6/10Wins
2.6Goals / game
1.5Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 8 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Almere City FC’s resultsFC Eindhoven
3/10Wins
1.3Goals / game
2.1Conceded / game
Keep in view: 6 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect FC Eindhoven’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Confirmed lineups are not available on this page yet.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Almere City FC
10 matchesResults6 wins · 1 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game2.6
Goals conceded per game1.5
Games with 3+ goals7 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
DordrechtAway · Eerste Divisie2–3HeraclesHome · Eerste Divisie1–0MVVAway · Eerste Divisie4–0Jong AjaxHome · Eerste Divisie0–1De GraafschapAway · Eerste Divisie4–1VitesseAway · Eerste Divisie3–0Jong PSV U21Home · Eerste Divisie3–1Den BoschAway · Eerste Divisie1–1EmmenAway · Friendlies Clubs0–4FC OSSHome · Friendlies Clubs8–4
FC Eindhoven
10 matchesResults3 wins · 1 draws · 6 losses
Goals scored per game1.3
Goals conceded per game2.1
Games with 3+ goals7 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
NAC BredaAway · Eerste Divisie2–4EmmenHome · Eerste Divisie3–1DordrechtHome · Eerste Divisie2–1Jong UtrechtAway · Eerste Divisie0–0HeraclesHome · Eerste Divisie1–3Den BoschAway · Eerste Divisie2–5MVVHome · Eerste Divisie2–3Jong AZAway · Eerste Divisie1–0SK BeverenAway · Friendlies Clubs0–1PSV EindhovenAway · Friendlies Clubs0–3
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Almere City FC at home with FC Eindhoven away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 14:35 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Eerste Divisie · 2026/27 · all league matches
Almere City FCFC Eindhoven
7Matches played7
16Points earned10
5Wins3
2.3Goals scored / match1.6
0.6Goals conceded / match1.9
3Clean sheets2
1Failed to score1
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Almere City FC at home with FC Eindhoven away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Awaiting lineupsLineups & formations
Official XIs are normally published around 20–60 minutes before kickoff. We check again automatically once that window opens.
Almere City FC
Most-used league formation4-2-3-15 matches this season
Starting XI not confirmed. The formation above is a season trend, not a predicted lineup.
FC Eindhoven
Most-used league formation4-4-22 matches this season
Starting XI not confirmed. The formation above is a season trend, not a predicted lineup.
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Eerste Divisie table
Current standings · Eerste Divisie: Regular season. Both teams are highlighted.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Heracles | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 10 | 16 | 21 | WLWWW |
| 2 | Almere City FC | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 16 | LWWLW |
| 3 |  MVV | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 16 | WLLDW |
| 4 |  VVV Venlo | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 15 | LWWLW |
| 5 |  Roda | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 15 | WDWDD |
| 6 |  Emmen | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 15 | WLLWL |
| 7 |  Waalwijk | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 13 | LWWWD |
| 8 |  Vitesse | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 13 | LWLWW |
| 9 |  NAC Breda | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 13 | WWLLD |
| 10 |  Jong AZ | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 13 | WDLWW |
| 11 |  FC Volendam | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 12 | WLWLW |
| 12 |  Jong PSV U21 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 12 | LDLWD |
| 13 | FC Eindhoven | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 10 | LWWDL |
| 14 |  Helmond Sport | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 8 | LLWWL |
| 15 |  Jong Ajax | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 8 | DLLWD |
| 16 |  Den Bosch | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 7 | LWLLL |
| 17 |  Dordrecht | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 7 | WLLLL |
| 18 |  De Graafschap | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 20 | -11 | 7 | WLWLL |
| 19 |  Jong Utrecht | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 7 | LWWDL |
| 20 |  FC OSS | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 6 | LWLLW |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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