D. KulusevskiKnee Injury
Reported out
Premier LeagueMatchweek 5THE MATCH CENTRETottenham vs Aston Villa match centre
Full time
2:3
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
Conor Gallagher86′
Johan Manzambi45+4′
Nicolas Jackson67′
Emiliano Buendía79′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Out of date · Calculated 19 Sep 07:20 UK.
Odds updated 19 Sep 10:53 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 6 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
TottenhamAston Villa
1.560Expected goals · API-Football1.160
5Shots on target6
16Total Shots15
64%Ball Possession36%
10Corner Kicks1
9Fouls11
1Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards0
3Goalkeeper Saves4
546Total passes314
478Passes accurate263
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Tottenham 6 reported
M. MudrykAnkle Injury
Reported out
W. OdobertKnee Injury
Reported out
RicharlisonInactive
Reported out
X. SimonsKnee Injury
Reported outS. TonaliKnock
Doubtful
Aston Villa 8 reported
L. GoretzkaKnee Injury
Reported out
I. MaatsenAnkle Injury
Reported out
A. OnanaKnee Injury
Reported out
P. TorresInjury
Reported out
M. BizotBack Injury
Doubtful
M. CashInjury
DoubtfulJoao GomesCalf Injury
Doubtful
B. MadjoAnkle Injury
DoubtfulFetched 18 Sep, 22:16 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Tottenham
3/10Wins
1.4Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 4 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Tottenham’s resultsAston Villa
3/10Wins
1.3Goals / game
1.7Conceded / game
Keep in view: 6 losses in that sample. At away venues, 4 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Aston Villa’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Tottenham
10 matchesResults3 wins · 4 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.4
Goals conceded per game1.3
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
LiverpoolAway · League Cup1–3EvertonHome · Premier League0–0Nottingham ForestAway · Premier League0–0NewcastleHome · Premier League0–2CharltonHome · League Cup5–1BrentfordAway · Premier League0–31899 HoffenheimHome · Friendlies Clubs2–21899 HoffenheimHome · Friendlies Clubs3–0GetafeHome · Friendlies Clubs1–1ChelseaAway · Friendlies Clubs2–1
Aston Villa
10 matchesResults3 wins · 1 draws · 6 losses
Goals scored per game1.3
Goals conceded per game1.7
Games with 3+ goals8 of 10
Both teams scored7 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
CoventryAway · League Cup3–1Nottingham ForestHome · Premier League1–2Club Brugge KVAway · UEFA Champions League3–2Hull CityAway · Premier League0–0ArsenalHome · Premier League0–1BrightonAway · Premier League0–4Borussia MönchengladbachAway · Friendlies Clubs1–2Paris Saint GermainAway · UEFA Super Cup1–2Bayern MünchenAway · Friendlies Clubs1–2BG Pathum UnitedAway · Friendlies Clubs3–1
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Tottenham at home with Aston Villa away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 09:32 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Premier League · 2026/27 · all league matches
TottenhamAston Villa
4Matches played4
2Points earned1
0Wins0
0.0Goals scored / match0.3
1.3Goals conceded / match1.8
2Clean sheets1
4Failed to score3
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Tottenham at home with Aston Villa away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
4 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Tottenham
1wins4MEETINGS
Aston Villa
3winsMay 2025 – May 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.
