Alaves
5/10Wins
1.8Goals / game
0.9Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 6 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Alaves’s results
La LigaMatchweek 6THE MATCH CENTREAlaves vs Valencia match centre
Full time
0:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
Luis Rioja78′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Out of date · Calculated 15 Sep 15:06 UK.
Odds updated 15 Sep 17:55 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 9 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
AlavesValencia
1.050Expected goals · API-Football0.650
3Shots on target3
15Total Shots10
43%Ball Possession57%
2Corner Kicks5
7Fouls14
1Yellow Cards4
0Red Cards0
2Goalkeeper Saves3
344Total passes475
272Passes accurate389
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Alaves 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Valencia 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Valencia
1/10Wins
0.6Goals / game
1.7Conceded / game
Keep in view: 7 losses in that sample. At away venues, 4 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Valencia’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Alaves
10 matchesResults5 wins · 3 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.8
Goals conceded per game0.9
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Racing SantanderAway · La Liga1–2OsasunaHome · La Liga5–2VillarrealHome · La Liga1–0Rayo VallecanoAway · La Liga1–1GetafeHome · La Liga3–0Racing SantanderAway · Friendlies Clubs1–1CastellónHome · Friendlies Clubs3–0GironaAway · Friendlies Clubs1–0EibarHome · Friendlies Clubs1–1Rayo VallecanoHome · La Liga1–2
Valencia
10 matchesResults1 wins · 2 draws · 7 losses
Goals scored per game0.6
Goals conceded per game1.7
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
SevillaAway · La Liga0–1BarcelonaHome · La Liga0–5Deportivo La CorunaAway · La Liga1–3Real BetisHome · La Liga0–1Celta VigoHome · La Liga0–0TeruelHome · Friendlies Clubs0–1NewcastleHome · Friendlies Clubs1–2Stoke CityAway · Friendlies Clubs1–1DerbyAway · Friendlies Clubs2–1CastellónHome · Friendlies Clubs1–2
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Alaves at home with Valencia away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 3 Oct, 11:14 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
La Liga · 2026/27 · all league matches
AlavesValencia
5Matches played5
10Points earned1
3Wins0
2.2Goals scored / match0.2
1.0Goals conceded / match2.0
2Clean sheets1
0Failed to score4
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Alaves at home with Valencia away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
4 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Alaves
1wins4MEETINGS
Valencia
1winsDec 2024 – Mar 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.
Scores shown with Alaves first; venues vary.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Alaves
Confirmed formation3-5-2Quique Sánchez Flores
- 1
SiveraG - 14
N. TenagliaD - 16
V. KoskiD - 2
N. ValentiniD - 7
Angel PérezM - 19
Pablo IbáñezM - 8
Antonio BlancoM - 4
Denis SuárezM - 21
A. RebbachM - 11
Toni MartínezF - 15
L. BoyéF
Substitutes (12)
23 · C. Benavídez
10 · Carles Aleñá
17 · Jonny
24 · Selu Diallo
9 · M. Díaz
3 · Yusi
6 · Guevara
29 · Izei Hernández
12 · Hugo Novoa
27 · X. Olaiz
13 · A. Giménez
22 · Miguel Rodríguez
Valencia
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Óscar Sánchez
- 1
S. DimitrievskiG - 24
Pablo MaffeoD - 18
PepeluD - 12
J. de HaasD - 14
José GayàD - 33
Aaron MayolM - 2
G. RodríguezM - 23
F. UgrinicM - 8
Javi GuerraM - 7
A. DanjumaM - 9
Hugo DuroF
Substitutes (12)
21 · Jesús Vázquez
39 · R. Sato
11 · Luis Rioja
19 · Dani Raba
29 · Alex Panach
27 · David Otorbi
22 · Arnau Martínez
10 · H. Elliott
15 · A. Dieng
36 · Iker Córdoba
37 · Aimar Blázquez
25 · K. van Oevelen
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Alaves
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Benavídez | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Miguel Rodríguez | 5 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 |
| A. Giménez | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| X. Olaiz | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Hugo Novoa | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Izei Hernández | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Guevara | 5 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 1 |
| Yusi | 23 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
| M. Díaz | 23 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 |
| Selu Diallo | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jonny | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Carles Aleñá | 5 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 |
| Sivera | 90 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 1 |
| N. Tenaglia | 90 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 1 |
| V. Koski | 90 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 42 | 1 |
| N. Valentini | 90 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 45 | 1 |
| Angel Pérez | 85 | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 0 |
| Pablo Ibáñez | 90 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 36 | 3 |
| Antonio Blanco | 85 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 36 | 4 |
| Denis Suárez | 67 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 2 |
| A. Rebbach | 85 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 0 |
| L. Boyé | 90 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 2 |
| Toni Martínez | 67 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 1 |
Valencia
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aimar Blázquez | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Iker Córdoba | 8 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| A. Dieng | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| H. Elliott | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Arnau Martínez | 8 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 |
| David Otorbi | 20 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Alex Panach | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dani Raba | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Luis Rioja | 19 | 7.7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
| R. Sato | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jesús Vázquez | 8 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
| K. van Oevelen | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| S. Dimitrievski | 90 | 7.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 32 | 0 |
| Pablo Maffeo | 82 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 42 | 0 |
| Pepelu | 90 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 71 | 1 |
| J. de Haas | 82 | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 66 | 1 |
| José Gayà | 90 | 7.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50 | 4 |
| F. Ugrinic | 90 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 43 | 0 |
| Aaron Mayol | 90 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 42 | 1 |
| G. Rodríguez | 70 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 49 | 4 |
| A. Danjuma | 90 | 7.2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 0 |
| Javi Guerra | 90 | 6.7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 0 |
| Hugo Duro | 63 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 |
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗La Liga table
Current standings · La Liga. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 31 | 7 | 24 | 21 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Atletico Madrid | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 16 | WWWLW |
| 3 |  Real Betis | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 16 | DWWWL |
| 4 |  Real Madrid | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 15 | LWWLW |
| 5 |  Sevilla | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 13 | LWWDL |
| 6 | Alaves | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 11 | DLLWW |
| 7 |  Deportivo La Coruna | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 10 | DLDWW |
| 8 |  Real Sociedad | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 10 | WLWDW |
| 9 |  Villarreal | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 8 | WWLLL |
| 10 |  Athletic Club | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 8 | DDWWL |
| 11 |  Getafe | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 8 | WLDDL |
| 12 |  Rayo Vallecano | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 8 | DWLWL |
| 13 |  Osasuna | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 8 | DLLLW |
| 14 |  Celta Vigo | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 7 | WDDDL |
| 15 |  Espanyol | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 7 | LLWDL |
| 16 |  Racing Santander | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 7 | LLWLW |
| 17 |  Levante | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 5 | LLDWD |
| 18 |  Elche | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 5 | WLDLL |
| 19 | Valencia | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 4 | LWLLL |
| 20 |  Malaga | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 3 | LLDDL |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Alaves | Draw | Valencia |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.65 | 3.50 | 5.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.65 | 3.70 | 5.75 |
| Marathonbet | 1.67 | 3.68 | 5.85 |
| Betfair | 1.62 | 3.60 | 5.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.62 | 3.70 | 6.00 |
Snapshot from 15 Sep 2026, 17:55 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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