Hibernian
5/10Wins
1.4Goals / game
1.1Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 4 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Hibernian’s results
PremiershipMatchweek 3THE MATCH CENTREHibernian vs Kilmarnock match centre
Full time
0:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
George Stanger40′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Out of date · Calculated 15 Sep 15:09 UK.
Odds updated 15 Sep 19:00 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 9 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
HibernianKilmarnock
1.310Expected goals · API-Football1.950
7Shots on target7
22Total Shots12
60%Ball Possession40%
14Corner Kicks7
8Fouls10
0Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards1
6Goalkeeper Saves7
482Total passes327
403Passes accurate243
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Hibernian 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Kilmarnock 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Kilmarnock
3/10Wins
1.0Goals / game
1.7Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 5 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Kilmarnock’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Hibernian
10 matchesResults5 wins · 2 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.4
Goals conceded per game1.1
Games with 3+ goals7 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Ross CountyAway · League Cup3–0ST JohnstoneAway · Premiership1–2Heart Of MidlothianHome · Premiership1–3DundeeAway · Premiership2–1GentHome · UEFA Europa Conference League2–3GentAway · UEFA Europa Conference League0–0PartickHome · League Cup1–0ShkendijaAway · UEFA Europa Conference League0–0RangersAway · Premiership2–1ShkendijaHome · UEFA Europa Conference League2–1
Kilmarnock
10 matchesResults3 wins · 3 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game1.0
Goals conceded per game1.7
Games with 3+ goals4 of 10
Both teams scored4 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
AberdeenHome · League Cup1–1AberdeenAway · Premiership0–0ST MirrenHome · Premiership0–1Dundee UtdHome · Premiership0–4Ayr UtdHome · League Cup3–2CelticHome · Premiership1–5ST JohnstoneAway · Premiership3–4PeterheadAway · League Cup0–0Hamilton AcademicalHome · League Cup1–0Elgin CityAway · League Cup1–0
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Hibernian at home with Kilmarnock away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:57 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Premiership · 2026/27 · all league matches
HibernianKilmarnock
5Matches played5
6Points earned1
2Wins0
1.4Goals scored / match0.8
1.8Goals conceded / match2.8
0Clean sheets1
0Failed to score3
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Hibernian at home with Kilmarnock away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
4 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Hibernian
2wins4MEETINGS
Kilmarnock
0winsMar 2025 – Apr 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.
Scores shown with Hibernian first; venues vary.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Hibernian
Confirmed formation3-1-4-2David Gray
- 1
R. SallingerG - 6
J. KerrD - 15
J. IredaleD - 27
K. MegwaD - 24
J. DevaneyM - 25
F. PasslackM - 8
J. MulliganM - 23
C. WrightM - 3
A. MayorM - 22
A. ŠutoF - 18
T. KlidjeF
Substitutes (9)
11 · J. Newell
9 · N. Lowe
4 · G. Hanley
7 · O. Elding
14 · M. Chaiwa
19 · N. Cadden
10 · M. Boyle
47 · A. Abdulai
35 · F. Owens
Kilmarnock
Confirmed formation3-4-2-1N. McCann
- 1
M. StryjekG - 3
Michael-John Kamson-KamaraD - 4
C. McCarthyD - 14
G. StangerD - 8
E. RingM - 18
T. LoweryM - 49
B. RiceM - 21
M. Schjønning-LarsenM - 10
T. John-JulesM - 11
G. KiltieM - 9
J. HugillF
Substitutes (9)
5 · M. O'Hara
19 · J. Meier
7 · R. McKenzie
20 · N. Cleșcenco
37 · C. Burke
2 · J. Brandon
27 · I. Owen
12 · C. Ferrie
29 · D. Daniels
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Kilmarnock
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Stryjek | 90 | 8.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 45 | 0 |
| G. Stanger | 90 | 7.7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 1 |
| M. Schjønning-Larsen | 90 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 32 | 1 |
| E. Ring | 89 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 1 |
| B. Rice | 67 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 0 |
| C. McCarthy | 90 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 47 | 1 |
| T. Lowery | 90 | 7.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 41 | 0 |
| G. Kiltie | 90 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 0 |
| Michael-John Kamson-Kamara | 67 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 1 |
| J. Hugill | 90 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 0 |
| M. O'Hara | 23 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 1 |
| J. Meier | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| R. McKenzie | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| D. Daniels | 17 | 5.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 |
| N. Cleșcenco | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| C. Burke | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| J. Brandon | 23 | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 1 |
| I. Owen | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| C. Ferrie | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| T. John-Jules | 73 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 1 |
Hibernian
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Sallinger | 90 | 8.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 0 |
| C. Wright | 53 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 0 |
| A. Šuto | 53 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 0 |
| F. Passlack | 90 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 44 | 0 |
| J. Mulligan | 90 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 40 | 3 |
| K. Megwa | 8 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 |
| A. Mayor | 90 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 54 | 2 |
| T. Klidje | 53 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
| J. Kerr | 90 | 7.6 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 63 | 2 |
| J. Iredale | 90 | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 79 | 1 |
| J. Devaney | 67 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 3 |
| J. Newell | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| N. Lowe | 37 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| G. Hanley | 82 | 7.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 66 | 5 |
| O. Elding | 37 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 0 |
| M. Chaiwa | 23 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 1 |
| N. Cadden | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| M. Boyle | 37 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| A. Abdulai | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| F. Owens | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Premiership table
Current standings · Premier League. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Celtic | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 18 | LWWWW |
| 2 |  Rangers | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 16 | WWWWW |
| 3 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 13 | DLWWW |
| 4 |  Dundee | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 10 | WLDLW |
| 5 |  ST Mirren | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 10 | LLLWD |
| 6 |  ST Johnstone | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 8 | DLWDL |
| 7 |  Aberdeen | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 8 | DWDLL |
| 8 |  Dundee Utd | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 | WDLWL |
| 9 |  Motherwell | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 | LLLWD |
| 10 | Hibernian | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 7 | DLLLW |
| 11 |  Falkirk | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 6 | DWDLL |
| 12 | Kilmarnock | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 5 | DWDLL |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Hibernian | Draw | Kilmarnock |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.40 | 4.50 | 6.50 |
| Bet365 | 1.42 | 4.75 | 6.50 |
| Marathonbet | 1.39 | 4.70 | 7.00 |
| Betfair | 1.40 | 4.75 | 7.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.40 | 4.80 | 7.00 |
Snapshot from 15 Sep 2026, 19:00 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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