Scores shown with Tottenham first; venues vary.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Tottenham
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1R. De Zerbi
- 31
A. KinskýG - 23
Pedro PorroD - 6
J. van HeckeD - 37
M. van de VenD - 3
A. RobertsonD - 30
R. BentancurM - 16
S. TonaliM - 17
SávioM - 18
Mateus FernandesM - 22
Omar MarmoushM - 19
D. SolankeF
Substitutes (9)
15 · L. Bergvall
20 · M. Kudus
39 · M. Dúbravka
4 · T. Adarabioyo
5 · M. Senesi
13 · D. Udogie
8 · C. Gallagher
10 · J. Maddison
14 · A. Gray
Aston Villa
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Unai Emery
- 1
Z. SuzukiG - 29
A. Wan-BissakaD - 3
V. LindelöfD - 5
T. MingsD - 13
M. RuggeriD - 8
B. KamaraM - 35
João GomesM - 7
J. McGinnM - 44
J. ManzambiM - 10
E. BuendíaM - 11
N. JacksonF
Substitutes (9)
2 · M. Cash
4 · T. Harwood-Bellis
6 · R. Barkley
26 · L. Bogarde
53 · George Hemmings
17 · A. Garnacho
18 · T. Abraham
19 · I. Mbaye
42 · J. Wright
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Tottenham
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pedro Porro | 19 | 5.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 1 |
| A. Kinský | 90 | 5.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 0 |
| M. Kudus | 45 | 6.4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 2 |
| L. Bergvall | 6 | 5.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 1 |
| A. Gray | 71 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 30 | 2 |
| J. Maddison | 24 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 4 |
| C. Gallagher | 6 | 6.7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 3 |
| D. Udogie | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| M. Senesi | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| T. Adarabioyo | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| M. Dúbravka | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Omar Marmoush | 90 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 1 |
| Mateus Fernandes | 45 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 1 |
| Sávio | 90 | 7.2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 41 | 0 |
| S. Tonali | 84 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 65 | 6 |
| R. Bentancur | 84 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 67 | 6 |
| A. Robertson | 90 | 6.2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 65 | 2 |
| M. van de Ven | 90 | 5.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 80 | 1 |
| J. van Hecke | 90 | 6.0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 68 | 3 |
| D. Solanke | 66 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 2 |
Aston Villa
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Jackson | 88 | 8.1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 0 |
| J. Wright | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| M. Cash | 45 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| T. Harwood-Bellis | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| R. Barkley | 6 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 |
| L. Bogarde | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| George Hemmings | 18 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| A. Garnacho | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| T. Abraham | 2 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
| I. Mbaye | 6 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| J. Manzambi | 72 | 8.8 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 1 |
| E. Buendía | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 36 | 7 |
| J. McGinn | 84 | 7.1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 0 |
| João Gomes | 90 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 5 |
| B. Kamara | 84 | 7.3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 43 | 2 |
| M. Ruggeri | 90 | 7.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 35 | 0 |
| T. Mings | 90 | 7.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 45 | 1 |
| V. Lindelöf | 90 | 7.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 0 |
| A. Wan-Bissaka | 45 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 2 |
| Z. Suzuki | 90 | 8.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 38 | 0 |
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Premier League table
Current standings · Premier League. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 15 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Arsenal | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 12 | LWWWW |
| 3 |  Brighton | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 10 | WWDLW |
| 4 |  Brentford | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 9 | WDDDW |
| 5 |  Leeds | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 9 | DWDDW |
| 6 |  Liverpool | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 9 | WDWDD |
| 7 |  Everton | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | WDDDW |
| 8 |  Hull City | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 8 | LDDWW |
| 9 |  Newcastle | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 8 | WLDWD |
| 10 |  Chelsea | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 7 | LDLWW |
| 11 |  Ipswich | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 6 | LWLLW |
| 12 |  Manchester United | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 5 | DLDWL |
| 13 |  Nottingham Forest | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 5 | LWDDL |
| 14 |  Sunderland | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 4 | LLDWL |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 4 | DLWLL |
| 16 | Aston Villa | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 4 | WLDLL |
| 17 |  Bournemouth | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 3 | LDDDL |
| 18 |  Coventry | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | -9 | 3 | WLLLL |
| 19 |  Fulham | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 2 | DDLLL |
| 20 | Tottenham | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 2 | LDDLL |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Tottenham | Draw | Aston Villa |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.91 | 3.50 | 3.80 |
| Bet365 | 1.91 | 3.60 | 3.90 |
| Marathonbet | 1.98 | 3.64 | 3.80 |
| BetVictor | 1.90 | 3.75 | 3.80 |
| Pinnacle | 1.95 | 3.73 | 4.03 |
Snapshot from 19 Sep 2026, 10:53 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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