Leeds
6/10Wins
2.0Goals / game
1.1Conceded / game
Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At home, 6 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Leeds’s results
Premier LeagueMatchweek 4THE MATCH CENTRELeeds vs Newcastle match centre
Full time
4:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
Lewis Miley32′ (og)
Jayden Bogle34′
Dominic Calvert-Lewin45+1′
Noah Okafor59′
Bazoumana Touré90′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated 14 Sep 20:05 UK.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
LeedsNewcastle
—Expected goals · API-Football—
6Shots on target5
15Total Shots7
51%Ball Possession49%
5Corner Kicks5
8Fouls13
1Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards0
4Goalkeeper Saves3
440Total passes433
368Passes accurate357
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Leeds 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Newcastle 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Newcastle
4/10Wins
1.6Goals / game
1.7Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Newcastle’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Leeds
10 matchesResults6 wins · 3 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game2.0
Goals conceded per game1.1
Games with 3+ goals3 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
ChelseaAway · League Cup3–6BrightonAway · Premier League1–1BrentfordHome · Premier League1–1Nottingham ForestAway · League Cup2–0Nottingham ForestAway · Premier League1–0FC AugsburgHome · Friendlies Clubs4–0Manchester UnitedAway · Friendlies Clubs1–1RB LeipzigHome · Friendlies Clubs2–0LiverpoolAway · Premier League - Summer Series4–2SunderlandAway · Premier League - Summer Series1–0
Newcastle
10 matchesResults4 wins · 3 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.6
Goals conceded per game1.7
Games with 3+ goals7 of 10
Both teams scored8 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
MillwallAway · League Cup1–0BournemouthHome · Premier League2–2TottenhamAway · Premier League2–0West BromHome · League Cup3–2LiverpoolHome · Premier League2–2StrasbourgHome · Friendlies Clubs1–1Bayer LeverkusenHome · Friendlies Clubs1–2EvertonHome · Friendlies Clubs1–3ValenciaAway · Friendlies Clubs2–1Bristol CityAway · Friendlies Clubs1–4
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Leeds at home with Newcastle away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 08:39 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Premier League · 2026/27 · all league matches
LeedsNewcastle
3Matches played3
5Points earned5
1Wins1
1.0Goals scored / match2.0
0.7Goals conceded / match1.3
1Clean sheets1
0Failed to score0
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Leeds at home with Newcastle away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
4 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Leeds
0wins4MEETINGS
Newcastle
1winsDec 2022 – Jan 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.
Scores shown with Leeds first; venues vary.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Leeds
Confirmed formation3-5-2D. Farke
- 1
J. TraffordG - 24
J. JustinD - 30
N. ElvediD - 5
T. MuharemovićD - 2
J. BogleM - 18
A. StachM - 4
E. AmpaduM - 22
A. TanakaM - 3
G. GudmundssonM - 9
D. Calvert-LewinF - 19
N. OkaforF
Substitutes (9)
16 · M. Zetterer
11 · B. Aaronson
23 · J. Bahoya
26 · M. Bard
15 · J. Bijol
7 · D. James
8 · S. Longstaff
14 · L. Nmecha
10 · H. Wilson
Newcastle
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Matthias Jaissle
- 21
L. HorníčekG - 37
A. DedićD - 12
M. ThiawD - 4
S. BotmanD - 3
L. HallD - 67
L. MileyM - 6
Nico GonzálezM - 23
J. MurphyM - 20
M. Fernandez-PardoM - 11
H. BarnesM - 9
Y. WissaF
Substitutes (9)
1 · N. Pope
2 · T. Livramento
5 · F. Schär
8 · A. Bamba
14 · Sean Steur
17 · B. Touré
28 · J. Willock
41 · J. Ramsey
76 · M. Miley
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Newcastle
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Horníček | 90 | 5.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 0 |
| Y. Wissa | 90 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 1 |
| M. Thiaw | 90 | 5.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 41 | 0 |
| Nico González | 19 | 5.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 |
| J. Murphy | 57 | 5.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 1 |
| L. Miley | 80 | 5.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 55 | 1 |
| L. Hall | 90 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 50 | 4 |
| M. Fernandez-Pardo | 57 | 5.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 |
| A. Dedić | 58 | 5.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 3 |
| S. Botman | 90 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50 | 2 |
| H. Barnes | 90 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 0 |
| N. Pope | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| T. Livramento | 32 | 5.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 2 |
| F. Schär | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| A. Bamba | 10 | 5.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 |
| Sean Steur | 71 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 54 | 2 |
| B. Touré | 33 | 7.3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 0 |
| J. Willock | 33 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 1 |
| J. Ramsey | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| M. Miley | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Leeds
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Trafford | 90 | 7.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 47 | 0 |
| A. Tanaka | 72 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 42 | 2 |
| A. Stach | 88 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 35 | 2 |
| N. Okafor | 72 | 7.9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 2 |
| T. Muharemović | 90 | 7.3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 59 | 1 |
| J. Justin | 90 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 41 | 2 |
| G. Gudmundsson | 72 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 3 |
| N. Elvedi | 90 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 59 | 1 |
| D. Calvert-Lewin | 78 | 8.4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 0 |
| J. Bogle | 83 | 8.0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 2 |
| E. Ampadu | 90 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 47 | 1 |
| M. Zetterer | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| B. Aaronson | 18 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
| J. Bahoya | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| M. Bard | 18 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 |
| J. Bijol | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| D. James | 7 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| S. Longstaff | 2 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| L. Nmecha | 12 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| H. Wilson | 18 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 |
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Premier League table
Current standings · Premier League. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 15 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Arsenal | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 12 | LWWWW |
| 3 |  Brighton | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 10 | WWDLW |
| 4 |  Brentford | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 9 | WDDDW |
| 5 | Leeds | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 9 | DWDDW |
| 6 |  Liverpool | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 9 | WDWDD |
| 7 |  Everton | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | WDDDW |
| 8 |  Hull City | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 8 | LDDWW |
| 9 | Newcastle | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 8 | WLDWD |
| 10 |  Chelsea | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 7 | LDLWW |
| 11 |  Ipswich | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 6 | LWLLW |
| 12 |  Manchester United | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 5 | DLDWL |
| 13 |  Nottingham Forest | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 5 | LWDDL |
| 14 |  Sunderland | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 4 | LLDWL |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 4 | DLWLL |
| 16 |  Aston Villa | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 4 | WLDLL |
| 17 |  Bournemouth | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 3 | LDDDL |
| 18 |  Coventry | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | -9 | 3 | WLLLL |
| 19 |  Fulham | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 2 | DDLLL |
| 20 |  Tottenham | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 2 | LDDLL |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Leeds | Draw | Newcastle |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2.20 | 3.50 | 3.10 |
Snapshot from 14 Sep 2026, 12:44 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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