D. BurnAnkle Injury
Reported out
Premier LeagueMatchweek 5THE MATCH CENTRENewcastle vs Hull City match centre
Full time
2:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
Joe Willock3′
Lewis Hall7′
Mohamed Ali Cho67′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Out of date · Calculated 19 Sep 10:04 UK.
Odds updated 19 Sep 14:52 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 6 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
NewcastleHull City
1.440Expected goals · API-Football1.590
5Shots on target4
11Total Shots21
56%Ball Possession44%
4Corner Kicks7
4Fouls10
1Yellow Cards4
0Red Cards0
3Goalkeeper Saves3
500Total passes366
444Passes accurate293
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Newcastle 8 reported
A. DedicInjury
Reported out
A. ElangaKnee Injury
Reported out
E. JaouenAnkle Injury
Reported out
JoelintonThigh Injury
Reported out
NicoInjury
Reported out
W. OsulaInjury
Reported out
J. RamseyInjury
Reported out
Hull City 8 reported
I. AnsahBack Injury
Reported out
J. ButlandArm Injury
Reported out
D. GyabiGroin Injury
Reported out
C. HughesGroin Injury
Reported out
E. MatazoKnee Injury
Reported out
N. MendyInjury
Reported out
H. MoritaCalf Injury
Reported out
M. TargettAnkle Injury
DoubtfulFetched 18 Sep, 21:36 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Newcastle
4/10Wins
1.6Goals / game
1.7Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 4 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Newcastle’s resultsHull City
3/10Wins
0.9Goals / game
0.8Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 4 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Hull City’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Newcastle
10 matchesResults4 wins · 3 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.6
Goals conceded per game1.7
Games with 3+ goals7 of 10
Both teams scored8 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
LeedsAway · Premier League1–4MillwallAway · League Cup1–0BournemouthHome · Premier League2–2TottenhamAway · Premier League2–0West BromHome · League Cup3–2LiverpoolHome · Premier League2–2StrasbourgHome · Friendlies Clubs1–1Bayer LeverkusenHome · Friendlies Clubs1–2EvertonHome · Friendlies Clubs1–3ValenciaAway · Friendlies Clubs2–1
Hull City
10 matchesResults3 wins · 5 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game0.9
Goals conceded per game0.8
Games with 3+ goals2 of 10
Both teams scored4 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
ChelseaAway · Premier League2–2SunderlandAway · League Cup0–1Aston VillaHome · Premier League0–0CoventryAway · Premier League1–0Stoke CityAway · League Cup1–1Manchester UnitedHome · Premier League2–0NiceHome · Friendlies Clubs0–0Eintracht FrankfurtAway · Friendlies Clubs0–2KasımpaşaAway · Friendlies Clubs1–1RizesporAway · Friendlies Clubs2–1
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Newcastle at home with Hull City away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 07:05 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Premier League · 2026/27 · all league matches
NewcastleHull City
3Matches played4
5Points earned8
1Wins2
2.0Goals scored / match1.3
1.3Goals conceded / match0.5
1Clean sheets3
0Failed to score1
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Newcastle at home with Hull City away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
4 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Newcastle
2wins4MEETINGS
Hull City
0winsSep 2014 – Jul 2024 · Historical meetings. Squads and team strength have changed.
