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ChampionshipMatchweek 8THE MATCH CENTRE

Cardiff vs Charlton match centre

Cardiff badgeCardiffHome · 21 in league
DLLDL
Momentum↓ Low12/100OlderLatest
Full time
3:1
UK time · Europe/London
Charlton badgeCharltonAway · 9 in league
WDLDD
Momentum→ Steady36/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
Jack Moylan8′
Yousef Salech24′
Jack Moylan61′
Tyreece Campbell29′
Cardiff City Stadium · CardiffSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Out of date · Calculated 19 Sep 07:20 UK.

Odds updated 19 Sep 11:11 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 6 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win1.70Estimated chance 44.9%Pre-match estimate Draw4.00Estimated chance 27.0%Pre-match estimate Away win4.50Estimated chance 28.1%Pre-match estimate Bet365 · Updated 19 Sep 11:11 UK · Older than 24 hours Chances are estimates for 90 minutes. Stored prices can change; likelihood alone does not establish value.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
CardiffCharlton
6Corner Kicks1
9Fouls15
4Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards0
2Goalkeeper Saves5
501Total passes309
407Passes accurate207

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Cardiff 5 reported

C. ChambersKnee Injury
Reported out
I. DaviesInjury
Reported out
W. FishHernia
Reported out
D. LawlorMuscle Injury
Reported out
R. ColwillHealth problems
Doubtful

Charlton 7 reported

N. ChalobahMuscle Injury
Reported out
J. EdwardsAnkle Injury
Reported out
M. GoddenMuscle Injury
Reported out
B. KoumetioMuscle Injury
Reported out
W. MannionShoulder Injury
Reported out
K. RamsayAnkle Injury
Reported out
C. SichenjeKnee Injury
Reported out

Fetched 18 Sep, 22:16 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Cardiff

2/10Wins
1.5Goals / game
1.6Conceded / game

Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At home, 5 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Cardiff’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Charlton

4/10Wins
1.0Goals / game
1.6Conceded / game

Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 4 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Charlton’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Cardiff at home with Charlton away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 3 Oct, 07:15 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Championship · 2026/27 · all league matches

CardiffCharlton
7Matches played7
4Points earned12
0Wins3
1.0Goals scored / match0.9
1.6Goals conceded / match1.0
0Clean sheets3
2Failed to score3

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Cardiff at home with Charlton away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

4 recorded meetings

Cardiff

1wins
3 draws

Charlton

0wins

Sep 2015 – Jun 2020 · Historical meetings. Squads and team strength have changed.

Scores shown with Cardiff first; venues vary.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Cardiff

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1B. Barry-Murphy
  1. 1N. TrottG
  2. 38P. NgD
  3. 5K. BielikD
  4. 4G. OshoD
  5. 3J. BaganD
  6. 18A. RobertsonM
  7. 27J. ColwillM
  8. 11O. TannerM
  9. 8J. MoylanM
  10. 16C. WillockM
  11. 9Y. SalechF
Substitutes (9)

45 · Cian Ashford

44 · R. Kpakio

48 · D. Lawlor

47 · C. Robinson

23 · C. Scanlon

33 · R. Tankiewicz

14 · D. Turnbull

30 · H. Tyrer

43 · P. Moreno

Charlton

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1N. Jones
  1. 13A. OkonkwoG
  2. 20D. McNamaraD
  3. 5L. JonesD
  4. 44Tyler BindonD
  5. 18I. MesíkD
  6. 6C. CoventryM
  7. 34O. SkippM
  8. 19M. AlliM
  9. 9K. Ahearne-GrantM
  10. 7T. CampbellM
  11. 11M. LeaburnF
Substitutes (9)

16 · T. Ouma

23 · C. Kelman

8 · H. Knibbs

35 · R. Nkeng

3 · J. Edwards

14 · S. Carey

21 · T. Brooks

17 · A. Bell

26 · J. Rankin-Costello

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Charlton

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
J. Rankin-Costello00.000000
A. Bell455.9000152
T. Brooks00.000000
S. Carey75.800010
J. Edwards75.900000
R. Nkeng00.000000
H. Knibbs00.000000
C. Kelman206.200110
T. Ouma455.7000140
A. Okonkwo906.6000400
D. McNamara835.6000253
L. Jones906.3000282
Tyler Bindon456.4010170
I. Mesík905.2001261
C. Coventry706.0000391
O. Skipp906.1000335
M. Alli455.8000131
K. Ahearne-Grant905.5001180
T. Campbell906.8102211
M. Leaburn836.4001191

Cardiff

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
P. Moreno00.000000
H. Tyrer00.000000
D. Turnbull286.6001240
R. Tankiewicz00.000000
C. Scanlon86.300020
C. Robinson00.000000
D. Lawlor86.300060
R. Kpakio00.000000
Cian Ashford206.5000110
N. Trott906.1000500
P. Ng906.8003521
K. Bielik907.1000530
G. Osho826.4000532
J. Bagan906.7001541
A. Robertson907.2001751
J. Colwill906.2004441
O. Tanner707.3015220
J. Moylan828.7217300
C. Willock626.6002200
Y. Salech908.1113130
2026/27 STANDINGS

Championship table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Championship. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Swansea8521136717
WWLDW
2West Ham843122111115
DWWWW
3Middlesbrough84311612415
DDWWD
4Wolves74211510514
WWDLW
5West Brom8422108214
LDWWD
6QPR8341107313
DDDLW
7Stoke City84131312113
WWDWW
8Bristol City84131112-113
WLLWW
9Charlton8332710-312
LDDLD
10Birmingham82511211111
DWLDD
11Millwall83231515011
DDLWL
12Lincoln832378-111
LWWDD
13Southampton84221910910
LWWDD
14Wrexham8242912-310
WLDDW
15Bolton83141115-410
WWLLL
16Blackburn8233121209
DWLLD
17Norwich83051617-19
LLWWL
18Sheffield Utd8233911-29
LLWLW
19Portsmouth7223910-18
DDWLL
20Watford8224710-38
LLWLL
21Cardiff81431012-27
WLDLL
22Derby8125714-75
DLLLW
23Preston8116815-74
DLLWL
24Burnley8044917-84
DLDLD
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerCardiffDrawCharlton
William Hill1.703.804.33
Bet3651.704.004.50
Marathonbet1.684.054.30
BetVictor1.733.904.50
Pinnacle1.754.154.49

Snapshot from 19 Sep 2026, 11:11 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

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