N. MilenkovicMuscle Injury
Reported out
Premier LeagueMatchweek 5THE MATCH CENTRENottingham Forest vs Coventry match centre
Full time
0:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
Jay Dasilva55′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Out of date · Calculated 19 Sep 14:52 UK.
Odds updated 19 Sep 14:52 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 6 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
Nottingham ForestCoventry
1.100Expected goals · API-Football0.670
3Shots on target3
23Total Shots10
62%Ball Possession38%
5Corner Kicks2
12Fouls10
2Yellow Cards0
0Red Cards0
2Goalkeeper Saves2
507Total passes308
428Passes accurate233
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Nottingham Forest 3 reported
N. SavonaKnee Injury
Reported outCunhaMuscle Injury
Doubtful
Coventry 6 reported
A. AmendaCalf Injury
Reported out
T. AwoniyiRed Card
Reported out
J. EcclesInjury
Reported out
K. Kesler-HaydenMuscle Injury
Reported out
L. WoolfendenKnee Injury
Reported out
H. WrightMuscle Injury
Reported outFetched 18 Sep, 23:10 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Nottingham Forest
3/10Wins
0.9Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game
Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At home, 5 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Nottingham Forest’s resultsCoventry
4/10Wins
1.4Goals / game
1.6Conceded / game
Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At away venues, 5 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Coventry’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Nottingham Forest
10 matchesResults3 wins · 2 draws · 5 losses
Goals scored per game0.9
Goals conceded per game1.3
Games with 3+ goals4 of 10
Both teams scored4 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Aston VillaAway · Premier League2–1TottenhamHome · Premier League0–0LiverpoolAway · Premier League2–2LeedsHome · League Cup0–2LeedsHome · Premier League0–1Stade Brestois 29Home · Friendlies Clubs2–0Bayer LeverkusenHome · Friendlies Clubs2–1BarcelonaAway · Friendlies Clubs0–1UdineseAway · Friendlies Clubs0–1Sporting CPAway · Friendlies Clubs1–4
Coventry
10 matchesResults4 wins · 1 draws · 5 losses
Goals scored per game1.4
Goals conceded per game1.6
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored3 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Aston VillaHome · League Cup1–3BrightonHome · Premier League0–5Manchester CityAway · Premier League0–1Hull CityHome · Premier League0–1PlymouthAway · League Cup4–2ArsenalAway · Premier League0–3MonacoHome · Friendlies Clubs2–0EspanyolHome · Friendlies Clubs3–1NorthamptonAway · Friendlies Clubs0–0WatfordAway · Championship4–0
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Nottingham Forest at home with Coventry away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 08:21 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Premier League · 2026/27 · all league matches
Nottingham ForestCoventry
4Matches played4
5Points earned0
1Wins0
1.0Goals scored / match0.0
1.0Goals conceded / match2.5
1Clean sheets0
2Failed to score4
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Nottingham Forest at home with Coventry away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
4 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Nottingham Forest
2wins4MEETINGS
Coventry
2winsFeb 2021 – Jul 2022 · Historical meetings. Squads and team strength have changed.
Scores shown with Nottingham Forest first; venues vary.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Nottingham Forest
Confirmed formation3-4-2-1O. Glasner
- 26
M. SelsG - 23
JairD - 2
O. DiomandeD - 5
MurilloD - 27
D. MuñozM - 21
X. SchlagerM - 24
J. McAteeM - 3
N. WilliamsM - 14
D. NdoyeM - 10
M. Gibbs-WhiteM - 19
L. DelapF
Substitutes (9)
11 · Igor Jesus
9 · C. Wood
22 · R. Yates
8 · N. Domínguez
7 · C. Hudson-Odoi
6 · I. Sangaré
34 · O. Aina
25 · L. Netz
12 · John
Coventry
Confirmed formation3-4-2-1F. Lampard
- 19
C. RushworthG - 12
S. MfuniD - 4
B. ThomasD - 2
E. PinnockD - 8
Caleb Marfo YirenkyiM - 16
F. OnyekaM - 6
M. GrimesM - 3
J. DasilvaM - 5
J. RudoniM - 10
E. Mason-ClarkM - 23
B. Thomas-AsanteF
Substitutes (9)
49 · S. Cherif
34 · Y. Gboho
9 · E. Simms
38 · G. Hamer
29 · V. Torp
17 · L. Tchaouna
7 · T. Sakamoto
22 · J. Latibeaudiere
25 · D. Bentley
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Coventry
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Rushworth | 90 | 6.9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 48 | 0 |
| B. Thomas-Asante | 90 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 3 |
| E. Mason-Clark | 45 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 0 |
| F. Onyeka | 90 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 2 |
| J. Dasilva | 90 | 7.7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 0 |
| M. Grimes | 90 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 3 |
| Caleb Marfo Yirenkyi | 89 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 34 | 1 |
| J. Rudoni | 74 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 1 |
| S. Mfuni | 90 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 32 | 1 |
| B. Thomas | 90 | 7.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 32 | 1 |
| E. Pinnock | 90 | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 0 |
| S. Cherif | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Y. Gboho | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| E. Simms | 16 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
| G. Hamer | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| V. Torp | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| L. Tchaouna | 45 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| T. Sakamoto | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| J. Latibeaudiere | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| D. Bentley | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Nottingham Forest
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Sels | 90 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 0 |
| L. Delap | 90 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 1 |
| M. Gibbs-White | 90 | 7.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 56 | 0 |
| D. Ndoye | 59 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 0 |
| N. Williams | 90 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 55 | 1 |
| X. Schlager | 90 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 55 | 2 |
| J. McAtee | 83 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 50 | 1 |
| D. Muñoz | 83 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 37 | 1 |
| Murillo | 90 | 7.4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 68 | 1 |
| O. Diomande | 73 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 42 | 0 |
| Jair | 90 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 53 | 2 |
| Igor Jesus | 31 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 0 |
| C. Wood | 17 | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 |
| R. Yates | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| N. Domínguez | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| C. Hudson-Odoi | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| I. Sangaré | 7 | 5.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 |
| O. Aina | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| L. Netz | 7 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 |
| John | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Premier League table
Current standings · Premier League. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 15 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Arsenal | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 12 | LWWWW |
| 3 |  Brighton | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 10 | WWDLW |
| 4 |  Brentford | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 9 | WDDDW |
| 5 |  Leeds | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 9 | DWDDW |
| 6 |  Liverpool | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 9 | WDWDD |
| 7 |  Everton | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | WDDDW |
| 8 |  Hull City | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 8 | LDDWW |
| 9 |  Newcastle | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 8 | WLDWD |
| 10 |  Chelsea | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 7 | LDLWW |
| 11 |  Ipswich | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 6 | LWLLW |
| 12 |  Manchester United | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 5 | DLDWL |
| 13 | Nottingham Forest | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 5 | LWDDL |
| 14 |  Sunderland | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 4 | LLDWL |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 4 | DLWLL |
| 16 |  Aston Villa | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 4 | WLDLL |
| 17 |  Bournemouth | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 3 | LDDDL |
| 18 | Coventry | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | -9 | 3 | WLLLL |
| 19 |  Fulham | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 2 | DDLLL |
| 20 |  Tottenham | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 2 | LDDLL |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Nottingham Forest | Draw | Coventry |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.62 | 3.75 | 5.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.62 | 3.90 | 5.25 |
| Marathonbet | 1.63 | 3.96 | 5.65 |
| BetVictor | 1.62 | 4.10 | 5.25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.64 | 3.90 | 5.90 |
Snapshot from 19 Sep 2026, 14:52 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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