Scores shown with Newcastle first; venues vary.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Newcastle
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Matthias Jaissle
- 21
L. HorníčekG - 67
L. MileyD - 12
M. ThiawD - 4
S. BotmanD - 3
L. HallD - 14
Sean SteurM - 28
J. WillockM - 23
J. MurphyM - 20
M. Fernandez-PardoM - 11
H. BarnesM - 9
Y. WissaF
Substitutes (9)
76 · M. Miley
17 · B. Touré
8 · A. Bamba
5 · F. Schär
48 · Miodrag Pivaš
1 · N. Pope
49 · V. Salia
44 · K. Thompson
77 · M. Mills
Hull City
Confirmed formation5-4-1S. Jakirović
- 19
K. TzolakisG - 2
L. CoyleD - 6
S. AjayiD - 15
J. EganD - 22
L. HerringtonD - 3
R. GilesD - 10
M. BelloumiM - 25
M. CrooksM - 27
R. SlaterM - 7
S. ThomasM - 9
O. McBurnieF
Substitutes (9)
50 · M. Cho
12 · D. Phillips
17 · P. McNair
11 · J. Gelhardt
14 · J. Hjertø-Dahl
21 · E. Stroud
29 · L. Gourna-Douath
42 · T. Iroegbunam
47 · R. Vaz
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Newcastle
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Murphy | 90 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 2 |
| M. Thiaw | 90 | 7.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 84 | 0 |
| S. Botman | 90 | 7.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 74 | 1 |
| L. Hall | 90 | 7.2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 68 | 1 |
| Sean Steur | 66 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 57 | 2 |
| L. Miley | 90 | 7.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 69 | 4 |
| H. Barnes | 90 | 8.2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 0 |
| J. Willock | 87 | 8.2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 51 | 1 |
| M. Fernandez-Pardo | 74 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 1 |
| Y. Wissa | 90 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 0 |
| L. Horníček | 90 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 0 |
| M. Miley | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| B. Touré | 16 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| A. Bamba | 3 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| F. Schär | 24 | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 0 |
| Miodrag Pivaš | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| N. Pope | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| V. Salia | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| K. Thompson | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| M. Mills | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Hull City
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. McBurnie | 90 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 0 |
| S. Thomas | 63 | 5.9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 1 |
| R. Slater | 78 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 0 |
| M. Crooks | 45 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 2 |
| M. Belloumi | 83 | 6.8 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 30 | 6 |
| R. Giles | 90 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 1 |
| L. Herrington | 90 | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 51 | 1 |
| J. Egan | 78 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 2 |
| S. Ajayi | 90 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 44 | 2 |
| L. Coyle | 90 | 5.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 43 | 1 |
| K. Tzolakis | 90 | 7.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 1 |
| M. Cho | 27 | 7.5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
| D. Phillips | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| P. McNair | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| J. Gelhardt | 7 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 0 |
| J. Hjertø-Dahl | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| E. Stroud | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| L. Gourna-Douath | 12 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 1 |
| T. Iroegbunam | 45 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 2 |
| R. Vaz | 12 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 |
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Premier League table
Current standings · Premier League. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 15 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Arsenal | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 12 | LWWWW |
| 3 |  Brighton | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 10 | WWDLW |
| 4 |  Brentford | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 9 | WDDDW |
| 5 |  Leeds | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 9 | DWDDW |
| 6 |  Liverpool | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 9 | WDWDD |
| 7 |  Everton | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | WDDDW |
| 8 | Hull City | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 8 | LDDWW |
| 9 | Newcastle | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 8 | WLDWD |
| 10 |  Chelsea | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 7 | LDLWW |
| 11 |  Ipswich | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 6 | LWLLW |
| 12 |  Manchester United | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 5 | DLDWL |
| 13 |  Nottingham Forest | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 5 | LWDDL |
| 14 |  Sunderland | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 4 | LLDWL |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 4 | DLWLL |
| 16 |  Aston Villa | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 4 | WLDLL |
| 17 |  Bournemouth | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 3 | LDDDL |
| 18 |  Coventry | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | -9 | 3 | WLLLL |
| 19 |  Fulham | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 2 | DDLLL |
| 20 |  Tottenham | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 2 | LDDLL |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Newcastle | Draw | Hull City |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.60 | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.60 | 4.50 | 5.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.61 | 4.35 | 5.20 |
| BetVictor | 1.57 | 4.33 | 5.25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.62 | 4.35 | 5.45 |
Snapshot from 19 Sep 2026, 14:52 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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